TOTAL VOLUME:
$114.4b
24H VOL:
$120,883,798
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,317,432,675
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,158,863,245
326,831
Markets across
32,024
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,989
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
42%
VS.
Kalshi:
58%
Polymarket now runs a CFTC-regulated US product through its QCX exchange. Here's how it actually works, who's eligible, and when Kalshi is the better fit instead.
Jared Polites
Aug 14, 2026

TL;DR
That's the current shape of it. The rest of this guide walks through why Polymarket was off-limits for years, what changed, how to actually sign up and fund an account today, how a first trade works, and when Kalshi covers more ground than Polymarket US currently does.
Typed "how to use Polymarket in the US" into Google and landed on three different answers? That's because the real answer changed twice in the past year. Polymarket spent three years geoblocked from US traders entirely. Then it bought its way back in. As of today, eligible US residents can sign up for a CFTC-regulated Polymarket product directly, on iOS, no workaround needed, though the access is still narrower than what Polymarket offers the rest of the world.
On January 3, 2022, the CFTC ordered Blockratize, Inc., the company behind Polymarket.com, to pay a $1.4 million penalty for running an unregistered facility for event-based binary options, what the order calls "event markets," without the required CFTC designation.
Polymarket had listed more than 900 of these markets since mid-2020. The settlement also required winding down every market on Polymarket.com that didn't comply with federal commodities law, which in practice meant excluding US persons from the platform's core trading products.
That order is the reason "Polymarket blocks US IPs" became conventional wisdom, and for three years it was simply true. No sign-up path existed for a US resident who wanted to trade directly on Polymarket.com. A VPN didn't change that; it just meant misrepresenting your location to get around a restriction Polymarket's own compliance settlement required it to enforce.
Polymarket bought its way back into the US market rather than waiting out an appeal. In July 2025, it acquired QCX LLC and QC Clearing, together known as QCEX, a CFTC-licensed derivatives exchange and clearinghouse, for $112 million. QCX already held the federal designation Polymarket needed. It didn't have to build one from scratch.
The CFTC issued an Amended Order of Designation for QCX LLC on November 24, 2025, letting the newly acquired exchange operate as "Polymarket US," a regulated, intermediated product distinct from the original Polymarket.com. Polymarket US launched on December 3, 2025, initially gated behind an invite-code waitlist. Six months later, on May 12, 2026, Polymarket removed that waitlist entirely. Anyone eligible can now register without an access code.
Separately, and this is the part that trips people up, Polymarket filed with the CFTC on April 28, 2026 for a bigger ask: bringing its main, crypto-native, globally-facing exchange onshore for direct US access, not just the narrower QCX product. That request was still under review as of a CFTC inquiry opened in June 2026. Until it clears, Polymarket US and Polymarket.com remain two different products with two different rulebooks.
If you're a US resident, the only Polymarket product you can lawfully sign up for is Polymarket US, run by QCX LLC under its CFTC designation. Polymarket.com, the original site with the platform's full global market list, still isn't open to US persons; that's the part of the 2022 settlement that hasn't changed.
Polymarket US is also a narrower product in practice, not just in name. As of August 2026 it's iOS-app only. There's no Android app and no browser access yet, and Polymarket hasn't announced a date for either. If you don't have an iPhone, there currently isn't a way to use Polymarket's own regulated US product at all, regulated or otherwise.
Polymarket US isn't available in at least eight states: Arizona, Illinois, Massachusetts, Maryland, Michigan, Montana, Nevada, and Ohio, per third-party tracking of the app's own eligibility screen.
Minnesota is a separate, more tangled case: a state law banning prediction markets outright was set to take effect August 1, 2026, but a federal judge blocked its enforcement on July 27, 2026, in a suit joined by the Department of Justice, the CFTC, Kalshi, and Polymarket together. So Minnesota access currently continues, pending how that case resolves.
Several of those excluded states overlap with where Kalshi is separately fighting state gambling regulators over its sports contracts specifically, not its event contracts generally. That's a different, longer legal story, and our state-by-state breakdown covers the underlying litigation rather than just the access list.
