TOTAL VOLUME:

$142.3b

24H VOL:

$107,419,736

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,643,541,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,594,026,835

471,138

Markets across

35,775

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,926

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Baltimore vs New York Y (Game 2)
kalshi
opinion

Who will win Baltimore vs New York Y?

Total volume:
$3,731,275
Volume 24h:
$3,726,522
101,316%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$2,025,632
68,132%

Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees

all

2 markets

Opinion

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Sep 25, 2026

Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees

51%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
opinion

Trade on Opinion

At 51¢ buys you 196 shares | Odds: 51% Total Payout: $196 | Net Profit: $96 Multiplier: 1.96x | ROI: 96% | APY: N/A
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
opinion

Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees

Trade
51%
Yes 51¢No 49¢
—
N/A
$836
0%
0%
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Baltimore

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,149,372
N/A
N/A
$1,249,184
Settled
No
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
51%
Yes 25.5¢No 74.5¢
Avg: 100¢Max: 100¢
kalshi

New York Y

View
100%
36%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,581,066
N/A
N/A
$776,448
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks which team will win the upcoming Major League Baseball game between the Baltimore Orioles and the New York Yankees. Currently, the consensus probability of New York Y winning is 99.0%, while the probability of Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees winning is 51.0%. This aggregate reflects predictions from Kalshi and Opinion, and will resolve based on the final score of the game as reported by https://www.mlb.com/. Keep an eye on September 26, 2026, as this is the scheduled date for the game and will determine the market’s outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's 'Yes' resolution for either team winning creates ambiguity compared to opinion's direct win/loss resolution.Hero tip: Prioritize opinion market for a clearer win/loss outcome. Be aware of potential discrepancies with Kalshi's 'Yes' resolution for either team.

Critical divergence points:

  • opinion: Resolves to the winning team (Baltimore or New York). If postponed, market remains open. If canceled or tied, resolves 50-50. Key Quote: "If the Baltimore Orioles win, the market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles"."
  • kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either Baltimore or New York wins. This is an unusual setup. Key Quote: "If Baltimore wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If New York Y wins...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

Markets resolve based on the winning team of the indicated professional baseball match. If postponed or delayed, markets remain active until the game concludes within two days of the original schedule. Cancellations or reschedules beyond this window result in fair price resolution. Kalshi notes no official partnership with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Opinion

In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-09-25 23:05 UTC: If the Baltimore Orioles win, the market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles". If the New York Yankees win, the market will resolve to "New York Yankees". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.

Frequently asked questions

On PredictionHero, this dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on the Baltimore vs New York game from multiple platforms, including Kalshi and Opinion. Currently, the total volume across these platforms is $3,731,275, with $3,521,250 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a consensus view of potential outcomes, reflecting the collective wisdom of traders. While Kalshi and Opinion operate independently, this dashboard provides a centralized location to compare probabilities and track how opinions shift leading up to the event. The dashboard aims to give a comprehensive overview of expectations for the game.

Prediction market odds, like those found on this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how they are formed. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. In contrast, prediction markets are driven by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to more efficient price discovery, especially as more information becomes available. However, sportsbooks generally offer more variety in betting options, while this market focuses on a specific outcome.

This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Baltimore vs New York game will be used to determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on official game results, ensuring a transparent and objective determination. Traders will be able to see the confirmed outcome and any relevant supporting information on the PredictionHero dashboard following the event's conclusion.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 25, 2026. Any significant news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or weather forecasts could all cause shifts in trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in preceding games, or even public statements from key players or coaches, may also impact predictions. Major upsets in other related games could also indirectly affect this market. Monitoring these events and their potential impact on the outcome is crucial for informed trading.