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Science and Technology
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above ___ end of November?
opinion
polymarket

Will NVIDIA close above its price by Nov 30, 2026?

Oct 30, 2026, 6:00 PM ET - Nov 30, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Total volume:
$76,828
Volume 24h:
$647
99%
Liquidity:
$62,603
2%
Open interest:
$55,571N/A

$150

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Opinion

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 30, 2026

Time left: 22d:13h:42m

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $150 end of November?

89%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 94.5¢ buys you 106 shares | Odds: 89% Total Payout: $106 | Net Profit: $6 Multiplier: 1.06x | ROI: 6% | APY: 156% 22 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$150

Trade
89%
5%
Yes 94.5¢No 16.9¢
11.4¢
$9,688
$2,371
6%
N/A
N/A
3w 1d 13h
Active
opinion

150

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 1d 13h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
88.8%
Yes 88.8¢No 11.2¢
11.4¢
polymarket

$160

Trade
80%
2%
Yes 89¢No 30¢
19¢
$9,509
$3,164
11%
6,229%
N/A
3w 1d 13h
Active
opinion

160

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 1d 13h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
79.5%
Yes 79.5¢No 20.5¢
19.0¢
polymarket

$170

Trade
72%
3%
Yes 86¢No 42¢
28¢
$320
$3,135
0%
N/A
N/A
3w 1d 13h
Active
opinion

170

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 1d 13h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
72%
Yes 72¢No 28¢
28.0¢
polymarket

$180

Trade
60%
Yes 73¢No 53¢
26¢
$405
$2,383
0%
N/A
N/A
3w 1d 13h
Active
opinion

180

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 1d 13h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
60%
Yes 60¢No 40¢
26.0¢
polymarket

$190

Trade
34%
8%
Yes 43¢No 76¢
19¢
$498
$7,842
0.06%
N/A
N/A
3w 1d 13h
Active
opinion

190

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 1d 13h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
33.5%
Yes 33.5¢No 66.5¢
19.0¢
polymarket

$200

Trade
31%
5%
Yes 36¢No 74¢
10¢
$14,736
$21,969
0.28%
N/A
N/A
3w 1d 13h
Active
opinion

200

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 1d 13h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
31%
Yes 31¢No 69¢
10.0¢
polymarket

$210

Trade
20%
1%
Yes 26¢No 87¢
13¢
$14,869
$29,885
0.33%
N/A
N/A
3w 1d 13h
Active
opinion

210

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 1d 13h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
19.5%
Yes 19.5¢No 80.5¢
13.0¢
polymarket

$230

Trade
15%
31%
Yes 23¢No 93¢
16¢
$1,071
$100
0%
N/A
N/A
3w 1d 13h
Active
opinion

230

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 1d 13h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
15%
Yes 15¢No 85¢
16.0¢
polymarket

$220

Trade
14%
6%
Yes 17¢No 90¢
7¢
$10,113
$5,950
0%
N/A
N/A
3w 1d 13h
Active
opinion

220

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 1d 13h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
13.5%
Yes 13.5¢No 86.5¢
7.0¢
polymarket

$140

Trade
90%
1%
Yes 97¢No 17.9¢
14.9¢
$618
$30
0%
N/A
N/A
3w 1d 13h
Active
opinion

140

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 1d 13h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
—
polymarket

$240

Trade
11%
Yes 20.9¢No 98.9¢
19.8¢
$365
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 1d 13h
Active
opinion

240

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 1d 13h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
—
polymarket

$250

Trade
44%
30%
Yes 88.1¢No 99.8¢
87.9¢
$348
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 1d 13h
Active
opinion

250

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 1d 13h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
—
polymarket

$260

Trade
46%
Yes 91.1¢No 99.8¢
90.9¢
$61
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 1d 13h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
—
Total markets: 25 of 26

Description

These markets ask whether NVIDIA (NVDA) stock will close above a specified price at the end of November. Resolution relies on the closing price reported by Pyth, with fallback mechanisms to other sources if Pyth data is unavailable. Corporate actions like stock splits will be accounted for with split-adjusted prices.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Opinion markets utilize the same core resolution logic and primary data source (Pyth) for determining the closing price of NVDA at the end of November.Primary resolution logic: Pyth (https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD)

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the 'Close' value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
  • If no Pyth Close value is available, the last valid Pyth price during regular trading hours is used, followed by the official closing price from the primary exchange as a final fallback.
  • Stock splits or reverse stock splits will be accounted for using split-adjusted prices from Pyth.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • No Trading Day: If NVDA does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of November, the market will resolve 50-50.
  • Equal Price: If the closing price is exactly equal to the target price, the market will resolve to 'No'.
Timing: Resolution will occur based on the closing price on the final trading day of November 2026 (or the relevant year for each market).Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final trading day of November 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the month, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.

Opinion

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official "Close" price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the trading day specified in the title is strictly higher than the price specified in the title. A "Close" exactly equal to the specified price resolves to "No". If the market is not open on the specified day (exchange holiday or unscheduled closure), or NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during that day's regular session, this market resolves 50-50 — each side is paid at half value; this is not a refund. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting NVIDIA (NVDA), this market resolves on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in the title is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/ under "Historical Prices". If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which NVIDIA (NVDA) trades governs.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often reflect a ‘wisdom of the crowd’ perspective, potentially incorporating information not immediately captured in traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts provide expert opinions, this market allows a broader range of participants to express their beliefs, weighted by their willingness to put capital at risk. Discrepancies can arise due to differing methodologies, biases, or access to information. It’s possible to see this market’s implied probability diverge from consensus analyst price targets for NVIDIA, offering a unique data point for investors to consider.

This market resolves around Nov 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether NVIDIA’s (NVDA) closing stock price on the last trading day of November is above the specified threshold. The final price will be sourced from a reputable financial data provider, ensuring an objective determination of the outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the verified result.

Several factors could significantly impact this market before Nov 30, 2026. Key catalysts include NVIDIA’s quarterly earnings reports, announcements regarding new product launches (particularly in AI and data center technologies), and broader macroeconomic trends affecting the semiconductor industry. Unexpected news regarding competition from other chip manufacturers or changes in regulatory policies could also drive price movements. Any significant shifts in investor sentiment towards growth stocks or the tech sector, in general, could also influence trading activity in this market.