TOTAL VOLUME:
$143.5b
24H VOL:
$195,145,316
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,692,168,434
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,731,064,451
482,647
Markets across
36,631
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,924
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
A rise isn't inherently "good".
| # | Event | Category | PH Consensus | Volume | Liquidity | Ends in | Platforms |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | No clear favourite — Before Nov 16, 2026 leads at 14% · 14¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 14% | $554K | N/A | ||
| 2 | Above 18.9% is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 99%+22% | $413K | N/A | K | |
| 3 | No clear favourite — Before Jan 20, 2029 leads at 19% · 20¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 19% | $41M | N/A | K | |
| 4 | Above 17.1% is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 99%+3% | $353K | N/A | K | |
| 5 | Above 21.7% is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 99% | $326K | N/A | K | |
| 6 | Gemini is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 99%+3% | $214K | N/A | K | |
| 7 | Close call — December 31, 2027 at 51% · 51¢ on Polymarket | Science and Technology | 51% | $918K | $71K | ||
| 8 | Anthropic is likely at 66% · 69¢ on Polymarket | Science and Technology | 66%+5% | $15M | $65K | ||
| 9 | Gemini is likely at 77% · 77¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 77% | $491K | N/A | K | |
| 10 | Above 3.5% is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 99% | $113K | N/A | K | |
| 11 | December 31 is very likely at 98% · 98.7¢ on Polymarket | Science and Technology | 98% | $561K | $31K | ||
| 12 | No clear favourite — October 20 leads at 32% · 32.7¢ on Polymarket | Science and Technology | 32%+1% | $120K | $75K | ||
| 13 | No clear favourite — Above 168T tokens leads at 13% · 43¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 13%−62% | $27K | N/A | K | |
| 14 | No clear favourite — Anthropic leads at 48% · 48¢ on Polymarket | Science and Technology | 48% | $2.6M | $1.2M | ||
| 15 | Above 35.6% is slightly favoured at 61% · 50¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 61% | $14K | N/A | K | |
| 16 | Above 7 is very likely at 99% · 99¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 99% | $226K | N/A | K | |
| 17 | October 31 is very likely at 99% · 99.4¢ on Polymarket | Science and Technology | 99% | $1.2M | $51K | ||
| 18 | gemini-4-argon-high is very likely at 97% · 97¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 97%+4% | $34K | N/A | K | |
| 19 | Above 43.6% is very likely at 98% · 99¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 98% | $9K | N/A | K | |
| 20 | 9% chance this happens · Yes at 9¢ on Polymarket | Science and Technology | 9%−4% | $325K | $31K | ||
| 21 | Before 2028 is likely at 65% · 73¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 65% | $273K | $36K | ||
| 22 | No clear favourite — June 30, 2027 leads at 17% · 17¢ on Polymarket | Science and Technology | 17%−2% | $3.1M | $67K | ||
| 23 | Before Jul 1, 2027 is very likely at 85% · 85¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 85% | $5K | N/A | K | |
| 24 | No clear favourite — Before Nov 6, 2026 leads at 32% · 32¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 32% | $327K | N/A | K | |
| 25 | 5% chance this happens · Yes at 12¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 5% | $430K | N/A | K | |
| 26 | Above 120 is very likely at 99% · 99¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 99% | $1.1M | $13K | K | |
| 27 | Before 2035 is likely at 78% · 87.8¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 78% | $332K | N/A | K | |
| 28 | Before Jan 1, 2030 is likely at 81% · 82¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 81% | $237K | N/A | K | |
| 29 | Above 11.4% is likely at 74% · 76¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 74% | $2K | N/A | K | |
| 30 | No clear favourite — Before January 1, 2027 leads at 14% · 14¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 14%+1% | $88K | N/A | K | |
| 31 | Meta is very likely at 88% · 88¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 88% | $11K | N/A | K | |
| 32 | Central African Republic is likely at 71% · 73¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 71%+35% | $439K | N/A | K | |
| 33 | Above 5.3% is very likely at 93% · 95¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 93% | $2K | N/A | K | |
| 34 | Above $12.77 is very likely at 98% · 100¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 98% | $191K | $19K | K | |
| 35 | 11% chance this happens · Yes at 12¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 11% | $123K | N/A | K | |
| 36 | OpenAI is very likely at 85% · 86¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 85% | $9K | N/A | K | |
| 37 | Before Dec 11, 2026 is very likely at 93% · 93¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 93% | $88K | N/A | K | |
| 38 | 4% chance this happens · best 4¢ on Predict | Science and Technology | 4% | $5.1M | $143K | ![]() ![]() | |
| 39 | No clear favourite — 1480+ leads at 32% · 33.1¢ on Polymarket | Science and Technology | 32%−4% | $420K | $15K | ||
| 40 | Xiaomi is very likely at 98% · 99¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 98% | $21K | N/A | K | |
| 41 | No clear favourite — OpenAI leads at 18% · 16¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 18%+1% | $1.2M | N/A | K | |
| 42 | No clear favourite — Anthropic leads at 44% · 47¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 44%+4% | $3K | N/A | K | |
| 43 | 5% chance this happens · Yes at 6¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 5%+1% | $983K | N/A | K | |
| 44 | No clear favourite — At least 1540 score leads at 49% · best 58¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 49% | $549K | $4K | ![]() | |
| 45 | Above $3.23 is very likely at 90% · 90¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 90% | $85K | $7K | K | |
| 46 | 1% chance this happens · Yes at 0.7¢ on Polymarket | Science and Technology | 1% | $61K | $165K | ||
| 47 | At least 2000 is very likely at 97% · 98¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 97%+1% | $81K | N/A | K | |
| 48 | Close call — Above 13.5% at 50% · 55¢ on Kalshi | Science and Technology | 50%−15% | $1K | N/A | K | |
| 49 | December 31 is very likely at 91% · 91¢ on Predict | Science and Technology | 91%−3% | $11K | $6K | ![]() | |
| 50 | No clear favourite — 10 leads at 31% · 31¢ on Polymarket | Science and Technology | 31%+8% | $26K | $15K | ||
Events per page:501–50 of 266 | |||||||