TOTAL VOLUME:
$149.7b
24H VOL:
$109,714,070
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,820,087,997
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,739,090,488
444,140
Markets across
34,296
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,700
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
What are economics prediction markets pricing in?
Economic predictions & market forecasts. Compare odds on inflation, growth, and macroeconomic trends. Read more...
A rise isn't inherently "good".
| # | Event | Category | PH Consensus | Volume | Liquidity | Ends in | Platforms |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Above 3.8000 is very likely at 93% | Economics | 93% | $480K | N/A | K | |
| 2 | 6% chance this happens · best 6¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 6% | $7.8M | $69K | K   | |
| 3 | 0 (0 bps) is very likely at 96% · best 94.7¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 96% | $173M | $3.7M | K | |
| 4 | No clear favourite — 3.9% leads at 5% · 6¢ on Predict | Economics | 5%+3% | $179K | $125K |  | |
| 5 | Above $6.2000 is very likely at 98% · 98¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 98%+90% | $80K | N/A | K | |
| 6 | Above 164 bu/acre is very likely at 98% · 98¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 98% | $135K | N/A | K | |
| 7 | No clear favourite — Above 61,500 MW leads at 37% · 45¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 37% | $22K | N/A | K | |
| 8 | Exactly 5 cuts is likely at 67% · 68¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 67%+57% | $194K | N/A | K | |
| 9 | No clear favourite — U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: 50-99k leads at 14% · 13¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 14%+11% | $21K | N/A | K | |
| 10 | No clear favourite — December 31 leads at 13% · 14¢ on Polymarket | Economics | 13% | $3.6M | $59K | | |
| 11 | No clear favourite — Above 2.6% leads at 36% · 53¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 36% | $40K | N/A | K | |
| 12 | Hike–Pause–Hike is likely at 74% · 75¢ on Polymarket | Economics | 74% | $493K | $325K | | |
| 13 | Above 3.8% is very likely at 99% · 99¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 99% | $172K | N/A | K | |
| 14 | Above $200,000 is very likely at 98% · 98¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 98% | $231K | N/A | K | |
| 15 | Below 4.70% is likely at 68% · 69¢ on Polymarket | Economics | 68%−3% | $263K | $44K | | |
| 16 | Maintain current rate is slightly favoured at 56% · 61¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 56%−14% | $28K | N/A | K | |
| 17 | 20% chance this happens · Yes at 20¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 20%−1% | $750K | N/A | K | |
| 18 | Above 31.0% is very likely at 92% · 99¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 92% | $33K | N/A | K | |
| 19 | Above 0.0% is very likely at 98% | Economics | 98% | $849K | N/A | K | |
| 20 | Above 3.50 is very likely at 99% | Economics | 99% | $932K | N/A | K | |
| 21 | Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%) is very likely at 95% · best 97.4¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 95%+2% | $287K | $70K | K | |
| 22 | Above 1.0% is very likely at 99% | Economics | 99% | $14K | N/A | K | |
| 23 | Maintain current rate is slightly favoured at 57% · 58¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 57%+40% | $18K | N/A | K | |
| 24 | Above 4.3 billion gallons is very likely at 97% · 98¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 97% | $128K | N/A | K | |
| 25 | Above 7.22% is very likely at 92% · 90¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 92% | $23K | N/A | K | |
| 26 | No clear favourite — 5.3% leads at 47% · 53¢ on Polymarket | Economics | 47%+6% | $1.1M | $169K | | |
| 27 | No clear favourite — Above $4.60 leads at 47% · 48¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 47%−9% | $1.9M | N/A | K | |
| 28 | Above 300,000 jobs is very likely at 90% · 85¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 90%+17% | $29K | N/A | K | |
| 29 | Above $4.40 is very likely at 99% | Economics | 99% | $240K | N/A | K | |
| 30 | 77% chance this happens · Yes at 77¢ on Polymarket | Economics | 77% | $1.1M | $258K | | |
| 31 | Above 3.50% is very likely at 99% | Economics | 99% | $461K | N/A | K | |
| 32 | Below 215 million barrels is very likely at 99% · 99¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 99% | $20K | N/A | K | |
| 33 | Above 28.0¢/kWh is very likely at 95% · 95¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 95% | $120K | N/A | K | |
| 34 | No clear favourite — Above 4.5% leads at 12% · 13¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 12% | $1.4M | $32K | K | |
| 35 | Above $6.60 is likely at 71% · 74¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 71% | $137K | N/A | K | |
| 36 | No clear favourite — 3.0-3.5% leads at 36% · 37.7¢ on Polymarket | Economics | 36%−2% | $70K | $6K | | |
| 37 | Above 2.1% is very likely at 98% · 99¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 98% | $189K | N/A | K | |
| 38 | Hike 25bps is likely at 75% · 75¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 75% | $1.4M | N/A | K | |
| 39 | Above 2.7 million gallons is likely at 84% · 82¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 84% | $79K | N/A | K | |
| 40 | Above -1.0% is very likely at 86% · 91¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 86%−1% | $7K | N/A | K | |
| 41 | Above 0.0% is very likely at 99% | Economics | 99% | $365K | $23K | K | |
| 42 | No clear favourite — Maintain current rate leads at 49% · 48¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 49%−6% | $37K | N/A | K | |
| 43 | Above 4.25% is very likely at 93% · 94¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 93% | $187K | $17K | K | |
| 44 | 3.91% or Above is very likely at 91% · 95¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 91%−4% | $10K | N/A | K | |
| 45 | Above -0.1% is very likely at 92% · 92¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 92% | $101K | N/A | K | |
| 46 | Above 1.00% is very likely at 90% · 99¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 90% | $10K | N/A | K | |
| 47 | Above 336.100 is very likely at 99% · 91¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 99%+48% | $17K | N/A | K | |
| 48 | Above 88% is likely at 83% · 97¢ on Kalshi | Economics | 83%−14% | $19K | N/A | K | |
| 49 | Above 1.75% is very likely at 99% | Economics | 99% | $134K | N/A | K | |
| 50 | No clear favourite — 2 leads at 28% · best 30¢ on Polymarket | Economics | 28% | $63K | $8K | K | |
Events per page:501–50 of 617 | |||||||