TOTAL VOLUME:
$142.3b
24H VOL:
$107,419,736
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,643,541,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,594,026,835
471,138
Markets across
35,775
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,926
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
A rise isn't inherently "good".
| # | Event | Category | PH Consensus | Volume | Liquidity | Ends in | Platforms |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | No clear favourite — Before Dec 1, 2026 leads at 12% · 20¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 12% | $554K | N/A | ||
| 2 | No clear favourite — Before Jan 20, 2029 leads at 22% · 22¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 22%+1% | $40M | N/A | K | |
| 3 | Anthropic is likely at 65% · 70¢ on Polymarket | Science and Technology | 65%+3% | $15M | $66K | ||
| 4 | Above 21.7% is very likely at 98% · 99¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 98%+3% | $148K | N/A | K | |
| 5 | Above 16.2% is very likely at 99% · 99¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 99%+8% | $116K | N/A | K | |
| 6 | Above 15.1% is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 99% | $132K | N/A | K | |
| 7 | Gemini is likely at 68% · 69¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 68%+2% | $434K | N/A | K | |
| 8 | Denver, CO is very likely at 96% · 96¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 96% | $398K | N/A | K | |
| 9 | December 31 is very likely at 98% · 99.4¢ on Polymarket | Science and Technology | 98%+1% | $466K | $30K | ||
| 10 | Xiaomi is likely at 68% · 69¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 68%−6% | $47K | N/A | K | |
| 11 | Above 3.2% is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 99% | $41K | N/A | K | |
| 12 | No clear favourite — Anthropic leads at 45% · 45¢ on Polymarket | Science and Technology | 45% | $2.5M | $1.2M | ||
| 13 | Gemini is very likely at 91% · 94¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 91%+6% | $118K | N/A | K | |
| 14 | Close call — December 31, 2027 at 52% · 52¢ on Polymarket | Science and Technology | 52% | $862K | $35K | ||
| 15 | Above 44.7% is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 99%+1% | $30K | N/A | K | |
| 16 | 50% chance this happens · Yes at 50¢ on Polymarket | Science and Technology | 50% | $23K | $6K | ||
| 17 | Above 7.6% is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 99% | $23K | N/A | K | |
| 18 | Above 9.0% is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 99% | $22K | N/A | K | |
| 19 | Above 39.2% is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 99% | $21K | N/A | K | |
| 20 | Above 5.0% is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 99% | $20K | N/A | K | |
| 21 | 4% chance this happens · best 3.2¢ on Predict | Science and Technology | 4% | $5.0M | $178K | ![]() ![]() | |
| 22 | No clear favourite — Before Nov 13, 2026 leads at 43% · 42¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 43%+6% | $299K | N/A | K | |
| 23 | No clear favourite — December 31 leads at 37% · 39¢ on Polymarket | Science and Technology | 37%+1% | $1.8M | $8K | ||
| 24 | Above 21.8% is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 99%+34% | $21K | N/A | K | |
| 25 | 55%+ is very likely at 100% · 100¢ on Polymarket | Science and Technology | 100%+54% | $94K | $13K | ||
| 26 | No clear favourite — 60%+ leads at 22% · 23¢ on Polymarket | Science and Technology | 22%−11% | $137K | $3K | ||
| 27 | Above 11.3% is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 99%+26% | $15K | N/A | K | |
| 28 | gemini-4-argon-high is very likely at 94% · 93¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 94%+1% | $18K | N/A | K | |
| 29 | Above 14.2% is very likely at 86% · 86¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 86% | $19K | N/A | K | |
| 30 | No clear favourite — Above 16.4% leads at 10% · 2¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 10% | $14K | N/A | K | |
| 31 | No clear favourite — No release by October 31 leads at 20% · 20.5¢ on Polymarket | Science and Technology | 20%+12% | $80K | $49K | ||
| 32 | Above 6 is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 99% | $198K | N/A | K | |
| 33 | Above 4.4% is slightly favoured at 60% · 69¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 60% | $13K | N/A | K | |
| 34 | Above 9.6% is likely at 80% · 81¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 80% | $13K | N/A | K | |
| 35 | No clear favourite — Before January 1, 2027 leads at 13% · 14¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 13% | $81K | N/A | K | |
| 36 | No clear favourite — 1480+ leads at 31% · 34.2¢ on Polymarket | Science and Technology | 31%+3% | $412K | $13K | ||
| 37 | Above 28.3% is very likely at 96% · 95¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 96% | $9K | N/A | K | |
| 38 | No clear favourite — Central African Republic leads at 38% · 37¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 38% | $435K | N/A | K | |
| 39 | No clear favourite — Microsoft leads at 28% · 29¢ on Polymarket | Science and Technology | 28%−6% | $43K | $4K | ||
| 40 | 6% chance this happens · Yes at 5.3¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 6%+3% | $2.0M | N/A | K | |
| 41 | No clear favourite — March 31, 2027 leads at 26% · 30¢ on Polymarket | Science and Technology | 26%+18% | $30K | $3K | ||
| 42 | Before Dec 11, 2026 is very likely at 89% · 92¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 89% | $81K | N/A | K | |
| 43 | No clear favourite — Above 0 leads at 15% · 15¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 15% | $156K | N/A | K | |
| 44 | Above $6.09 is very likely at 97% · 99¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 97% | $135K | $6K | K | |
| 45 | Above 4.6% is very likely at 90% · 91¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 90% | $4K | N/A | K | |
| 46 | Before Jan 1, 2029 is very likely at 92% · 92¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 92% | $65K | N/A | K | |
| 47 | 92% chance this happens · best 93¢ on Polymarket | Science and Technology | 92%+2% | $4.3M | $6K | ![]() | |
| 48 | 20% chance this happens · Yes at 20¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 20%−5% | $412K | N/A | K | |
| 49 | 2% chance this happens · Yes at 1.9¢ on Polymarket | Science and Technology | 2% | $432K | $11K | ||
| 50 | Above 120 is very likely at 99% · 99¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 99%+1% | $1.1M | $8K | K | |
Events per page:501–50 of 275 | |||||||