NFL Defensive Player of the Year Odds 2026-27

TL;DR

• NFL DPOY odds price one named defender winning the AP Defensive Player of the Year award, and the price is the market's implied probability. The award is decided after the season, so a midseason price is a long-dated contract.
• Last season's vote was unanimous. Browns defensive end Myles Garrett took all 50 first-place votes for 500 points, ahead of Texans pass rusher Will Anderson Jr. at 177.
• Prediction market data on this award moves with each game's stat line, so a number is only as current as its timestamp.
• Polymarket and Kalshi can price the same defender a few points apart, and each platform decides which Defensive Player of the Year contracts it lists. Check every board before comparing.

Looking up NFL DPOY odds this far into the season? Each price is a probability for an award that will not be decided until February, and last year's vote shows how lopsided the result can get.

This guide covers who votes, how decisive last season's result was, why weekly stats move the price, and what to check before you trust a defender's number.

What Do NFL DPOY Odds Measure?

NFL DPOY odds measure the chance that one named defender wins the AP Defensive Player of the Year award. The top-priced candidate is currently Will Anderson Jr. at 32%+4 on Polymarket, with $11.9k traded on that market.

Each outcome trades between $0 and $1, and the price is the market's implied probability. A defender at $0.30 means the market gives that player a 30% chance.

The contract prices what a panel of voters will decide, not who leads the league in a single statistic. Last season the AP panel cast 50 first-place votes.

How Decisive Was Last Season's Vote?

Completely. Browns defensive end Myles Garrett won the 2025 AP Defensive Player of the Year unanimously, with all 50 first-place votes and 500 points, according to NFL.com. Texans pass rusher Will Anderson Jr. finished second with 177 points.

Garrett set the NFL single-season sack record with 23, breaking the previous shared record of 22.5 held by Michael Strahan and T.J. Watt. He also led the league with 33 tackles for loss. It was his second AP Defensive Player of the Year award, and he is the ninth player to win more than one.

The winner was revealed at NFL Honors in San Francisco in early February. Our guide to long-dated odds explains why a far-off contract can be slow to reprice.

Why Do Weekly Stats Move NFL DPOY Odds?

Counting stats update after every game. Sacks and tackles for loss are totals, so a big Sunday adds to a defender's case and a quiet one slows it.

That gives the market a weekly signal to watch. The market reprices when a stat line lands, and again when an injury report does.

Check the schedule before you read a price. A defender who has played more games has more chances to add to a total, and one who misses time can fall out of the conversation.

What Do NFL DPOY Odds Show Across Platforms?

Search for DPOY odds NFL fans quote and you will find different numbers on different platforms, because each shows the same race through a different crowd. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange, and it prices the same defender at 29%-2.

A gap between the two is normal. It does not mean one platform is wrong. Each venue has its own traders and liquidity, and its own settlement rules. That is the subject of our piece on why odds disagree across platforms.

Opinion, Limitless and Predict.Fun round out the five platforms PredictionHero tracks, and each runs its own board. Which Defensive Player of the Year contracts each one lists changes over time, so check every board directly. PredictionHero lines up prediction market data from all five platforms on one screen, so the spread is visible without opening five tabs.

How Should You Read a Defensive Player of the Year Price?

Run through five checks, in this order.

1. Timestamp. Defender prices move with every stat line and injury report. A number from Sunday morning can be stale by Sunday night.
2. Games played. Check how many games a player has played, since totals build over a season.
3. The rules. Read the contract's rules to see which award it resolves on. Other groups also name defensive awards, so the name alone is not enough.
4. The field. Long lists of names tend to overprice the longshots, which our guide to favorite-longshot bias explains. Read the top few prices and ignore the tail.
5. A second platform. One venue can lag. Two venues that agree are harder to dismiss.

A price is a probability, not a verdict. A defender at 40% still misses about six times in ten.

Awards markets also move in steps when a vote or announcement lands. We cover that pattern in our piece on awards-season contracts, and for a season-long award in another league, see NBA awards odds.

Sources

• NFL. "Browns star Myles Garrett named 2025 AP NFL Defensive Player of Year after breaking sack record." nfl.com

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