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IBOVESPA closing level on Oct 26, 2026
⌛Ending SoonTrendingBreaking
kalshi

What will the IBOVESPA closing level be?

Oct 19, 2026, 4:30 PM EST - Oct 26, 2026, 4:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$153,941
Volume 24h:
$102,651
442%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$61,660
335%

At least 192,000 points

 - Kalshi

At least 192,000 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Oct 26, 2026

Time left: 09h:24m:27s

IBOVESPA closes at least 215,000 on Oct 26, 2026

1%chance
Amount

$

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

At least 192,000 points

Trade
64%
Yes 62¢No 92¢
54¢
N/A
$520
45%
N/A
$179
9h 24m
active
kalshi

At least 190,000 points

Trade
59%
30%
Yes 59¢No 91¢
50¢
N/A
$2,112
64%
N/A
$1,621
9h 24m
active
kalshi

At least 191,000 points

Trade
34%
36%
Yes 60¢No 67¢
27¢
N/A
$3,537
680%
N/A
$406
9h 24m
active
kalshi

At least 193,000 points

Trade
6%
71%
Yes 25¢No 98¢
23¢
N/A
$1,806
24%
N/A
$1,348
9h 24m
active
kalshi

At least 198,000 points

Trade
6%
70%
Yes 35¢No 98¢
33¢
N/A
$1,069
126%
N/A
$663
9h 24m
active
kalshi

At least 209,000 points

Trade
5%
70%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$1,223
6,886%
N/A
$1,199
9h 24m
active
kalshi

At least 197,000 points

Trade
4%
72%
Yes 58¢No 98¢
56¢
N/A
$470
16%
N/A
$268
9h 24m
active
kalshi

At least 196,000 points

Trade
3%
87%
Yes 83¢No 97¢
80¢
N/A
$1,500
15%
N/A
$502
9h 24m
active
kalshi

At least 207,000 points

Trade
3%
72%
Yes 14¢No 99¢
13¢
N/A
$1,481
446%
N/A
$1,305
9h 24m
active
kalshi

At least 208,000 points

Trending
Trade
2%
79%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$9,549
44%
N/A
$3,020
9h 24m
active
kalshi

At least 199,000 points

Trade
2%
83%
Yes 26¢No 98¢
24¢
N/A
$2,872
322%
N/A
$2,282
9h 24m
active
kalshi

At least 205,000 points

Trade
2%
75%
Yes 10¢No 99¢
9¢
N/A
$2,292
256%
N/A
$1,672
9h 24m
active
kalshi

At least 200,000 points

Trade
2%
71%
Yes 28¢No 99¢
27¢
N/A
$1,914
693%
N/A
$1,805
9h 24m
active
kalshi

At least 203,000 points

Trade
2%
65%
Yes 10¢No 99¢
9¢
N/A
$1,901
169%
N/A
$1,262
9h 24m
active
kalshi

At least 195,000 points

Trade
2%
65%
Yes 33¢No 97¢
30¢
N/A
$1,565
12%
N/A
$1,248
9h 24m
active
kalshi

At least 201,000 points

Trade
2%
62%
Yes 19¢No 98¢
17¢
N/A
$1,443
225%
N/A
$1,083
9h 24m
active
kalshi

At least 206,000 points

Trade
2%
85%
Yes 8¢No 99¢
7¢
N/A
$1,421
688%
N/A
$1,249
9h 24m
active
kalshi

At least 202,000 points

Breaking
Trade
2%
64%
Yes 14¢No 99¢
13¢
N/A
$1,205
613%
N/A
$1,179
9h 24m
active
kalshi

At least 204,000 points

Trade
2%
Yes 9¢No 99¢
8¢
N/A
$1,099
0%
N/A
$1,099
9h 24m
active
kalshi

At least 219,000 points

Trending
Trade
1%
20%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$30,768
7,661%
N/A
$3,057
9h 24m
active
kalshi

At least 218,000 points

Trending
Trade
1%
21%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$19,317
192%
N/A
$4,152
9h 24m
active
kalshi

At least 215,000 points

Trending
Trade
1%
53%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$13,159
55%
N/A
$4,290
9h 24m
active
kalshi

At least 216,000 points

Trending
Trade
1%
27%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$12,421
31%
N/A
$3,069
9h 24m
active
kalshi

At least 217,000 points

Trending
Trade
1%
29%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$11,115
1,231%
N/A
$3,365
9h 24m
active
kalshi

At least 212,000 points

Trending
Trade
1%
47%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$5,363
255%
N/A
$3,759
9h 24m
active
Total markets: 25 of 31

Description

The markets assess whether the IBOVESPA stock index will reach or exceed various threshold levels at its official closing on October 26, 2026. Outcomes depend strictly on the final closing value observed that day, with no consideration for earlier movements or later adjustments.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the official closing level of the IBOVESPA (IBOV) index on October 26, 2026, observed at the official B3 closing auction. Each market has a specific threshold (e.g., at least 190,000 points, at least 191,000 points, etc.), and resolves to Yes only if the closing level meets or exceeds that threshold. The native index-point level is used without currency conversion. Data sources are evaluated hierarchically: the index itself, B3, TradingView, Trading Economics, Bloomberg News, The New York Times, BBC, CNBC, and CNN, with TradingView’s IBOV page as a reference. Observations are evaluated to two decimal places, and earlier threshold crossings or post-expiration revisions do not affect resolution. If no data is available by the expiration date, all markets except "No data" or "None" resolve to No. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with B3, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the IBOVESPA closing level market tracks the current price, 24-hour volume of $102,651, and total volume of $153,941. The price reflects what traders are willing to pay to own a contract that pays out based on the final IBOVESPA closing level on Oct 26, 2026. You can see how the price has changed over time with the price history chart, giving you a sense of market sentiment. This information helps you understand where traders currently believe the IBOVESPA will settle.

Currently, it's difficult to directly compare the predictions embedded in this market to traditional analyst forecasts. However, the price action in this market represents a collective intelligence view, aggregating the insights of many traders. If analysts are consistently predicting a certain range for the IBOVESPA, we would expect to see the price of contracts within that range increase, reflecting higher demand. Discrepancies between this market and analyst expectations could signal areas where the market believes analysts are over- or underestimating the potential closing level.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders submit bids (the price they're willing to buy at) and asks (the price they're willing to sell at). When a bid and ask match, a trade occurs. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of traders about the IBOVESPA's future closing level. Higher prices indicate greater confidence in a higher closing level, while lower prices suggest expectations of a lower level. The current price is the best estimate of the probability-weighted average outcome.

This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the IBOVESPA closing level is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final closing level of the IBOVESPA on that date will determine which contracts pay out and to what extent. Traders who correctly predicted the closing level will receive a payout based on the contract terms. The market's resolution is based on publicly available data and is designed to be objective and transparent, representing the actual performance of the IBOVESPA.

Several factors could significantly influence this market. Major economic announcements from Brazil, such as inflation reports, GDP growth figures, or interest rate decisions, could all cause price movements. Political developments, including policy changes or shifts in government stability, are also key catalysts. Global market conditions, particularly in the United States and China, can impact investor sentiment towards Brazilian assets. Unexpected events, like natural disasters or geopolitical shocks, could also create volatility in this market, shifting expectations for the IBOVESPA's closing level.