TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Total volume:
$9,345,854
Volume 24h:
$7,405
98%
Liquidity:
$166,091
13%
Open interest:
$399,333
0%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group asks whether Reza Pahlavi will de facto hold and exercise the powers of head of state of Iran by December 31, 2026. Resolution requires demonstrated primary governing authority—including control over armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making—regardless of formal title or international recognition. Symbolic status, exile leadership without domestic control, or foreign recognition alone will not qualify.
Created at:Apr 30, 2026, 7:14 PM GMT+0
Updated at:May 25, 2026, 10:21 PM GMT+0
Event ID:238279
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