TOTAL VOLUME:

$147.6b

24H VOL:

$156,130,290

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,799,919,006

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,782,923,786

501,315

Markets across

37,757

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,847

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Next Press Secretary?
predict
polymarket

Next Press Secretary?

Oct 16, 2026, 2:13 PM EST - Dec 31, 2027, 11:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$230,706
Volume 24h:
$35,234
28%
Liquidity:
$599,113
3%
Open interest:
$44,706N/A

Anna Kelly

all

2 markets

Predict

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Dec 31, 2027

Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?

36%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
predict

Trade on Predict

At 56.9¢ buys you 176 shares | Odds: 36% Total Payout: $176 | Net Profit: $76 Multiplier: 1.76x | ROI: 76% | APY: 61% 433 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

Anna Kelly

Trade
36%
13%
Yes 56.9¢No 86¢
42.9¢
$32,397
$433
0%
N/A
N/A
1y 2mo 1w
active
polymarket

Anna Kelly

Trade
26%
8%
Yes 27¢No 75¢
2¢
$24,457
$72,816
24%
314%
N/A
1y 2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
26%
Yes 41.9¢No 80.5¢
Avg: 22.5¢Max: 42.9¢
predict

Scott Jennings

Trade
37%
30%
Yes 37¢No 63¢
—
$32,168
$7
0%
N/A
N/A
1y 2mo 1w
active
polymarket

Scott Jennings

Trade
6%
4%
Yes 7¢No 95¢
2¢
$24,296
$54,823
13%
129%
N/A
1y 2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
6%
Yes 22¢No 79¢
Avg: 2¢Max: 2¢
polymarket

Elizabeth Pipko

Trade
5%
3%
Yes 5.8¢No 95.3¢
1.1¢
$16,485
$16,675
44%
27,757%
N/A
1y 2mo 1w
active
predict

Elizabeth Pipko

Trade
N/A
N/A
35.7¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1y 2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
5.3%
Yes 5.8¢No 95.3¢
Avg: 18.4¢Max: 35.7¢
polymarket

Kayleigh McEnany

Trade
5%
1%
Yes 6.8¢No 96.8¢
3.6¢
$15,755
$4,995
0%
8,244%
N/A
1y 2mo 1w
active
predict

Kayleigh McEnany

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1y 2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
5%
Yes 6.8¢No 96.8¢
Avg: 3.6¢Max: 3.6¢
polymarket

Maria Bartiromo

Trade
5%
Yes 5.1¢No 95.8¢
0.9¢
$16,016
$14,712
0%
5,983%
N/A
1y 2mo 1w
active
predict

Maria Bartiromo

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1y 2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
4.7%
Yes 5.1¢No 95.8¢
Avg: 0.9¢Max: 0.9¢
polymarket

Beni Rae Harmony

Trade
4%
Yes 6.1¢No 97.7¢
3.8¢
$12,258
$960
0%
1,504%
N/A
1y 2mo 1w
active
predict

Beni Rae Harmony

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1y 2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
4.2%
Yes 6.1¢No 97.7¢
Avg: 3.8¢Max: 3.8¢
polymarket

Margo Martin

Trade
4%
Yes 4.2¢No 96.8¢
1¢
$12,300
$1,348
29%
334%
N/A
1y 2mo 1w
active
predict

Margo Martin

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1y 2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
3.7%
Yes 4.2¢No 96.8¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
polymarket

Natalie Harp

Trade
3%
1%
Yes 4.1¢No 97.6¢
1.7¢
$18,051
$10,032
0.25%
31%
N/A
1y 2mo 1w
active
predict

Natalie Harp

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1y 2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
3.3%
Yes 4.1¢No 97.6¢
Avg: 1.7¢Max: 1.7¢
polymarket

Taylor Rogers

Trade
3%
Yes 2.8¢No 97.5¢
0.3¢
$12,315
$711
0%
145%
N/A
1y 2mo 1w
active
predict

Taylor Rogers

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1y 2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
2.7%
Yes 2.8¢No 97.5¢
Avg: 0.3¢Max: 0.3¢
polymarket

Katie Miller

Trade
3%
Yes 3.8¢No 98.6¢
2.4¢
$16,394
$4,834
9%
1,437%
N/A
1y 2mo 1w
active
predict

Katie Miller

Trade
N/A
N/A
73.3¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1y 2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
2.6%
Yes 3.8¢No 98.6¢
Avg: 37.9¢Max: 73.3¢
polymarket

