TOTAL VOLUME:

$143.5b

24H VOL:

$195,145,316

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,692,168,434

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,731,064,451

482,647

Markets across

36,631

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,924

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Science and Technology

What are science and technology prediction markets pricing in?

Science & technology predictions. Market odds on product launches, research breakthroughs, and industry trends. Read more...

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1Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17?99%
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24H ↓ 0.27D ↓ 0.6

A rise isn't inherently "good".

All eventsShowing 50 of 266 events, sorted by 24h volume
Active
Status & type
Price & activity
Returns
Timing
Columns
Rows
#
Event
Category
PH Consensus
Volume
Liquidity
Ends in
Platforms
Live prediction market data aggregated across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless, Predict.Fun and Opinion, ranked by 24-hour volume. Implied chance in percent, prices in US cents per share, volume and liquidity in US dollars. Data fetched .
#EventCategoryPH ConsensusVolumeLiquidityEnds inPlatforms
1

No clear favourite — Before Nov 16, 2026 leads at 14% · 14¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology14%$554KN/ASee marketsPolymarketK
2

Above 18.9% is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology99%+22%$413KN/AK
3

No clear favourite — Before Jan 20, 2029 leads at 19% · 20¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology19%$41MN/AK
4

Above 17.1% is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology99%+3%$353KN/AK
5

Above 21.7% is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology99%$326KN/AK
6

Gemini is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology99%+3%$214KN/AK
7

Close call — December 31, 2027 at 51% · 51¢ on Polymarket

Science and Technology51%$918K$71KSee marketsPolymarket
8

Anthropic is likely at 66% · 69¢ on Polymarket

Science and Technology66%+5%$15M$65KSee marketsPolymarketK
9

Gemini is likely at 77% · 77¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology77%$491KN/AK
10

Above 3.5% is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology99%$113KN/AK
11

December 31 is very likely at 98% · 98.7¢ on Polymarket

Science and Technology98%$561K$31KSee marketsPolymarket
12

No clear favourite — October 20 leads at 32% · 32.7¢ on Polymarket

Science and Technology32%+1%$120K$75KSee marketsPolymarket
13

No clear favourite — Above 168T tokens leads at 13% · 43¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology13%−62%$27KN/AK
14

No clear favourite — Anthropic leads at 48% · 48¢ on Polymarket

Science and Technology48%$2.6M$1.2MPolymarket
15

Above 35.6% is slightly favoured at 61% · 50¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology61%$14KN/AK
16

Above 7 is very likely at 99% · 99¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology99%$226KN/AK
17

October 31 is very likely at 99% · 99.4¢ on Polymarket

Science and Technology99%$1.2M$51KSee marketsPolymarket
18

gemini-4-argon-high is very likely at 97% · 97¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology97%+4%$34KN/AK
19

Above 43.6% is very likely at 98% · 99¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology98%$9KN/AK
20

9% chance this happens · Yes at 9¢ on Polymarket

Science and Technology9%−4%$325K$31KPolymarket
21

Before 2028 is likely at 65% · 73¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology65%$273K$36KSee marketsPolymarketK
22

No clear favourite — June 30, 2027 leads at 17% · 17¢ on Polymarket

Science and Technology17%−2%$3.1M$67KSee marketsPolymarket
23

Before Jul 1, 2027 is very likely at 85% · 85¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology85%$5KN/AK
24

No clear favourite — Before Nov 6, 2026 leads at 32% · 32¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology32%$327KN/AK
25

5% chance this happens · Yes at 12¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology5%$430KN/AK
26

Above 120 is very likely at 99% · 99¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology99%$1.1M$13KSee marketsKPolymarket
27

Before 2035 is likely at 78% · 87.8¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology78%$332KN/ASee marketsK
28

Before Jan 1, 2030 is likely at 81% · 82¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology81%$237KN/AK
29

Above 11.4% is likely at 74% · 76¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology74%$2KN/AK
30

No clear favourite — Before January 1, 2027 leads at 14% · 14¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology14%+1%$88KN/AK
31

Meta is very likely at 88% · 88¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology88%$11KN/AK
32

Central African Republic is likely at 71% · 73¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology71%+35%$439KN/AK
33

Above 5.3% is very likely at 93% · 95¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology93%$2KN/AK
34

Above $12.77 is very likely at 98% · 100¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology98%$191K$19KSee marketsKPolymarket
35

11% chance this happens · Yes at 12¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology11%$123KN/AK
36Science and Technology85%$9KN/AK
37

Before Dec 11, 2026 is very likely at 93% · 93¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology93%$88KN/AK
38

4% chance this happens · best 4¢ on Predict

Science and Technology4%$5.1M$143KPredictOpinion
39

No clear favourite — 1480+ leads at 32% · 33.1¢ on Polymarket

Science and Technology32%−4%$420K$15KSee marketsPolymarketK
40

Xiaomi is very likely at 98% · 99¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology98%$21KN/AK
41

No clear favourite — OpenAI leads at 18% · 16¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology18%+1%$1.2MN/AK
42

No clear favourite — Anthropic leads at 44% · 47¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology44%+4%$3KN/AK
43

5% chance this happens · Yes at 6¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology5%+1%$983KN/AK
44

No clear favourite — At least 1540 score leads at 49% · best 58¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology49%$549K$4KSee marketsPolymarketKPredict
45

Above $3.23 is very likely at 90% · 90¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology90%$85K$7KSee marketsKPolymarket
46

1% chance this happens · Yes at 0.7¢ on Polymarket

Science and Technology1%$61K$165KPolymarket
47

At least 2000 is very likely at 97% · 98¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology97%+1%$81KN/AK
48

Close call — Above 13.5% at 50% · 55¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology50%−15%$1KN/AK
49

December 31 is very likely at 91% · 91¢ on Predict

Science and Technology91%−3%$11K$6KPredict
50

No clear favourite — 10 leads at 31% · 31¢ on Polymarket

Science and Technology31%+8%$26K$15KSee marketsPolymarket

Science and Technology prediction markets

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

Human moon landing in 2026?

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?

GPU rental prices (H200) end of 2026?

Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

GPU rental prices (H100) end of 2026?

Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?