TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
These markets ask where the S&P 500 will close on the final trading day of December 2026. Kalshi offers granular 200-point brackets across the full range, while Polymarket segments the market into five broader price bands ($6,000-$7,000, $7,000-$7,500, $7,500-$8,000, >$8,000, and <$6,000). Both use the official closing price on December 31, 2026 at 4pm EST as the settlement value.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.