TOTAL VOLUME:
$142.3b
24H VOL:
$107,419,736
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,643,541,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,594,026,835
471,138
Markets across
35,775
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,926
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Who's leading in election prediction markets?
Election predictions & political odds. See where prediction markets stand on electoral outcomes. Read more...
A rise isn't inherently "good".
| # | Event | Category | PH Consensus | Volume | Liquidity | Ends in | Platforms |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Democratic Party is slightly favoured at 61% · 62¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 61% | $15M | N/A | K | |
| 2 | Close call — Democrats, 1+ pts at 55% · 56¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 55%−5% | $544K | N/A | K | |
| 3 | No clear favourite — 234-237 leads at 16% · 16¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 16% | $2.9M | N/A | K | |
| 4 | No clear favourite — Above 52 leads at 36% · 36¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 36%+1% | $4.6M | N/A | K | |
| 5 | Democratic party is very likely at 96% · 96.4¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 96% | $1.9M | N/A | K | |
| 6 | Abdul El-Sayed is likely at 68% · 68¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 68%+1% | $2.5M | N/A | K | |
| 7 | 2% chance this happens · Yes at 2¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 2% | $43K | N/A | K | |
| 8 | No clear favourite — Texas leads at 18% · best 17¢ on Polymarket | Elections | 18% | $961K | $178K | K | |
| 9 | Magdalena Andersson is likely at 81% · best 81¢ on Polymarket | Elections | 81% | $10M | $1.4M | K | |
| 10 | No clear favourite — Democratic by 91 to 130 leads at 12% · 13¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 12%−2% | $23K | N/A | K | |
| 11 | No clear favourite — The Democrats leads at 33% · 33¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 33%+3% | $36K | N/A | K | |
| 12 | Democratic party is likely at 74% · 74¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 74%+1% | $2.7M | N/A | K | |
| 13 | No clear favourite — Democratic by 9.0% or more leads at 22% · 24¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 22%−4% | $128K | N/A | K | |
| 14 | 4% chance this happens · Yes at 4¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 4% | $110K | N/A | K | |
| 15 | No clear favourite — James Talarico and Troy Jackson leads at 47% · 48¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 47% | $1.7M | N/A | K | |
| 16 | At least 48% is very likely at 95% · 70¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 95%+33% | $17K | N/A | K | |
| 17 | Republican party is very likely at 98% · 98.1¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 98%+1% | $49K | N/A | K | |
| 18 | At least 44% is very likely at 93% · 93¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 93%+4% | $17K | N/A | K | |
| 19 | Republican party is very likely at 96% · 96.2¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 96% | $24K | N/A | K | |
| 20 | Below 53 is likely at 65% · 65¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 65% | $462K | N/A | K | |
| 21 | No clear favourite — 53 leads at 14% · 10¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 14%−5% | $49K | N/A | K | |
| 22 | Democratic party is very likely at 97% · 96.9¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 97% | $30K | N/A | K | |
| 23 | Democratic party is very likely at 97% · 97.4¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 97%+1% | $24K | N/A | K | |
| 24 | Republicans, 24+ pts is very likely at 99% · 81¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 99%+38% | $16K | N/A | K | |
| 25 | No clear favourite — Benson by 3-6 leads at 26% · 35¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 26% | $6K | N/A | K | |
| 26 | No clear favourite — Flávio Bolsonaro, 3-6% leads at 47% · 47¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 47%+5% | $84K | N/A | K | |
| 27 | Democratic party is very likely at 97% · 96.7¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 97% | $17K | N/A | K | |
| 28 | Democrats, 3+ pts is likely at 66% · 71¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 66%−8% | $45K | N/A | K | |
| 29 | Exactly 0 is very likely at 94% · 95.6¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 94% | $114K | N/A | K | |
| 30 | No clear favourite — Republican Governor, Democratic Senator leads at 45% · 46¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 45%−1% | $63K | N/A | K | |
| 31 | Democratic party is very likely at 97% · 96.9¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 97% | $13K | N/A | K | |
| 32 | Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥1% is very likely at 92% · 93¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 92% | $9K | N/A | K | |
| 33 | Republican party is likely at 73% · 73¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 73% | $446K | N/A | K | |
| 34 | Democratic party is very likely at 94% · 95¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 94% | $20K | N/A | K | |
| 35 | Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥1% is very likely at 86% · 86¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 86%−1% | $25K | N/A | K | |
| 36 | 44% chance this happens · Yes at 43¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 44% | $6K | N/A | K | |
| 37 | Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥1% is very likely at 96% · 96¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 96%+3% | $18K | N/A | K | |
| 38 | Talarico defeats Paxton is slightly favoured at 62% · 63¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 62% | $390K | N/A | K | |
| 39 | Republican party is likely at 77% · 77¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 77%+1% | $11K | N/A | K | |
| 40 | 48% chance this happens · Yes at 54¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 48% | $3K | N/A | K | |
| 41 | Marine Le Pen is likely at 76% · 76¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 76% | $43K | N/A | K | |
| 42 | No clear favourite — Pingree by 8-12 leads at 24% · 27¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 24% | $3K | N/A | K | |
| 43 | No clear favourite — AOC v. JD Vance leads at 13% · 17¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 13% | $314K | N/A | K | |
| 44 | 26% chance this happens · Yes at 34¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 26%−12% | $4K | N/A | K | |
| 45 | Democratic party is slightly favoured at 59% · 59¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 59% | $597K | N/A | K | |
| 46 | No clear favourite — Jean-Luc Mélenchon leads at 36% · 35¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 36% | $14K | N/A | K | |
| 47 | No clear favourite — Texas leads at 36% · 36¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 36% | $141K | N/A | K | |
| 48 | At least 10 is very likely at 96% · 100¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 96% | $58K | N/A | K | |
| 49 | 90% chance this happens · Yes at 93¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 90% | $21K | N/A | K | |
| 50 | Katherine Robertson is very likely at 96% · 96¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 96% | $2K | N/A | K | |
Events per page:501–50 of 2,402 | |||||||