TOTAL VOLUME:
$149.1b
24H VOL:
$286,558,852
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,818,747,506
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,918,431,009
455,042
Markets across
33,855
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,677
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Market Intelligence
Data-driven reads on what prediction markets are pricing in — probabilities, movements, and what they signal.
CLARITY Act Odds: What Prediction Markets Say About the Crypto Bill
The CLARITY Act failed a Senate procedural vote 49-50 in September. Here is how to read the CLARITY Act odds on prediction markets, and what could move them next.
Jared Polites · Oct 22
NBA Awards Odds 2026: DPOY, Coach of the Year and MVP
How to read NBA DPOY odds, Coach of the Year odds and NBA MVP odds on prediction markets, and why the 65-game rule and a season-long clock change the price.
Jared Polites · Oct 22
Government Shutdown Odds: How Prediction Markets Price a Shutdown
How to read government shutdown odds before the December 11 funding deadline: what these contracts measure, how platforms differ, and what to check first.
Jared Polites · Oct 18
Fed Rate Cut Odds: How to Read the Market Before the Next FOMC Meeting
Fed rate cut odds look different after September's hike. Here's how to read a Fed decision market and check the number across platforms before you rely on it.
Jared Polites · Oct 18
2026 Midterm Election Odds: What Prediction Markets Are Pricing
How to read 2026 midterm election odds: what House and Senate control contracts measure, why they differ, and how to check a price before you trust it.
Jared Polites · Oct 18
Do Prediction Markets Affect the Stock Market?
Prediction market odds and stock prices often move together, but that's usually because both are reacting to the same news at the same moment, not because one is driving the other.
Jared Polites · Oct 5
ECB, BoE, and BoJ Rate Decisions: What Prediction Markets Show
Kalshi and Polymarket price the European Central Bank, the Bank of England, and the Bank of Japan the same way they price the Fed.
Jared Polites · Aug 30