TOTAL VOLUME:

$116.7b

24H VOL:

$87,676,891

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,167,738,175

332,964

Markets across

33,021

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,164

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Other
kalshi
polymarket
predict
opinion

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Total volume:
$104,968,384
Volume 24h:
$21,336
24%
Liquidity:
$886,169
0.28%
Open interest:
$36,088
2%

Oracle

 - Kalshi

Oracle - Kalshi

100%

+9%

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Aug 20

Aug 21

Aug 22

Aug 23

Aug 24

Aug 25

Aug 27

Vol.

$3.2k

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Will Oracle issue layoffs this year?

98%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 100¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 98% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0% | APY: 0% Illiquid market 127 days to resolution
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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
MUI X License key version mismatch
Total markets: 12

Intro

This market tracks whether the Second Coming of Jesus Christ will occur before January 1, 2027. The aggregated consensus probability for this outcome stands at 98.0%. Data is drawn from Kalshi, Polymarket, Predict, and Opinion, with resolution determined by a consensus of credible sources. Watch for any confirmed theological or eschatological events before the end of the betting period on January 1, 2027.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic references tech company layoffs, which are entirely unrelated to the stated event (Jesus Christ's return). This is a fundamental data integrity failure that makes Kalshi's market unresolvable as written and incompatible with all other platforms.Hero tip: Avoid Kalshi's version entirely. The tech layoff criteria do not measure the event described in the title. If you believe in the Second Coming before 2027, trade Predict, Polymarket, or Opinion instead. If you want tech layoff exposure, that is a different market entirely.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves YES if any of 9 tech companies (NVIDIA, Netflix, Amazon, Alphabet, Apple, Tesla, Oracle, Microsoft, TikTok) announce, implement, or acknowledge a layoff between issuance and Jan 1, 2027. This has no connection to Jesus Christ's return.
  • Predict: Resolves YES if The Second Coming of Jesus Christ occurs by Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, based on consensus of credible sources. Otherwise NO.
  • Polymarket: Resolves YES if The Second Coming of Jesus Christ occurs by Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, based on consensus of credible sources. Otherwise NO.
  • Opinion: Resolves YES if The Second Coming of Jesus Christ occurs by Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, based on consensus of credible sources. Otherwise NO.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if The Second Coming of Jesus Christ occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

Kalshi

If NVIDIA announces, implements, or acknowledges a layoff after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Netflix announces, implements, or acknowledges a layoff after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Amazon announces, implements, or acknowledges a layoff after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alphabet announces, implements, or acknowledges a layoff after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Apple announces, implements, or acknowledges a layoff after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tesla announces, implements, or acknowledges a layoff after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Oracle announces, implements, or acknowledges a layoff after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If Microsoft announces, implements, or acknowledges a layoff after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If TikTok announces, implements, or acknowledges a layoff after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Predict

This market will resolve to "Yes" if The Second Coming of Jesus Christ occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

Opinion

This market will resolve to "Yes" if The Second Coming of Jesus Christ occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates real-time odds and trading activity for the Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? event across Polymarket and Kalshi. It tracks the current probability consensus from both platforms, total group volume of $104,905,353, and recent 24-hour activity of $154,844. By monitoring cross-platform data, you can see how traders collectively assess the likelihood of this eschatological event before the resolution date, identify which platform leads price discovery, and spot divergences that may signal arbitrage or shifting sentiment.

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi reflect real-money trader conviction rather than expert opinion. Market odds for Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? represent aggregated bets from thousands of participants with financial incentive to forecast accurately. Unlike traditional analyst forecasts, which may rely on theological scholarship or historical analysis, these odds update continuously as new information emerges. Comparing market prices to published expert views can reveal where consensus diverges and help identify potential mispricing or emerging consensus shifts.

Polymarket and Kalshi may show different odds due to variations in liquidity, user base composition, fee structures, and market depth. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Traders on one platform may have stronger conviction or different information access, leading Polymarket to trade at 1.9% while Kalshi reflects 98.0%. Regulatory differences, settlement rule clarity, and platform-specific incentives can also drive a spread of 96.0 percentage points. These gaps create opportunities for informed traders to arbitrage or hedge across venues.

Price movement for Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? may be driven by major religious events, widespread reports of supernatural phenomena, significant geopolitical or astronomical occurrences interpreted as eschatological signs, or shifts in theological discourse. Media coverage of end-times prophecies, natural disasters, or social upheaval could trigger trader reassessment. Conversely, the passage of time without such events typically reinforces lower probabilities. Monitoring news, religious communities, and social sentiment can help predict how odds will evolve toward the Jan 1, 2027 resolution date.