TOTAL VOLUME:
$142.3b
24H VOL:
$107,419,736
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,643,541,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,594,026,835
471,138
Markets across
35,775
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,926
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
A rise isn't inherently "good".
| # | Event | Category | PH Consensus | Volume | Liquidity | Ends in | Platforms |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fed maintains rate is likely at 77% · best 77¢ on Polymarket | Financials | 77%−8% | $51M | $3.5M | K | |
| 2 | ↑$1.5T is likely at 84% · best 85¢ on Polymarket | Financials | 84% | $5.8M | $660K | ![]() ![]() | |
| 3 | No clear favourite — $1.75–$2.0T leads at 28% · 29¢ on Polymarket | Financials | 28%+3% | $1.7M | $180K | ||
| 4 | No clear favourite — 6,500-7,000 leads at 45% · best 30¢ on Polymarket | Financials | 45% | $10M | $25K | K | |
| 5 | 2 (50 bps) is likely at 65% · best 66¢ on Polymarket | Financials | 65%+2% | $1.2M | $231K | K | |
| 6 | No clear favourite — March 31, 2027 leads at 18% · 19¢ on Polymarket | Financials | 18% | $5.0M | $192K | ![]() | |
| 7 | Before Apr 1, 2027 is very likely at 85% · 86¢ on Kalshi | Financials | 85% | $3.3M | N/A | K | |
| 8 | No clear favourite — $28B leads at 6% · 10.1¢ on Predict | Financials | 6%+4% | $809K | $280K | ![]() | |
| 9 | No clear favourite — ↑ $5,000 leads at 20% · 20¢ on Polymarket | Financials | 20% | $2.0M | $487K | ![]() | |
| 10 | No change is very likely at 96% · 96¢ on Polymarket | Financials | 96%−1% | $220K | $124K | ||
| 11 | ↓ $760 is likely at 78% · 80¢ on Polymarket | Financials | 78% | $112K | $192K | ||
| 12 | July 2027 Meeting is likely at 80% · 79¢ on Polymarket | Financials | 80% | $3.8M | $205K | ||
| 13 | Close call — 1.5T+ at 52% · 52¢ on Polymarket | Financials | 52%−5% | $479K | $149K | ||
| 14 | Maintains rate is likely at 80% · best 79.3¢ on Polymarket | Financials | 80%−5% | $377K | $34K | K | |
| 15 | ↓ $765 is very likely at 86% · 87¢ on Polymarket | Financials | 86% | $33K | $112K | ||
| 16 | 91% chance this happens · Yes at 91¢ on Kalshi | Financials | 91%+1% | $1.3M | N/A | K | |
| 17 | Above 98 is very likely at 95% · 95¢ on Kalshi | Financials | 95%+2% | $39K | N/A | K | |
| 18 | 5.4% or above is very likely at 96% · 92¢ on Kalshi | Financials | 96% | $11K | N/A | K | |
| 19 | 8,000 or above is slightly favoured at 59% · 58.3¢ on Kalshi | Financials | 59%−15% | $2.3M | N/A | K | |
| 20 | ↓ $216 is likely at 76% · 78¢ on Polymarket | Financials | 76%+66% | $27K | $52K | ||
| 21 | December 31 is very likely at 90% · 91.9¢ on Predict | Financials | 90% | $722K | $47K | ![]() | |
| 22 | ↓ $730 is very likely at 87% · 98¢ on Polymarket | Financials | 87%+70% | $25K | $79K | ||
| 23 | No clear favourite — ↓ $95 leads at 43% · 45.9¢ on Polymarket | Financials | 43%+27% | $16K | $55K | ||
| 24 | ↓ $156 is very likely at 100% · 99.9¢ on Polymarket | Financials | 100% | $78K | $79K | ||
| 25 | Anthropic is likely at 73% · best 72.6¢ on Predict | Financials | 73%+3% | $26M | $758K | ![]() ![]() | |
| 26 | ↓ $198 is very likely at 91% · 93¢ on Polymarket | Financials | 91%+70% | $24K | $76K | ||
| 27 | ↓ $345 is very likely at 95% · 99¢ on Polymarket | Financials | 95%+55% | $20K | $74K | ||
| 28 | <$140 is slightly favoured at 57% · 19.2¢ on Polymarket | Financials | 57% | $18K | $130K | ||
| 29 | Above 15% is very likely at 96% · 96¢ on Kalshi | Financials | 96% | $7K | N/A | K | |
| 30 | ↓ $900 is likely at 77% · 99.9¢ on Polymarket | Financials | 77%+52% | $22K | $65K | ||
| 31 | Close call — Anthropic at 50% · best 54.2¢ on Polymarket | Financials | 50%−1% | $6.7M | $609K | ![]() | |
| 32 | Above 4.7% is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi | Financials | 99% | $43K | $5K | K | |
| 33 | ↓ $532.50 is very likely at 94% · 99¢ on Polymarket | Financials | 94%+59% | $18K | $86K | ||
| 34 | Above 154.5 million is very likely at 96% · 97¢ on Kalshi | Financials | 96% | $177K | N/A | K | |
| 35 | Above 82 is very likely at 97% · 96¢ on Kalshi | Financials | 97%+8% | $42K | N/A | K | |
| 36 | 5.23% or below is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi | Financials | 99%+13% | $57K | $2K | ||
| 37 | Above 91 is very likely at 94% · 94¢ on Kalshi | Financials | 94% | $29K | N/A | K | |
| 38 | Above 65 is very likely at 96% · 97¢ on Kalshi | Financials | 96% | $25K | N/A | K | |
| 39 | 29,690 or above is likely at 78% · 56¢ on Kalshi | Financials | 78% | $6K | N/A | K | |
| 40 | Above 89 is very likely at 97% · 97¢ on Kalshi | Financials | 97% | $23K | N/A | K | |
| 41 | Hike 1-25bps is very likely at 92% · 93¢ on Kalshi | Financials | 92% | $321K | $109K | ||
| 42 | Fear is likely at 75% · 74¢ on Kalshi | Financials | 75%+28% | $25K | N/A | K | |
| 43 | 8% chance this happens · best 7.1¢ on Kalshi | Financials | 8% | $312K | $8K | ||
| 44 | ↑ $348 is slightly favoured at 62% · 66¢ on Polymarket | Financials | 62%+28% | $16K | $87K | ||
| 45 | ↓ $158 is very likely at 99% · 99.9¢ on Polymarket | Financials | 99% | $33K | $78K | ||
| 46 | Above 94 is very likely at 93% · 90¢ on Kalshi | Financials | 93% | $25K | N/A | K | |
| 47 | Above 130 is very likely at 97% · 97¢ on Kalshi | Financials | 97% | $25K | N/A | K | |
| 48 | No clear favourite — ↓ $7,400 leads at 40% · 44¢ on Polymarket | Financials | 40% | $418K | $193K | ||
| 49 | $49B is likely at 76% · 77¢ on Polymarket | Financials | 76%+2% | $6K | $1K | ||
| 50 | ↓ $360 is very likely at 86% · 89¢ on Polymarket | Financials | 86%+57% | $22K | $92K | ||
Events per page:501–50 of 907 | |||||||