TOTAL VOLUME:

$117.1b

24H VOL:

$122,493,166

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,380,975,298

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,191,792,202

340,492

Markets across

34,140

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,396

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

Jul 23, 2026, 6:55 PM EST - Dec 31, 2026, 6:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$51,737
Volume 24h:
$1,975
1%
Liquidity:
$9,406
19%
Open interest:
$5,675N/A

50%+

 - Polymarket

50%+ - Polymarket

94%

+8%

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Aug 20

Aug 22

Aug 23

Aug 24

Aug 25

Aug 26

Aug 27

Vol.

$3k

·

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?

92%chance
Amount

$

You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by OpenAI achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by OpenAI achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".