TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Total volume:
$75,312,406
Volume 24h:
$104,065
85%
Liquidity:
$1,209,484
1%
Open interest:
$1,053
15%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group contains a critical data integrity failure. Polymarket and Predict both address 'Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?' with identical religious eschatology criteria, while Kalshi's source data describes an entirely different event about tech company layoffs (Apple, Netflix, Alphabet, Amazon, Tesla, Oracle, TikTok, Microsoft, NVIDIA). The group name does not match the Kalshi event, indicating a data ingestion or labeling error.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Event category mismatch: Polymarket and Predict define a religious eschatology event (Second Coming of Jesus Christ), while Kalshi source data describes a corporate layoff announcement event across 9 tech companies. These are fundamentally different events grouped under the same label.Hero Tip:
Do not trade this group in its current state. Escalate to PredictionHero ops immediately. The Kalshi market must be removed from this group or the group must be split. Verify all three platform event IDs and confirm correct association before any settlement occurs.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Resolves Yes if The Second Coming of Jesus Christ occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Resolution source: consensus of credible sources. Quote: 'This market will resolve to Yes if The Second Coming of Jesus Christ occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.'
- Predict: Resolves Yes if The Second Coming of Jesus Christ occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Resolution source: consensus of credible sources. Quote: 'This market will resolve to Yes if The Second Coming of Jesus Christ occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.'
- Kalshi: Resolves Yes if any of 9 tech companies (Apple, Netflix, Alphabet, Amazon, Tesla, Oracle, TikTok, Microsoft, NVIDIA) announces, implements, or acknowledges a layoff before January 1, 2027. This is a corporate employment event, not a religious event. Quote: 'If Apple announces, implements, or acknowledges a layoff after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.' [repeated for 8 other companies]
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.