TOTAL VOLUME:
$149.1b
24H VOL:
$286,558,852
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,818,747,506
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,918,431,009
455,042
Markets across
33,855
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,677
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Politics
Analysis, predictions, and breakdowns from across the markets.
CLARITY Act Odds: What Prediction Markets Say About the Crypto Bill
The CLARITY Act failed a Senate procedural vote 49-50 in September. Here is how to read the CLARITY Act odds on prediction markets, and what could move them next.
Jared Polites · Oct 22
Government Shutdown Odds: How Prediction Markets Price a Shutdown
How to read government shutdown odds before the December 11 funding deadline: what these contracts measure, how platforms differ, and what to check first.
Jared Polites · Oct 18
Fed Rate Cut Odds: How to Read the Market Before the Next FOMC Meeting
Fed rate cut odds look different after September's hike. Here's how to read a Fed decision market and check the number across platforms before you rely on it.
Jared Polites · Oct 18
2026 Midterm Election Odds: What Prediction Markets Are Pricing
How to read 2026 midterm election odds: what House and Senate control contracts measure, why they differ, and how to check a price before you trust it.
Jared Polites · Oct 18