Polymarket US accepts debit cards and Apple Pay through built-in on-ramp partners that convert a card payment into tradeable balance, along with direct crypto deposits for anyone who already holds USDC. In April 2026, Polymarket migrated its underlying trading collateral from USDC.e to a new native stablecoin called pUSD, backed 1:1 by USDC; the change is invisible in the app, where balances still display in dollars.
Every Polymarket contract is a Yes or No position on a real-world outcome, priced between 1 cent and 99 cents, the same price-as-probability mechanic behind every prediction market. That price is the market's implied probability. A contract trading at 35 cents means traders collectively think there's roughly a 35% chance the event happens.
Take the Fed's September 2026 rate decision as a live example. If the "cut" contract is trading at a few cents, the market is pricing a cut as unlikely; buy it for that price and it resolves to $1 if the Fed actually cuts, or to zero if it doesn't. Sell before resolution instead, and you lock in whatever the current price implies rather than waiting out the outcome.
To place the trade itself: pick a market, choose Yes or No, enter a size, and confirm. You can close the position early instead of holding to resolution if the price has moved in your favor.
Kalshi is the other CFTC-regulated venue for this kind of contract, and it currently covers more ground than Polymarket US on two specific dimensions: platform and geography. Kalshi runs on web, iOS, and Android, so it doesn't have Polymarket US's iOS-only limitation. It funds by ACH bank transfer, debit card, or wire, without requiring a crypto on-ramp step.
And Kalshi doesn't carry the same state-exclusion list Polymarket US does for its event contracts generally, though it's fighting its own separate state-by-state battle specifically over sports contracts, covered in full in our Kalshi legitimacy review.
Neither platform is strictly better. Polymarket has deeper liquidity on international and crypto-native events once you're inside Polymarket.com (still not US-accessible) or matched on Polymarket US's own listed markets. Kalshi is the more accessible entry point today if you're on Android, want browser access, or live in one of the states Polymarket US currently excludes.
If broad access matters more to you right now than which brand is on the app icon, Kalshi's signup is the practical starting point. Our platform comparison lines up fees, market selection, and legality side by side if you're deciding between them rather than just picking whichever one will actually let you sign up today.
A contract price is a starting point for thinking, not a guarantee. A market pricing something at 8% isn't saying it won't happen; out of many similar situations, it happens roughly one in twelve times. Size any position around the maximum you're willing to lose before you enter, on Polymarket US or Kalshi alike, and don't treat a probability estimate as certainty in either direction.
PredictionHero tracks markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless, Predict.Fun, and Opinion in one place, so you can see how the same event is priced across platforms without checking each one separately.
That's useful here specifically because Polymarket's US access is still uneven: if a market you want exists on Polymarket US but you're excluded by state or don't have an iPhone, checking whether the same event is listed on Kalshi (or one of the other three) tells you in seconds whether there's another way in, rather than hunting through four apps yourself.
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Yes, through Polymarket US, operated by QCX LLC under a CFTC designation, but not through the original Polymarket.com, which still excludes US persons under a 2022 settlement. Polymarket US is iOS-only as of August 2026 and isn't available in at least eight states, so "yes" comes with real conditions attached.
By debit card or Apple Pay through a built-in on-ramp, or by depositing crypto (USDC) directly if you already hold it. Polymarket migrated its underlying collateral to a stablecoin called pUSD in April 2026, but the app still shows your balance in plain dollars.
Yes, and increasingly for a specific reason: Kalshi works on web, iOS, and Android and funds by bank transfer, while Polymarket US is currently iOS-only and excludes several states. Both are CFTC-regulated; which one fits depends on your device and your state, not which one is "more legitimate."
Pick a market, choose Yes or No based on which way you think the price should move, enter how many contracts you want, and confirm. The price you pay is the market's implied probability, and you can close the position before resolution instead of holding it to the end.
Regulated exchanges publish resolution sources and settlement rules for each market before you trade. Read those rules on the specific contract before entering, especially for anything with a less obvious resolution trigger, rather than assuming a standard outcome applies.
PredictionHero aggregates publicly available prediction market data for informational purposes only. This is not financial advice. Prediction markets may not be available in all jurisdictions, and Polymarket's US access specifically is limited by platform and state as described above.