TOTAL VOLUME:
$104.1b
24H VOL:
$109,125,392
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,083,183,155
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,061,875,766
200,191
Markets across
19,988
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,341
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
44%
VS.
Kalshi:
56%
All articles
Analysis, predictions, and breakdowns from across the markets.
Is Kalshi Legit? A Data-Backed Review (2026)
Yes, Kalshi is CFTC-regulated and has been since 2020. Here's what that actually protects, what the fees really cost, what deposits and withdrawals are like, and the state-by-state legal fight.
Jared Polites · Jul 28
How Accurate Are Prediction Markets? What the Resolved-Market Data Shows
Calibration, not who-won, is the real test of prediction market accuracy. Here's what large samples of resolved contracts actually show, and where the record breaks down.
Jared Polites · Jul 26
What Are Prediction Markets? How They Actually Work
Prediction markets price real-world events the way markets price stocks. See how they work, and compare live odds across all 5 major platforms.
Jared Polites · Jul 10
World Cup 2026 Week 1 Recap: What the Markets Got Wrong (and Right)
France overtook Spain, the USA won its group, and Messi tied a record. How five prediction markets repriced after Week 1.
Jared Polites · Jun 20
How to Hedge Using Prediction Markets and Crypto
Options and perpetuals hedge price. Prediction markets hedge the event you are actually afraid of. Here is how to build the cleaner hedge.
Jared Polites · Jun 16
World Cup 2026 Winner Odds: What Prediction Markets Are Saying
France and Spain are the co-favorites, but no team is above 18%. Here's what five prediction markets are currently pricing as the most likely winner — and where they disagree.
Jun 11