TOTAL VOLUME:
$104.8b
24H VOL:
$161,484,781
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,093,070,127
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,086,378,292
235,845
Markets across
23,320
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,591
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
44%
VS.
Kalshi:
56%
Insights
Read the signal. Skip the noise. Know what’s moving.
Analysis, predictions, and breakdowns from across every market we track — the story behind the numbers.Analysis, predictions, and breakdowns from across every market we track.
Is Kalshi Legit? A Data-Backed Review (2026)
Yes, Kalshi is CFTC-regulated and has been since 2020. Here's what that actually protects, what the fees really cost, what deposits and withdrawals are like, and the state-by-state legal fight.
Jared Polites · Jul 28
Latest
How Accurate Are Prediction Markets? What the Resolved-Market Data Shows
Calibration, not who-won, is the real test of prediction market accuracy. Here's what large samples of resolved contracts actually show, and where the record breaks down.
Jared Polites · Jul 26
What Are Prediction Markets? How They Actually Work
Prediction markets price real-world events the way markets price stocks. See how they work, and compare live odds across all 5 major platforms.
Jared Polites · Jul 10
World Cup 2026 Week 1 Recap: What the Markets Got Wrong (and Right)
France overtook Spain, the USA won its group, and Messi tied a record. How five prediction markets repriced after Week 1.
Jared Polites · Jun 20