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516,586

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Vermont maple syrup production in 2027
kalshi

What will Vermont's maple syrup production be in 2027?

Aug 17, 2026, 10:00 PM EST - Jul 7, 2027, 11:30 AM EST
Total volume:
$75,117
Volume 24h:
$0N/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$6,571
0%

Above 2.7 million gallons

 - Kalshi

Above 2.7 million gallons - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jul 7, 2027

Will Vermont’s maple syrup production for 2027 be above 2.7 million gallons?

84%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 85¢ buys you 118 shares | Odds: 84% Total Payout: $118 | Net Profit: $18 Multiplier: 1.18x | ROI: 18% | APY: 26% 256 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 2.7 million gallons

Trade
84%
Yes 85¢No 16¢
1¢
N/A
$10,013
0%
0%
$1,078
8mo 2w 2d
active
kalshi

Above 2.8 million gallons

75%
Yes 75¢No 26¢
1¢
N/A
$7,440
0%
0%
$610
8mo 2w 2d
active
kalshi

Above 2.9 million gallons

71%
Yes 69¢No 32¢
1¢
N/A
$24,266
0%
0%
$1,032
8mo 2w 2d
active
kalshi

Above 3.0 million gallons

58%
Yes 58¢No 43¢
1¢
N/A
$15,137
0%
0%
$560
8mo 2w 2d
active
kalshi

Above 3.1 million gallons

48%
Yes 49¢No 52¢
1¢
N/A
$648
0%
0%
$102
8mo 2w 2d
active
kalshi

Above 3.2 million gallons

30%
Yes 34¢No 67¢
1¢
N/A
$4,542
0%
7%
$1,021
8mo 2w 2d
active
kalshi

Above 3.3 million gallons

17%
Yes 17¢No 84¢
1¢
N/A
$6,388
0%
0%
$1,141
8mo 2w 2d
active
kalshi

Above 3.4 million gallons

15%
Yes 19¢No 82¢
1¢
N/A
$6,682
0%
2%
$1,026
8mo 2w 2d
active
Total markets: 8

Description

This event tracks Vermont's maple syrup output for the year 2027, focusing on whether production will exceed various thresholds. The outcome depends on official USDA reports, reflecting agricultural performance influenced by climate and production practices.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple thresholds for Vermont’s maple syrup production in 2027, all based on the same underlying data source: the USDA NASS reported production volume in gallons for that year. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the reported production exceeds its specific threshold—ranging from above 2.9 million gallons to above 3.3 million gallons. The underlying value is determined by the USDA NASS’s official 2027 Vermont maple syrup production figure, accessible via the Maple Syrup → Production → Gallons reporting path. The 2026 reported value of 3,091,000 gallons serves as a reference point for context but does not affect the 2027 outcome. All markets share the same data source and measurement unit, with resolution contingent upon the exact production figure published by USDA NASS post-2027.

Frequently asked questions

Compared to analyst forecasts, odds from this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of expectations for Vermont's maple syrup output. While analysts may incorporate long-term trends and historical data, traders adjust positions rapidly in response to weather patterns, production updates, and economic signals, which can create divergence from traditional forecasts.

This market resolves around Jul 7, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the production figure is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number will be compared against the market's defined thresholds to determine which outcome is correct, closing all positions based on the officially recorded data.