TOTAL VOLUME:
$142.3b
24H VOL:
$107,419,736
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,643,541,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,594,026,835
471,138
Markets across
35,775
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,926
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
What are the latest political prediction market odds?
Election & political predictions. Compare market odds and forecasts on political outcomes. Read more...
A rise isn't inherently "good".
| # | Event | Category | PH Consensus | Volume | Liquidity | Ends in | Platforms |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | No clear favourite — December 31, 2028 leads at 27% · 28¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 27% | $6.0M | $715K |  | |
| 2 | Democratic Party is very likely at 90% · best 82.7¢ on Opinion | Politics | 90% | $78M | $5.0M | K  | |
| 3 | Democrats Sweep is slightly favoured at 62% · best 51¢ on Opinion | Politics | 62%+1% | $90M | $9.2M | K | |
| 4 | No clear favourite — Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leads at 15% · best 14¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 15%−1% | $1.55B | $77M | K+1 | |
| 5 | James Talarico is slightly favoured at 64% · best 63¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 64% | $31M | $1.0M | K | |
| 6 | Flávio Bolsonaro is likely at 83% · best 83.1¢ on Predict | Politics | 83%−3% | $201M | $2.1M | K | |
| 7 | No clear favourite — JD Vance leads at 22% · best 21¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 22% | $795M | $62M | K+1 | |
| 8 | No clear favourite — 320-339 leads at 27% · 27.7¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 27%+23% | $2.3M | $277K | | |
| 9 | October 15 is very likely at 98% · 98.7¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 98%+1% | $13M | $1.0M | | |
| 10 | Close call — Other at 50% · 99.9¢ on Limitless | Politics | 50% | $47M | $3.3M | K | |
| 11 | Close call — Other at 50% · best 99.9¢ on Limitless | Politics | 50% | $153M | $18M | K+1 | |
| 12 | Close call — Nithya Raman at 54% · best 54.5¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 54%−1% | $118M | $303K | K | |
| 13 | No Hormuz Agreement is very likely at 95% · 95¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 95%+5% | $1.6M | $989K | | |
| 14 | March 31 is slightly favoured at 59% · 60¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 59%−7% | $40M | $571K | | |
| 15 | Close call — Republican party at 55% · best 52¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 55% | $1.9M | $290K | K | |
| 16 | October 15 is very likely at 99% · 99¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 99% | $35M | $293K | | |
| 17 | Democrat is very likely at 94% · best 94.1¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 94% | $3.0M | $186K | K | |
| 18 | Xavier Becerra is very likely at 96% · best 95.9¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 96% | $106M | $11M | K | |
| 19 | No clear favourite — Above 38.8% leads at 41% · 41¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 41% | $264K | N/A | K | |
| 20 | Democrat is likely at 69% · best 69¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 69% | $8.7M | $777K | K | |
| 21 | Other is slightly favoured at 60% · 99.9¢ on Limitless | Politics | 60% | $807M | $53M | K+1 | |
| 22 | Before Jan 1, 2029 is very likely at 90% · 90¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 90%−1% | $460K | N/A | K | |
| 23 | Person O is very likely at 92% · 92.4¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 92%+9% | $5.3M | $1.8M | K | |
| 24 | No clear favourite — Flávio Bolsonaro <4% leads at 40% · 40¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 40%+7% | $1.2M | $796K | | |
| 25 | No clear favourite — 300-319 leads at 13% · 13¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 13%+4% | $395K | $250K | | |
| 26 | No clear favourite — December 31 leads at 9% · 9¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 9% | $76M | $317K | | |
| 27 | Republican is likely at 77% · best 78¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 77% | $2.9M | $349K | K | |
| 28 | Republican party is slightly favoured at 59% · best 58¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 59% | $6.0M | $641K | K | |
| 29 | Close call — Democrat at 52% · best 52¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 52%−1% | $1.9M | $511K | K | |
| 30 | 0 (0 bps) is very likely at 96% · 96.2¢ on Predict | Politics | 96% | $22M | $56M | | |
| 31 | No clear favourite — December 31 leads at 5% · 4.7¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 5% | $73M | $745K | | |
| 32 | Democrat is very likely at 95% · best 95.2¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 95% | $1.3M | $105K | K | |
| 33 | No clear favourite — Steve Witkoff leads at 39% · 40¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 39% | $1.5M | $436K | | |
| 34 | No clear favourite — ≤47 leads at 31% · best 13¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 31% | $5.6M | $1.5M | K | |
| 35 | Above 10 is very likely at 98% · 99¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 98% | $195K | N/A | K | |
| 36 | Before Jan 1, 2029 is likely at 68% · 68¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 68%+2% | $46M | N/A | K | |
| 37 | No clear favourite — December 31 leads at 46% · 47¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 46% | $1.4M | $111K | | |
| 38 | No clear favourite — Ammunition leads at 0% · 0.1¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 0% | $486K | $1.0M | | |
| 39 | No clear favourite — December 31 leads at 26% · 26¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 26%−5% | $204K | $73K | | |
| 40 | Democrat is slightly favoured at 57% · best 57¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 57%+1% | $11M | $458K | K | |
| 41 | Democratic Party is slightly favoured at 63% · best 63¢ on Predict | Politics | 63% | $13M | $6.0M | K | |
| 42 | No clear favourite — Christopher Luxon leads at 49% · 50¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 49% | $10M | $574K | K | |
| 43 | 8% chance this happens · Yes at 8¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 8%+3% | $3.6M | $112K | | |
| 44 | 13% chance this happens · best 14¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 13% | $15M | $789K | | |
| 45 | Sherrod Brown (D) is slightly favoured at 60% · best 60¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 60% | $8.0M | $548K | K | |
| 46 | No clear favourite — December 31 leads at 26% · 26¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 26%+4% | $596K | $129K | | |
| 47 | Democratic Party is very likely at 94% · best 93.7¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 94% | $253K | $104K | K | |
| 48 | No clear favourite — Before Jan 20, 2029 leads at 38% · 40¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 38% | $42M | $452K | K | |
| 49 | Chiang Wan-an is slightly favoured at 63% · best 62¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 63%−2% | $1.3M | $240K | K | |
| 50 | Aleksandar Vučić is likely at 69% · best 69.3¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 69%−1% | $1.3M | $492K | K | |
Events per page:501–50 of 3,236 | |||||||