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Rhode Island average residential electricity price in 2026
kalshi

What will Rhode Island's average residential electricity price be in 2026?

Aug 18, 2026, 12:00 PM EST - Mar 7, 2027, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$119,959
Volume 24h:
$13,633N/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$22,183
9%

Above 28.0¢/kWh

 - Kalshi

Above 28.0¢/kWh - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Mar 7, 2027

Will Rhode Island’s average residential electricity price for 2026 be above 28.0¢/kWh?

95%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 95¢ buys you 105 shares | Odds: 95% Total Payout: $105 | Net Profit: $5 Multiplier: 1.05x | ROI: 5% | APY: 15% 132 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 28.0¢/kWh

Trade
95%
Yes 95¢No 6¢
1¢
N/A
$26,938
25%
104%
$3,461
4mo 1w 5d
active
kalshi

Above 29.0¢/kWh

Trade
94%
Yes 92¢No 9¢
1¢
N/A
$18,686
0%
13%
$4,133
4mo 1w 5d
active
kalshi

Above 28.5¢/kWh

Trade
92%
Yes 94¢No 7¢
1¢
N/A
$22,137
0%
68%
$3,978
4mo 1w 5d
active
kalshi

Above 29.5¢/kWh

Trade
87%
Yes 86¢No 15¢
1¢
N/A
$21,745
0%
5%
$5,891
4mo 1w 5d
active
kalshi

Above 30.0¢/kWh

Trade
45%
Yes 45¢No 56¢
1¢
N/A
$13,447
0.01%
15%
$1,494
4mo 1w 5d
active
kalshi

Above 30.5¢/kWh

Trade
13%
Yes 12¢No 89¢
1¢
N/A
$8,196
0%
5%
$1,720
4mo 1w 5d
active
kalshi

Above 31.0¢/kWh

Trade
6%
Yes 7¢No 94¢
1¢
N/A
$8,810
0%
0%
$1,506
4mo 1w 5d
active
Total markets: 7

Description

This event tracks Rhode Island's residential electricity costs in 2026, focusing on whether the average price per kilowatt-hour exceeds specific thresholds. The outcomes depend on official energy reports that aggregate utility charges across the state. These metrics reflect broader economic and policy influences on consumer energy expenses.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the same data source: Rhode Island’s average residential electricity price for calendar year 2026 as reported by the EIA in Table 5.6.B of the Electric Power Monthly, covering the year-to-date period through December 2026. Prices are measured in cents per kilowatthour and calculated by EIA as the ratio of retail electricity revenue to retail electricity sales, not as individual utility tariff rates. Each market has a distinct threshold (28.5¢/kWh, 29.0¢/kWh, 29.5¢/kWh, 30.0¢/kWh, or 30.5¢/kWh); if the reported average price exceeds the respective threshold, that market resolves to Yes. The rules ensure consistency in measurement and calculation across all thresholds, using the same official dataset to determine outcomes.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Rhode Island electricity price market tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume on Kalshi. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different average residential electricity price outcomes for Rhode Island in 2026. The interface updates continuously to reflect the latest market sentiment and trading activity, allowing users to monitor shifts in expectations for this economic indicator.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of expectations. While analysts may incorporate long-term trends and policy outlooks, traders react quickly to new data such as fuel cost shifts, policy announcements, or weather patterns affecting supply. This can lead to tighter odds or more volatile pricing, especially ahead of key economic reports or regulatory updates that influence expectations for the coming year.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set prices through continuous bidding and asking, with the market price reflecting the current balance of buy and sell orders. The top outcome’s implied probability adjusts dynamically based on order flow and liquidity. Volume of $119,959 and recent 24-hour volume of $5,437 indicate how actively participants are trading contracts, with spikes often occurring around major energy reports or policy decisions that shape expectations for the outcome.

This market resolves around Mar 7, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final average residential electricity price for Rhode Island in 2026 will be calculated and announced by official energy agencies, closing the market based on that verified figure. Traders will see the result reflected automatically on Kalshi shortly after it is publicly confirmed.

Several signals could shift this market before it resolves, including changes in regional fuel supply, new state or federal energy policies, significant weather events that affect generation capacity, and macro-economic shifts influencing demand. Reports from energy information agencies, utility earnings calls, and legislative sessions addressing renewable energy incentives often trigger rapid price adjustments as traders reassess the most likely outcome for next year’s average price.