TOTAL VOLUME:
$143.5b
24H VOL:
$195,145,316
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,692,168,434
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,731,064,451
482,647
Markets across
36,631
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,924
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
What are the latest political prediction market odds?
Election & political predictions. Compare market odds and forecasts on political outcomes. Read more...
A rise isn't inherently "good".
| # | Event | Category | PH Consensus | Volume | Liquidity | Ends in | Platforms |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Before Jan 1, 2027 is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 99%+15% | $2.6M | N/A | K | |
| 2 | October 17 is very likely at 99% · 99.2¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 99%+3% | $16M | $897K |  | |
| 3 | Democratic Party is very likely at 90% · best 82.7¢ on Opinion | Politics | 90% | $81M | $4.4M | K  | |
| 4 | No clear favourite — Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leads at 15% · best 14¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 15% | $1.55B | $77M | K+1 | |
| 5 | Flávio Bolsonaro is likely at 77% · best 76.9¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 77% | $205M | $1.4M | K | |
| 6 | Democrats Sweep is slightly favoured at 62% · best 62¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 62% | $93M | $8.2M | K | |
| 7 | No clear favourite — JD Vance leads at 21% · best 21¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 21% | $796M | $62M | K+1 | |
| 8 | No clear favourite — Scott Jennings leads at 18% · 18¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 18% | $710K | N/A | K | |
| 9 | Other is slightly favoured at 60% · 99.9¢ on Limitless | Politics | 60% | $808M | $52M | K+1 | |
| 10 | James Talarico (D) is slightly favoured at 62% · best 62¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 62% | $34M | $898K | K | |
| 11 | 90-114 is very likely at 100% · 100¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 100%+45% | $863K | $384K | | |
| 12 | October 18 is very likely at 98% · 97.8¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 98%+3% | $36M | $293K | | |
| 13 | Close call — Nithya Raman at 53% · best 53¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 53% | $119M | $290K | K | |
| 14 | No clear favourite — December 31 leads at 5% · 4.9¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 5%+1% | $74M | $737K | | |
| 15 | No clear favourite — Flávio Bolsonaro <4% leads at 41% · 41¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 41%+1% | $2.1M | $1.2M | | |
| 16 | No Hormuz Agreement is very likely at 91% · 91.6¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 91%−4% | $1.1M | $612K | | |
| 17 | No clear favourite — 360-379 leads at 24% · 24.7¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 24%+8% | $1.1M | $221K | | |
| 18 | Oil ≥ $85; D Senate is slightly favoured at 60% · 60.3¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 60% | $596K | $1.1M | | |
| 19 | Xavier Becerra is very likely at 96% · best 95.8¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 96% | $106M | $7.8M | K | |
| 20 | Close call — Gadi Eizenkot at 53% · best 47¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 53%+4% | $48M | $3.5M | K | |
| 21 | Democrat is very likely at 94% · best 93.7¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 94%−1% | $3.6M | $198K | K | |
| 22 | Abdul El-Sayed (D) is likely at 69% · best 68¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 69% | $9.5M | $672K | K | |
| 23 | Democratic (DFL) party is very likely at 87% · best 87¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 87% | $2.6M | $187K | K | |
| 24 | December 31 is likely at 83% · 83¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 83% | $230K | $144K | | |
| 25 | Close call — Other at 50% · best 0¢ on Limitless | Politics | 50% | $154M | $18M | K+1 | |
| 26 | 4% chance this happens · best 2.7¢ on Predict | Politics | 4% | $17M | $504K | | |
| 27 | 0 (0 bps) is very likely at 96% · 96.5¢ on Predict | Politics | 96% | $22M | $65M | | |
| 28 | Democratic Party is likely at 65% · best 62¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 65% | $13M | $5.3M | K | |
| 29 | Republican party is very likely at 85% · best 85¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 85%−1% | $4.1M | $280K | K | |
| 30 | No clear favourite — ≤47 leads at 30% · best 15¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 30% | $5.9M | $1.4M | K | |
| 31 | No clear favourite — 280-299 leads at 12% · 13¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 12%+4% | $290K | $211K | | |
| 32 | Democrat is slightly favoured at 57% · best 57¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 57% | $11M | $516K | K | |
| 33 | No clear favourite — Before Oct 27, 2026 leads at 1% · 1¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 1%−24% | $144K | N/A | K | |
| 34 | No clear favourite — ≤47 leads at 39% · 41¢ on Predict | Politics | 39% | $125K | $331K | | |
| 35 | No clear favourite — December 31 leads at 18% · best 18¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 18%+2% | $17M | $350K | | |
| 36 | 3% chance this happens · best 2.8¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 3% | $15M | $456K | | |
| 37 | March 31 is slightly favoured at 59% · 59¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 59% | $41M | $437K | | |
| 38 | 78% chance this happens · Yes at 78¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 78%+3% | $480K | $229K | | |
| 39 | No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate is slightly favoured at 64% · 64.3¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 64%+2% | $221K | $1.3M | | |
| 40 | Sherrod Brown (D) is likely at 65% · best 65¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 65%+1% | $8.5M | $470K | K | |
| 41 | Person O is very likely at 94% · best 95.1¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 94%+7% | $5.5M | $1.3M | K | |
| 42 | Republican party is likely at 72% · best 71¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 72%+1% | $378K | $247K | K | |
| 43 | No clear favourite — Below 193 leads at 31% · 31¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 31% | $4.6M | $310K | K | |
| 44 | No clear favourite — Scott Jennings leads at 18% · 18¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 18% | $88K | $407K | | |
| 45 | Democratic party is likely at 84% · best 83¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 84%+6% | $340K | $85K | K | |
| 46 | Before Jan 1, 2029 is likely at 65% · 65¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 65% | $47M | N/A | K | |
| 47 | Republican party is slightly favoured at 64% · best 64¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 64%−1% | $4.6M | $343K | K | |
| 48 | December 31, 2027 is likely at 69% · 69¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 69% | $8.8M | $1.2M | | |
| 49 | Democratic Party is very likely at 94% · best 94.4¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 94%+1% | $444K | $96K | K | |
| 50 | Democrat is very likely at 89% · best 90¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 89% | $2.5M | $292K | K | |
Events per page:501–50 of 3,275 | |||||||