TOTAL VOLUME:
$146.7b
24H VOL:
$162,970,420
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,781,800,361
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,740,912,349
501,518
Markets across
37,286
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,933
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Chicago
- Kalshi
Chicago - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Oct 22, 2026
Time left: 07h:45m:01s
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This market tracks whether Chicago or New England will win their upcoming professional football game. Currently, Kalshi gives Chicago a 59.0% probability of winning, while New England is at 41.0%. The market resolves based on the official result of the New England vs Chicago Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 22, 2026, as reported by the game’s official results. Traders should particularly watch for the outcome of the game itself, as the market will resolve the day after the scheduled match date of October 23, 2026.
The market resolves based on the official result of the professional football game between New England and Chicago scheduled for October 22, 2026. If either team wins, the respective market will resolve to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, each team’s market will resolve to $0.50. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open to resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market will resolve to a fair price. These rules ensure clarity across potential scheduling changes and tie outcomes.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a more accurate forecast of events than traditional sportsbook odds, as they aggregate the wisdom of many individuals. While sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, this market allows participants to directly express their beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and widely publicized, serving as a common point of reference for those new to predictive markets. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, biases, or simply the dynamics of each type of market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating growing confidence in that outcome. Conversely, selling pressure drives prices down. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market constantly adjusts to new information and changing expectations regarding the New England versus Chicago game. The current volume traded is $3,661,093.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the result will be determined by the final score of the New England versus Chicago game, as officially recorded by sports authorities. The market will then pay out to those who correctly predicted the outcome, based on the contract price at the time of resolution. Traders should monitor official sources for the game’s final results to understand when and how this market will settle.
Several factors could significantly influence this market leading up to Oct 23, 2026. Unexpected news regarding key player injuries for either the New England or Chicago teams would likely cause substantial shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the market. Furthermore, any significant news related to team strategies, coaching decisions, or even public sentiment could prompt traders to adjust their positions, leading to price movements. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.