TOTAL VOLUME:
$146.7b
24H VOL:
$162,970,420
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,781,800,361
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,740,912,349
501,518
Markets across
37,286
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,933
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Time left: 03d:00h:28m
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This market tracks whether Houston will win its professional football game against New York G. Currently, Kalshi gives Houston an 81.0% probability of winning, while New York G is at 21.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the New York G vs Houston Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, as determined by the game’s official results. Keep a close eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 25, 2026, as the final score will determine the market’s resolution.
The market resolves based on the result of the professional football game between the two teams scheduled for October 25, 2026. If the game is won by the respective team, the market resolves accordingly. In the event of a tie, each team’s market will resolve to $0.50. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open to resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market will resolve to a fair price. These rules ensure clarity and fairness in resolving the market under various scenarios, including ties and scheduling changes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are initially set by analysts. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or react slower to new information, while this market aggregates diverse opinions from many participants. If sportsbook odds significantly deviate from those seen here, it could signal an opportunity for informed traders. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and discrepancies can arise due to differing methodologies and information access.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts dynamically. This creates a real-time assessment of the event's likelihood, driven entirely by supply and demand within the market. The current volume traded is $726,559.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the New York vs Houston game, as reported by a trusted source. The final price of the contracts will reflect the actual outcome, allowing traders to realize their profits or losses based on their predictions. The market will close prior to the event’s completion to allow for a clear and accurate resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or unexpected developments related to the New York or Houston teams could significantly shift market sentiment. Major announcements about weather conditions or venue changes could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants or shifts in public opinion could trigger price movements, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.