TOTAL VOLUME:
$139.1b
24H VOL:
$124,496,173
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,525,689,812
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,582,520,465
479,046
Markets across
37,121
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,871
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Who's leading in election prediction markets?
Election predictions & political odds. See where prediction markets stand on electoral outcomes. Read more...
A rise isn't inherently "good".
| # | Event | Category | PH Consensus | Volume | Liquidity | Ends in | Platforms |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Democratic Party is slightly favoured at 61% · 61¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 61% | $14M | N/A | K | |
| 2 | No clear favourite — Above 52 leads at 36% · 36¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 36% | $4.2M | N/A | K | |
| 3 | Below 53 is likely at 65% · 65¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 65% | $428K | N/A | K | |
| 4 | Democratic party is likely at 73% · 74¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 73%−1% | $2.7M | N/A | K | |
| 5 | Abdul El-Sayed is likely at 67% · 67¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 67%−3% | $2.3M | N/A | K | |
| 6 | No clear favourite — 230-233 leads at 15% · 15¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 15%−3% | $2.7M | N/A | K | |
| 7 | No clear favourite — James Talarico and Troy Jackson leads at 47% · 47¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 47%−1% | $1.5M | N/A | K | |
| 8 | At least 48% is very likely at 97% · 98¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 97% | $60K | N/A | K | |
| 9 | No clear favourite — Iowa leads at 19% · best 15¢ on Polymarket | Elections | 19% | $856K | $178K | K | |
| 10 | Magdalena Andersson is likely at 81% · best 81¢ on Polymarket | Elections | 81%+1% | $10M | $1.4M | K | |
| 11 | Democratic party is very likely at 98% · 98.3¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 98%+2% | $49K | N/A | K | |
| 12 | Tocantins is very likely at 97% · 97¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 97%+1% | $41K | N/A | K | |
| 13 | Democrats, 1+ pts is slightly favoured at 56% · 57¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 56%−4% | $352K | N/A | K | |
| 14 | Democratic party is very likely at 96% · 96.7¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 96%−1% | $1.8M | N/A | K | |
| 15 | At least 20% is very likely at 96% · 100¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 96% | $98K | N/A | K | |
| 16 | No clear favourite — Javier Milei leads at 45% · 45¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 45% | $14K | N/A | K | |
| 17 | No clear favourite — Flávio Bolsonaro, 3-6% leads at 35% · 36¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 35% | $54K | N/A | K | |
| 18 | Democratic party is very likely at 94% · 93.7¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 94%−3% | $29K | N/A | K | |
| 19 | AfD is very likely at 100% · best 100¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 100%+7% | $120K | N/A | K | |
| 20 | Democratic party is very likely at 94% · 94.4¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 94%−3% | $19K | N/A | K | |
| 21 | No clear favourite — At least 21% leads at 19% · 4¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 19% | $50K | N/A | K | |
| 22 | CDU is very likely at 99% · best 99¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 99%+1% | $87K | N/A | K | |
| 23 | Republican party is likely at 69% · 69¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 69%+1% | $324K | N/A | K | |
| 24 | At least 17% is very likely at 98% · 100¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 98% | $39K | N/A | K | |
| 25 | Grüne is very likely at 100% · best 100¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 100%+11% | $70K | N/A | K | |
| 26 | Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva is likely at 70% · 70¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 70% | $19K | N/A | K | |
| 27 | At least 45% is very likely at 96% · 96¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 96% | $36K | N/A | K | |
| 28 | At least 24% is likely at 79% · 79¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 79% | $8K | N/A | K | |
| 29 | No clear favourite — Democratic Sweep leads at 49% · 50¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 49%−1% | $446K | N/A | K | |
| 30 | Talarico defeats Paxton is slightly favoured at 62% · 62¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 62%−3% | $417K | N/A | K | |
| 31 | Republican party is very likely at 89% · 90¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 89% | $10K | N/A | K | |
| 32 | No clear favourite — Democratic by 9.0% or more leads at 28% · 29¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 28% | $112K | N/A | K | |
| 33 | Republican party is very likely at 93% · 95¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 93%−5% | $6K | N/A | K | |
| 34 | At least 11% is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 99% | $77K | N/A | K | |
| 35 | No clear favourite — At least 27,500,000 leads at 4% · 4¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 4% | $5K | N/A | K | |
| 36 | Mike Johnson is likely at 65% · 69¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 65% | $5K | N/A | K | |
| 37 | Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥1% is likely at 74% · 74¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 74% | $15K | N/A | K | |
| 38 | Democrats, 3+ pts is likely at 71% · 74¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 71% | $39K | N/A | K | |
| 39 | 35% chance this happens · Yes at 40¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 35% | $5K | N/A | K | |
| 40 | Republican party is slightly favoured at 63% · 63¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 63% | $6K | N/A | K | |
| 41 | 51% chance this happens · Yes at 54¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 51%+5% | $4K | N/A | K | |
| 42 | Republican party is likely at 76% · 82¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 76%−1% | $5K | N/A | K | |
| 43 | At least 4,800,000 is very likely at 99% · 99¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 99% | $6K | N/A | K | |
| 44 | Democratic party is very likely at 98% · 98¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 98% | $4K | N/A | K | |
| 45 | Republican party is very likely at 98% · 98.2¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 98% | $77K | N/A | K | |
| 46 | David Morales is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 99% | $260K | N/A | K | |
| 47 | Democratic party is very likely at 98% · 97.6¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 98% | $6K | N/A | K | |
| 48 | At least 12% is very likely at 98% · 100¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 98% | $80K | N/A | K | |
| 49 | 58% chance this happens · Yes at 61¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 58%+6% | $3K | N/A | K | |
| 50 | Chuck Schumer is very likely at 97% · 93¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 97% | $3K | N/A | K | |
Events per page:501–50 of 2,256 | |||||||