TOTAL VOLUME:

$149.7b

24H VOL:

$109,714,070

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,820,087,997

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,739,090,488

444,140

Markets across

34,296

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,700

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
South Africa unemployment rate in Q3
kalshi

What will South Africa's unemployment rate be in Q3?

Aug 11, 2026, 2:00 PM EST - Nov 17, 2026, 4:55 AM EST
Total volume:
$32,970
Volume 24h:
$12,664
1,986%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$3,504
16%

Above 31.0%

 - Kalshi

Above 31.0% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 17, 2026

Time left: 21d:23h:19m

South Africa unemployment rate in Q3 2026?

92%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 92% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: 18% 21 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 31.0%

Trade
92%
Yes 99¢No 9¢
8¢
N/A
$410
1%
1%
$405
3w 23h
active
kalshi

Above 31.5%

Trade
91%
Yes 99¢No 11¢
10¢
N/A
$1,433
0.38%
233%
$251
3w 23h
active
kalshi

Above 32.0%

Trade
86%
Yes 93¢No 16¢
9¢
N/A
$734
0%
38%
$223
3w 23h
active
kalshi

Above 32.5%

Trade
80%
Yes 87¢No 23¢
10¢
N/A
$1,545
0.83%
80%
$541
3w 23h
active
kalshi

Above 33.0%

Trade
79%
Yes 87¢No 23¢
10¢
N/A
$290
5%
5%
$159
3w 23h
active
kalshi

Above 34.0%

Trade
38%
18%
Yes 30¢No 75¢
5¢
N/A
$973
116%
350%
$418
3w 23h
active
kalshi

Above 34.5%

Trade
23%
Yes 27¢No 80¢
7¢
N/A
$2,789
12%
830%
$366
3w 23h
active
kalshi

Above 35.0%

Trade
12%
Yes 10¢No 92¢
2¢
N/A
$24,480
79%
2,949%
$902
3w 23h
active
kalshi

Above 33.5%

Trade
68%
52%
Yes 56¢No 51¢
7¢
N/A
$316
3,015%
3,015%
$238
3w 23h
active
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks South Africa's unemployment rate during the third quarter of 2026, reflecting the country's labor market health and economic challenges. A higher unemployment rate indicates difficulties in job creation and economic growth, impacting societal well-being and policy decisions. Monitoring this metric helps gauge the effectiveness of government interventions and economic strategies.

Kalshi

The event resolves to Yes if, for Q3 2026, the officially reported South Africa unemployment rate exceeds any of the specified thresholds: 31.0%, 31.5%, 32.0%, 32.5%, 33.0%, 33.5%, 34.0%, 34.5%, or 35.0%. The outcome depends on whether the rate surpasses the lowest threshold met, with higher thresholds acting as progressively stricter conditions. All markets share the same resolution criterion based on the quarterly unemployment figure, and no market-specific adjustments or secondary conditions apply.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the South Africa unemployment market dashboard tracks real-time odds and price history for this event, alongside a live display of 24-hour volume of $11,938. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different unemployment outcomes for the quarter, giving you a snapshot of market sentiment and activity.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, this market often reflects a more immediate, sentiment-driven view of economic conditions. While analysts may incorporate a wide range of data and models, traders in this market react to real-time news, economic indicators, and political developments that could influence unemployment figures, sometimes leading to divergent expectations.

This market resolves around Nov 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once official government statistics for the third quarter are published and verified against credible public sources. The final unemployment rate will be drawn from the authoritative South African statistical agency report, closing all positions at that point.

Key signals that could shift this market include monthly employment reports, major policy changes from the South African Reserve Bank, political developments affecting economic confidence, and unexpected global economic shocks that impact local labor trends. Each new data release or policy announcement may cause rapid re-pricing as traders update their expectations.