TOTAL VOLUME:

$147.6b

24H VOL:

$156,130,290

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,799,919,006

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,782,923,786

501,315

Markets across

37,757

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,847

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Politics
Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
kalshi

Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?

Oct 16, 2026, 1:30 PM EST - Jan 27, 2029, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$2,977,635
Volume 24h:
$622,976N/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$2,138,182
6%

Anna Kelly

 - Kalshi

Anna Kelly - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 27, 2029

Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary before Jan 20, 2029?

27%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 27¢ buys you 370 shares | Odds: 27% Total Payout: $370 | Net Profit: $270 Multiplier: 3.70x | ROI: 270% | APY: 78% 826 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Anna Kelly

Trade
27%
8%
Yes 27¢No 74¢
1¢
N/A
$284,213
26%
1,029%
$181,439
2y 3mo
active
kalshi

Scott Jennings

7%
6%
Yes 7¢No 94¢
1¢
N/A
$288,956
10%
398%
$170,941
2y 3mo
active
kalshi

Elizabeth Pipko

5%
1%
Yes 5¢No 96¢
1¢
N/A
$151,641
9%
852%
$120,712
2y 3mo
active
kalshi

Kari Lake

3%
Yes 3¢No 98¢
1¢
N/A
$221,505
18%
554%
$187,774
2y 3mo
active
kalshi

Maria Bartiromo

3%
Yes 3¢No 98¢
1¢
N/A
$174,124
2%
562%
$118,902
2y 3mo
active
kalshi

Danielle Alvarez

3%
Yes 3¢No 98¢
1¢
N/A
$102,478
5%
384%
$84,463
2y 3mo
active
kalshi

Margo Martin

3%
Yes 3¢No 98¢
1¢
N/A
$65,741
2%
1,062%
$58,124
2y 3mo
active
kalshi

Harrison Fields

3%
Yes 3¢No 100¢
3¢
N/A
$19,400
0%
153%
$15,171
2y 3mo
active
kalshi

Alina Habba

2%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$113,237
1%
239%
$96,918
2y 3mo
active
kalshi

No new person

2%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$146,544
3%
881%
$73,130
2y 3mo
active
kalshi

Katie Miller

2%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$94,856
2%
627%
$83,424
2y 3mo
active
kalshi

Tricia McLaughlin

2%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$77,853
0.59%
1,384%
$38,632
2y 3mo
active
kalshi

Ben Ferguson

2%
1%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$61,083
10%
669%
$53,270
2y 3mo
active
kalshi

Beni Rae Harmony

2%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$12,733
4%
263%
$12,294
2y 3mo
active
kalshi

Roma Daravi

2%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$12,053
7%
287%
$11,970
2y 3mo
active
kalshi

Hogan Gidley

1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$13,308
0%
190%
$10,558
2y 3mo
active
kalshi

Laura Loomer

1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$225,389
0%
704%
$143,104
2y 3mo
active
kalshi

Steven Cheung

1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$127,364
7%
292%
$99,625
2y 3mo
active
kalshi

Monica Crowley

1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$107,379
5%
10,991%
$40,332
2y 3mo
active
kalshi

Karoline Leavitt

1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$89,262
9%
601%
$73,866
2y 3mo
active
kalshi

Katie Pavlich

1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$67,464
22%
3,277%
$49,096
2y 3mo
active
kalshi

Natalie Harp

1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$43,596
0%
165%
$33,827
2y 3mo
active
kalshi

Erika Kirk

1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$39,388
1%
150%
$32,987
2y 3mo
active
kalshi

Erin Elmore Scavino

1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$35,468
0.76%
91%
$22,927
2y 3mo
active
kalshi

Rachel Campos-Duffy

1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$32,313
0.54%
208%
$25,183
2y 3mo
active
Total markets: 25 of 62

Intro

This market tracks the likelihood of various individuals becoming the next White House Press Secretary under a second Trump administration before January 20, 2029. Currently, Kalshi gives Anna Kelly a 17.0% probability of being appointed to the position, while Scott Jennings is at 13.0%. The market will resolve based on whether Alina Habba formally holds the position of White House Press Secretary before January 20, 2029, as determined by the resolution source. Keep an eye on the Republican National Convention in July 2028, as potential cabinet and administration appointments are often signaled during that event.

Kalshi

The event determines the individual who will next permanently hold the position of White House Press Secretary under Donald Trump’s administration before January 20, 2029. Each market corresponds to a specific candidate, with resolution occurring if that candidate is the first to formally assume the role in a permanent, non-temporary capacity after the market issuance. Acting, interim, or provisional holders do not qualify. If no new permanent holder emerges by the deadline, the 'No new person' market resolves positively, and all others resolve negatively. Should the first qualifying appointee not match any listed candidate, all markets resolve negatively. The holder of the position at issuance is excluded from consideration for all markets.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Trump Press Secretary market tracks the current odds for each potential candidate, represented as implied probabilities. It also displays the total volume traded in this market, currently at $2,977,635, and the 24-hour volume, which is $195,136. You can also view a price history chart to see how the odds have changed over time. This allows participants to understand market sentiment and track which individuals are currently favored to become the next White House Press Secretary.

Currently, it's difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to traditional analyst forecasts. While polls and expert opinions offer predictions about potential candidates, they often focus on broader popularity or suitability rather than the probability of actually securing the position. This market, however, reflects what participants are willing to wager, providing a unique measure of perceived likelihood. Discrepancies between this market and analyst forecasts can arise due to differing methodologies and the incentive structure inherent in prediction markets.

This market resolves around Jan 27, 2029, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the individual officially appointed and confirmed as the White House Press Secretary. Any announcement made by the former President or the White House will be considered. The market will determine which candidate fulfills this role, as verified against credible public sources, and the corresponding contracts will be settled accordingly.

Several signals and events could significantly impact this market. Any official statements from the former President regarding potential candidates, or reports of interviews and vetting processes, would likely cause price fluctuations. Major political developments, such as changes in the political landscape or unexpected resignations within the former President's circle, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, media coverage and public endorsements of potential candidates could influence trading activity and move this market.