TOTAL VOLUME:
$146.7b
24H VOL:
$162,970,420
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,781,800,361
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,740,912,349
501,518
Markets across
37,286
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,933
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Time left: 03d:07h:49m
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This market asks whether Seattle will win its professional football game against Kansas City. Currently, Kalshi gives Seattle a 57.0% probability of winning, while Kansas City is at 45.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Kansas City vs Seattle Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, as determined by the official game results. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market resolves the day after the scheduled match date of October 25, 2026, to determine the winner.
If Seattle wins the Kansas City vs Seattle Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kansas City wins the Kansas City vs Seattle Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin regardless of the outcome. This market, however, is driven purely by trader expectations, theoretically resulting in more accurate probabilities. While sportsbooks may initially set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market reflects the collective wisdom of participants willing to put their money where their mouth is. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, risk tolerance, or simply varied opinions on the Kansas City vs Seattle game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Kansas City vs Seattle game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to incorporate new information and changing sentiment. The current market reflects the aggregated beliefs of all traders on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Kansas City vs Seattle game, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contract. The resolution process relies on publicly available and widely accepted data to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. This ensures a fair and objective outcome for all participants in this market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Kansas City or Seattle team would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact gameplay, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected announcements related to team strategy or coaching decisions might also move the market. Finally, public sentiment, reflected in polls or expert analysis, can sometimes influence trader behavior and impact the price of contracts related to the Kansas City vs Seattle game.