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$147.3b

24H VOL:

$160,757,820

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,798,566,680

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,796,460,506

516,586

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38,144

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2,845

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CPI-U index in October
kalshi

What will the CPI-U index be in October?

Oct 15, 2026, 5:00 PM EST - Nov 17, 2026, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$12,382
Volume 24h:
$81N/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$10,288
0.78%

Above 335.300

 - Kalshi

Above 335.300 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 17, 2026

Time left: 24d:17h:09m

Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for October 2026 be above 335.300?

95%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 95¢ buys you 105 shares | Odds: 95% Total Payout: $105 | Net Profit: $5 Multiplier: 1.05x | ROI: 5% | APY: 118% Illiquid market 24 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 335.300

Trade
95%
2%
Yes 100¢No 5¢
5¢
N/A
$2,615
0.08%
9%
$2,400
3w 3d 17h
active
kalshi

Above 336.300

Trade
90%
6%
Yes 100¢No 10¢
10¢
N/A
$3,356
2%
2%
$2,540
3w 3d 17h
active
kalshi

Above 336.000

Trade
56%
Yes 100¢No 45¢
45¢
N/A
$255
0.18%
0.18%
$254
3w 3d 17h
active
kalshi

Above 336.100

Trade
51%
Yes 100¢No 50¢
50¢
N/A
$575
0.14%
0.14%
$573
3w 3d 17h
active
kalshi

Above 336.200

Trade
51%
43%
Yes 100¢No 50¢
50¢
N/A
$419
0.72%
0.72%
$413
3w 3d 17h
active
kalshi

Above 336.500

Trade
16%
Yes 100¢No 83¢
83¢
N/A
$1,264
0.69%
30%
$1,080
3w 3d 17h
active
kalshi

Above 335.600

Trade
95%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$369
0%
0%
$369
3w 3d 17h
active
kalshi

Above 336.400

Trade
95%
Yes 100¢No 70¢
70¢
N/A
$310
0%
29%
$310
3w 3d 17h
active
kalshi

Above 335.900

Trade
94%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,609
0%
0%
$1,000
3w 3d 17h
active
kalshi

Above 335.800

Trade
94%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$520
0%
0%
$260
3w 3d 17h
active
kalshi

Above 335.500

Trade
94%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$240
0%
0%
$240
3w 3d 17h
active
kalshi

Above 335.700

Trade
93%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$240
0%
0%
$240
3w 3d 17h
active
kalshi

Above 336.600

Trade
86%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$609
0%
0%
$608
3w 3d 17h
active
kalshi

Above 334.200

Trade
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 3d 17h
active
kalshi

Above 334.300

Trade
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 3d 17h
active
kalshi

Above 334.400

Trade
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 3d 17h
active
kalshi

Above 334.500

Trade
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 3d 17h
active
kalshi

Above 334.600

Trade
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 3d 17h
active
kalshi

Above 334.700

Trade
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 3d 17h
active
kalshi

Above 334.800

Trade
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 3d 17h
active
kalshi

Above 334.900

Trade
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 3d 17h
active
kalshi

Above 335.000

Trade
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 3d 17h
active
kalshi

Above 335.100

Trade
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 3d 17h
active
kalshi

Above 335.200

Trade
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 3d 17h
active
kalshi

Above 335.400

Trade
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 3d 17h
active
Total markets: 25 of 35

Description

This set of markets tracks potential movements in the U.S. consumer price index for October 2026, focusing on whether the index will exceed various threshold values. The index measures changes in retail prices paid by urban consumers for a basket of goods and services, serving as a key indicator of inflation.

Kalshi

All markets in this event are resolved based on the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), specifically the U.S. city average for All items, not seasonally adjusted, with the base year 1982–84 set to 100, for the month of October 2026. The resolving authority is the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), and the relevant data is found in the Consumer Price Index News Release Table 1 for October 2026. For each market, a 'Yes' outcome occurs if the published 'All items' value under the 'Unadjusted indexes' column exceeds the specified threshold (e.g., above 334.200, above 334.300, etc.). The value used for resolution is the first official publication in the scheduled CPI release for October 2026; any subsequent revisions to the data do not alter the market outcome. Thresholds progressively increase across markets, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of inflation reaching various levels by the end of October 2026.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the October CPI market tracks the current odds of various outcomes for the Consumer Price Index (CPI-U) in October. You can view the implied probabilities, price history, and 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $81. The total volume traded in this market is $12,382. This allows traders to monitor market sentiment and activity related to inflation expectations. The dashboard provides a real-time view of how participants are pricing the potential CPI release.

Currently, prediction market odds reflect a different view than many traditional analyst forecasts regarding the October CPI. While some analysts predict a continued slowdown in inflation, this market suggests a more nuanced expectation. It's important to remember that prediction markets represent the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially incorporating information not fully captured in standard economic models. This dynamic can lead to divergences between market-based predictions and those from conventional sources, offering a unique perspective on potential economic outcomes.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction mechanism, where traders submit bids and offers for contracts representing different CPI outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of inflation expectations. Traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the actual CPI release, and the market aggregates their collective insights into a forward-looking forecast.

This market resolves around Nov 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official CPI-U index for October is verifiable from credible public reporting. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) releases this data, and the market will settle based on that official figure. Traders will be able to see the final settlement price and determine whether their predictions were accurate. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome, based on publicly available economic data.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Unexpected economic data releases, such as employment numbers or producer price index (PPI) figures, could shift expectations about future inflation. Geopolitical events or supply chain disruptions could also impact prices and influence trading activity. Furthermore, statements from the Federal Reserve regarding monetary policy, or changes in energy prices, are likely to cause fluctuations in this market. Any news that alters the perceived trajectory of inflation will likely be reflected in the trading prices.