TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Jul 24, 2025, 7:47 PM EST - Dec 30, 2026, 7:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$23,361,643
Volume 24h:
$1
0%
Liquidity:
$979,681
0%
Open interest:
$5,701,864
0%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group tracks whether China will initiate a military offensive to establish control over any portion of Taiwan (Republic of China) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Resolution requires either official confirmation from China, Taiwan, the UN, or a permanent UN Security Council member, or a consensus of credible reporting. Uninhabited islands do not qualify; only inhabited territory under ROC administration counts.
Created at:Apr 30, 2026, 6:47 PM GMT+0
Updated at:May 24, 2026, 8:21 PM GMT+0
Event ID:34044
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