TOTAL VOLUME:
$139.2b
24H VOL:
$164,783,081
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,525,689,812
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,607,451,563
479,294
Markets across
37,299
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,906
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
50/50 Prediction Markets — Most Uncertain Odds Across All Platforms
Prediction market events trading closest to 50% probability across Polymarket, Kalshi, Opinion, Limitless, and more — the market's closest calls. Read more...
A rise isn't inherently "good".
| # | Event | Category | PH Consensus | Volume | Liquidity | Ends in | Platforms |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iowa — heavy favourite at 96% · 97¢ on Kalshi | Sports | 96%+53% | $10M | N/A | K | |
| 2 | Close call — Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees at 51% · best 51¢ on Opinion | Sports | 51% | $3.7M | N/A | K | |
| 3 | Las Vegas — favourite at 73% · 74¢ on Kalshi | Sports | 73%+17% | $2.9M | N/A | K | |
| 4 | San Jose St. — has the edge at 60% · 60¢ on Kalshi | Sports | 60%−3% | $2.5M | N/A | K | |
| 5 | BYU — heavy favourite at 85% · 85¢ on Kalshi | Sports | 85%+2% | $2.4M | N/A | K | |
| 6 | James Talarico is slightly favoured at 63% · best 63¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 63%−2% | $26M | $814K |  K | |
| 7 | Washington St. — favourite at 82% · 82¢ on Kalshi | Sports | 82%+43% | $1.9M | N/A | K | |
| 8 | Jacksonville is likely at 77% · 77¢ on Kalshi | Sports | 77% | $2.4M | N/A | K | |
| 9 | Cleveland — has the edge at 57% · 57¢ on Kalshi | Sports | 57% | $580K | N/A | K | |
| 10 | Seattle is slightly favoured at 62% · 62¢ on Kalshi | Sports | 62% | $1.5M | N/A | K | |
| 11 | New England is slightly favoured at 64% · 64¢ on Kalshi | Sports | 64% | $1.6M | N/A | K | |
| 12 | Democrat is likely at 67% · best 68¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 67%−2% | $7.6M | $506K | K | |
| 13 | Close call — Chicago at 53% · 53¢ on Kalshi | Sports | 53% | $1.2M | N/A | K | |
| 14 | Close call — Alabama at 54% · 54¢ on Kalshi | Sports | 54%+1% | $932K | N/A | K | |
| 15 | Notre Dame — heavy favourite at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi | Sports | 99% | $685K | N/A | K | |
| 16 | Democratic party is very likely at 89% · best 87¢ on Predict | Politics | 89% | $1.8M | $223K | K | |
| 17 | Kia Tigers — favourite at 79% · 79¢ on Kalshi | Sports | 79%−1% | $225K | N/A | K | |
| 18 | 3% chance this happens · best 3¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 3% | $15M | $660K |  | |
| 19 | Texas — favourite at 75% · 75¢ on Kalshi | Sports | 75% | $482K | N/A | K | |
| 20 | Indiana — favourite at 74% · 74¢ on Kalshi | Sports | 74% | $398K | N/A | K | |
| 21 | Democratic Party is slightly favoured at 61% · 61¢ on Kalshi | Elections | 61%−2% | $14M | N/A | K | |
| 22 | Republican party is slightly favoured at 58% · best 57.1¢ on Predict | Politics | 58%+2% | $5.6M | $520K | K | |
| 23 | Ohio St. — heavy favourite at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi | Sports | 99% | $416K | N/A | K | |
| 24 | Northwestern — heavy favourite at 99% · 99¢ on Kalshi | Sports | 99% | $393K | N/A | K | |
| 25 | Democrat is very likely at 96% · best 96.4¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 96% | $3.2M | $165K | K | |
| 26 | Democrat is slightly favoured at 58% · best 58¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 58%+1% | $11M | $378K | K | |
| 27 | Close call — Milwaukee at 51% · 51¢ on Kalshi | Sports | 51%−1% | $225K | N/A | K | |
| 28 | Oregon — favourite at 79% · 79¢ on Kalshi | Sports | 79%+1% | $445K | N/A | K | |
| 29 | 16% chance this happens · best 16¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 16%−1% | $73M | $909K | | |
| 30 | 2% chance this happens · Yes at 2¢ on Kalshi | Crypto | 2% | $11M | N/A | K | |
| 31 | Close call — New York J at 55% · 56¢ on Kalshi | Sports | 55% | $391K | N/A | K | |
| 32 | Minnesota is slightly favoured at 56% · 56¢ on Kalshi | Sports | 56%−1% | $309K | N/A | K | |
| 33 | Virginia — favourite at 78% · 78¢ on Kalshi | Sports | 78% | $110K | N/A | K | |
| 34 | Republican party is likely at 70% · best 69¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 70% | $248K | $123K | K | |
| 35 | 26% chance this happens · best 27¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 26%−4% | $5.4M | $148K | K | |
| 36 | Democrat is very likely at 97% · best 96.9¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 97% | $727K | $105K | K | |
| 37 | Washington is slightly favoured at 62% · 63¢ on Kalshi | Sports | 62% | $439K | N/A | K | |
| 38 | RJ Harris is likely at 77% · 77¢ on Kalshi | Sports | 77%+3% | $104K | N/A | K | |
| 39 | Republican party is very likely at 86% · best 85¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 86%−1% | $3.3M | $327K | K | |
| 40 | Democratic Party is slightly favoured at 63% · best 63¢ on Kalshi | Politics | 63% | $12M | $5.8M | K | |
| 41 | Houston is likely at 77% · 77¢ on Kalshi | Sports | 77%−2% | $287K | N/A | K | |
| 42 | Amy Acton (D) is likely at 70% · 73.1¢ on Predict | Politics | 70%+2% | $2.6M | $235K | K | |
| 43 | Atlanta is slightly favoured at 62% · 62¢ on Kalshi | Sports | 62% | $724K | N/A | K | |
| 44 | Missouri — has the edge at 62% · 62¢ on Kalshi | Sports | 62% | $173K | N/A | K | |
| 45 | Felix Auger-Aliassime is very likely at 93% · 93¢ on Kalshi | Sports | 93% | $79K | N/A | K | |
| 46 | 73% chance this happens · Yes at 73¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 73%−1% | $75K | $63K | | |
| 47 | Ole Miss — favourite at 77% · 77¢ on Kalshi | Sports | 77%−1% | $130K | N/A | K | |
| 48 | 7% chance this happens · Yes at 7¢ on Polymarket | Politics | 7%−3% | $799K | $59K | | |
| 49 | Los Angeles R is slightly favoured at 62% · 62¢ on Kalshi | Sports | 62% | $272K | N/A | K | |
| 50 | 3% chance this happens · Yes at 2.8¢ on Polymarket | Health | 3%−1% | $364K | $226K | | |
Events per page:501–50 of 6,619 | |||||||