Harrison Fields

Trade
3%
Yes 3.7¢No 98.5¢
2.2¢
$15,099
$2,033
9%
3,296%
N/A
1y 2mo 1w
active
predict

Harrison Fields

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1y 2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
2.6%
Yes 3.7¢No 98.5¢
Avg: 2.2¢Max: 2.2¢
polymarket

Lauren Bis

Trade
3%
Yes 2.7¢No 97.5¢
0.2¢
$12,971
$256
0%
328%
N/A
1y 2mo 1w
active
predict

Lauren Bis

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1y 2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
2.6%
Yes 2.7¢No 97.5¢
Avg: 0.2¢Max: 0.2¢
polymarket

Steven Cheung

Trade
2%
Yes 2.9¢No 98¢
0.9¢
$16,884
$4,836
5%
7,979%
N/A
1y 2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
2.5%
Yes 2.9¢No 98¢
Avg: 0.9¢Max: 0.9¢
Total markets: 25 of 62

Description

This group of markets asks who will be the next White House Press Secretary, replacing Katie Zacharia. The markets specify that an acting or interim role will not qualify for resolution. Resolution will occur when the White House makes an official announcement.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict utilize identical resolution criteria, focusing on a permanent White House announcement and excluding interim appointments.Primary resolution logic: Official information from the White House and Donald Trump, with a consensus of credible reporting as a secondary source.

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is triggered by an official announcement from the White House regarding a permanent replacement for Katie Zacharia.
  • Acting or interim appointments do not qualify for resolution.
  • If no permanent replacement is announced by December 31, 2027, the market resolves to 'Other'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Withdrawal/Replacement: Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawals or replacement announcements will not affect resolution.
  • Source Conflict: In the event of conflicting information, the primary resolution source is official information from the White House and Donald Trump, with a consensus of credible reporting used as a tiebreaker.
Timing: Resolution will occur upon the official announcement of a permanent White House Press Secretary replacement for Katie Zacharia, or on December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET if no replacement is named.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the next individual who the White House announces has been picked to be the White House Press Secretary who replaces Katie Zacharia by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. A person being announced as an acting or interim holder of the position will not count for purposes of this market. In the event that no individual is chosen to replace Katie Zacharia, or the role is abolished, by December 31, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Once a qualifying announcement has occurred, subsequent withdrawals or replacement announcements will not affect resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Predict

This market will resolve according to the next individual who the White House announces has been picked to be the White House Press Secretary who replaces Katie Zacharia by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. A person being announced as an acting or interim holder of the position will not count for purposes of this market. In the event that no individual is chosen to replace Katie Zacharia, or the role is abolished, by December 31, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Once a qualifying announcement has occurred, subsequent withdrawals or replacement announcements will not affect resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Predict, this dashboard tracks the probability of various individuals being named the next White House Press Secretary. It aggregates trading volume from both platforms to provide a consensus view of who is currently favored to fill this role. Currently, the total volume across both platforms exceeds $230,706, with $34,547 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows participants to see how opinions are shifting and compare the collective wisdom of the crowd to traditional political analysis regarding the next White House Press Secretary market.

Prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than traditional polling averages. Polls capture stated preferences, while this market reflects what people are willing to *stake* on. This can lead to divergences, as market participants may have more nuanced information or incentives. While polls can be useful for gauging public sentiment, the aggregated wisdom of crowds in this market can sometimes provide a more accurate forecast, particularly when considering the potential for strategic voting or biases in polling methodologies. It’s important to consider both data sources for a comprehensive understanding.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Predict on this market can arise from several factors. These platforms have different user bases, trading limits, and fee structures, all of which can influence price discovery. Additionally, Polymarket currently favors Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? at 26.0%, while Predict leans toward Will Tricia McLaughlin be the next White House Press Secretary? at 78.9%, reflecting differing opinions among their respective traders. Market sentiment and news flow can also be interpreted and reacted to at different speeds on each platform, leading to temporary price discrepancies.

This market resolves around Jan 1, 2028, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official announcement of the next White House Press Secretary by the White House. The individual named to the position by the President will determine the outcome of this market. The process will rely on publicly available information to verify the appointment, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the result.

Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Any major developments in the current administration, such as a resignation or restructuring of the communications team, would likely cause substantial shifts in probabilities. Public statements from potential candidates or key political figures could also influence trading activity. Unexpected political events, such as a change in the political landscape, could also move the market. Monitoring news cycles and political developments closely will be crucial for understanding the dynamics of this market until it resolves.