TOTAL VOLUME:

$116.5b

24H VOL:

$88,584,025

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,361,103,189

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,156,797,162

328,564

Markets across

33,078

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,111

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

BETA

Science and Technology

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

polymarket

limitless

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

Total volume:

$1,492,441

Volume 24h:

$178,658

25,687%

Liquidity:

$75,321

84%

Open interest:

$300,862N/A

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

- Polymarket

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? - Polymarket

11%

-6%

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Aug 19

Aug 20

Aug 22

Aug 23

Aug 24

Aug 26

Aug 26

Vol.

$195.7k

·

Resolves Jan 3, 2027

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

Amount

$

Trade on

polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 11¢ buys you 909 shares | Odds: 11% Total Payout: $909 | Net Profit: $809 Multiplier: 9.09x | ROI: 809% APY not meaningful 129 days to resolution

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Markets

Outcome

Trade

Chance %

Price

Spread

Liquidity

Volume

24h

7d

Open Interest

Ends in

Result

title

trade

chance

price

spread

liquidity

volume

volume24pers

volume7pers

openInterest

endDate

unifiedStatus

polymarket

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

11%

Yes 11¢

No 90¢

1¢

$75,321

$1,492,441

14%

16%

N/A

4mo 1w 2d

active

limitless

Before Oct 1, 2026

N/A

N/A

99.8¢

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

2mo 1w 2d

active

limitless

Before Nov 3, 2026

N/A

N/A

99.8¢

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

2mo 1w 2d

active

limitless

Before Sep 1, 2026

N/A

N/A

99.8¢

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

2mo 1w 2d

active

MUI X License key version mismatch

Total markets: 4

Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S. Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term. Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify. The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S. Senate or government.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S. Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term. Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify. The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S. Senate or government.

Limitless

If Ruben Gallego leaves as Senator before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Ruben Gallego must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term. Outcome verified from Ruben Gallego, The Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg News, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Fox News, Reuters, official government records and registries, the body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which role is held, CNN, the New York Times, and Politico.