TOTAL VOLUME:

$142.3b

24H VOL:

$107,419,736

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,643,541,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,594,026,835

471,138

Markets across

35,775

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,926

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Science and Technology

What are science and technology prediction markets pricing in?

Science & technology predictions. Market odds on product launches, research breakthroughs, and industry trends. Read more...

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24H ↑ 0.27D ↓ 0.1

A rise isn't inherently "good".

All eventsShowing 50 of 275 events, sorted by 24h volume
Active
Status & type
Price & activity
Returns
Timing
Columns
Rows
#
Event
Category
PH Consensus
Volume
Liquidity
Ends in
Platforms
Live prediction market data aggregated across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless, Predict.Fun and Opinion, ranked by 24-hour volume. Implied chance in percent, prices in US cents per share, volume and liquidity in US dollars. Data fetched .
#EventCategoryPH ConsensusVolumeLiquidityEnds inPlatforms
1

No clear favourite — Before Dec 1, 2026 leads at 12% · 20¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology12%$554KN/ASee marketsPolymarketK
2

No clear favourite — Before Jan 20, 2029 leads at 22% · 22¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology22%+1%$40MN/AK
3

Anthropic is likely at 65% · 70¢ on Polymarket

Science and Technology65%+3%$15M$66KSee marketsPolymarketK
4

Above 21.7% is very likely at 98% · 99¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology98%+3%$148KN/AK
5

Above 16.2% is very likely at 99% · 99¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology99%+8%$116KN/AK
6

Above 15.1% is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology99%$132KN/AK
7

Gemini is likely at 68% · 69¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology68%+2%$434KN/AK
8

Denver, CO is very likely at 96% · 96¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology96%$398KN/AK
9

December 31 is very likely at 98% · 99.4¢ on Polymarket

Science and Technology98%+1%$466K$30KSee marketsPolymarket
10

Xiaomi is likely at 68% · 69¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology68%−6%$47KN/AK
11

Above 3.2% is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology99%$41KN/AK
12

No clear favourite — Anthropic leads at 45% · 45¢ on Polymarket

Science and Technology45%$2.5M$1.2MPolymarket
13

Gemini is very likely at 91% · 94¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology91%+6%$118KN/AK
14

Close call — December 31, 2027 at 52% · 52¢ on Polymarket

Science and Technology52%$862K$35KSee marketsPolymarket
15

Above 44.7% is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology99%+1%$30KN/AK
16

50% chance this happens · Yes at 50¢ on Polymarket

Science and Technology50%$23K$6KPolymarket
17

Above 7.6% is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology99%$23KN/AK
18

Above 9.0% is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology99%$22KN/AK
19

Above 39.2% is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology99%$21KN/AK
20

Above 5.0% is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology99%$20KN/AK
21

4% chance this happens · best 3.2¢ on Predict

Science and Technology4%$5.0M$178KPredictOpinion
22

No clear favourite — Before Nov 13, 2026 leads at 43% · 42¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology43%+6%$299KN/AK
23

No clear favourite — December 31 leads at 37% · 39¢ on Polymarket

Science and Technology37%+1%$1.8M$8KSee marketsPolymarketK
24

Above 21.8% is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology99%+34%$21KN/AK
25

55%+ is very likely at 100% · 100¢ on Polymarket

Science and Technology100%+54%$94K$13KPolymarket
26

No clear favourite — 60%+ leads at 22% · 23¢ on Polymarket

Science and Technology22%−11%$137K$3KPolymarket
27

Above 11.3% is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology99%+26%$15KN/AK
28

gemini-4-argon-high is very likely at 94% · 93¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology94%+1%$18KN/AK
29

Above 14.2% is very likely at 86% · 86¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology86%$19KN/AK
30

No clear favourite — Above 16.4% leads at 10% · 2¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology10%$14KN/AK
31

No clear favourite — No release by October 31 leads at 20% · 20.5¢ on Polymarket

Science and Technology20%+12%$80K$49KSee marketsPolymarket
32

Above 6 is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology99%$198KN/AK
33

Above 4.4% is slightly favoured at 60% · 69¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology60%$13KN/AK
34

Above 9.6% is likely at 80% · 81¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology80%$13KN/AK
35

No clear favourite — Before January 1, 2027 leads at 13% · 14¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology13%$81KN/AK
36

No clear favourite — 1480+ leads at 31% · 34.2¢ on Polymarket

Science and Technology31%+3%$412K$13KSee marketsPolymarketK
37

Above 28.3% is very likely at 96% · 95¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology96%$9KN/AK
38

No clear favourite — Central African Republic leads at 38% · 37¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology38%$435KN/AK
39

No clear favourite — Microsoft leads at 28% · 29¢ on Polymarket

Science and Technology28%−6%$43K$4KPolymarket
40Science and Technology6%+3%$2.0MN/AK
41

No clear favourite — March 31, 2027 leads at 26% · 30¢ on Polymarket

Science and Technology26%+18%$30K$3KSee marketsPolymarket
42

Before Dec 11, 2026 is very likely at 89% · 92¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology89%$81KN/AK
43

No clear favourite — Above 0 leads at 15% · 15¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology15%$156KN/AK
44

Above $6.09 is very likely at 97% · 99¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology97%$135K$6KSee marketsKPolymarket
45

Above 4.6% is very likely at 90% · 91¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology90%$4KN/AK
46

Before Jan 1, 2029 is very likely at 92% · 92¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology92%$65KN/AK
47

92% chance this happens · best 93¢ on Polymarket

Science and Technology92%+2%$4.3M$6KSee marketsPolymarketOpinion
48Science and Technology20%−5%$412KN/AK
49

2% chance this happens · Yes at 1.9¢ on Polymarket

Science and Technology2%$432K$11KPolymarket
50

Above 120 is very likely at 99% · 99¢ on Kalshi

Science and Technology99%+1%$1.1M$8KSee marketsKPolymarket

Science and Technology prediction markets

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

Human moon landing in 2026?

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?

GPU rental prices (H200) end of 2026?

Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

GPU rental prices (H100) end of 2026?

Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?