TOTAL VOLUME:

$97.1b

24H VOL:

$537,357,392

24H TRANSACTIONS:

949,851,807

OPEN INTEREST:

$2,309,828,173

825,223

Markets across

14,759

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

901

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

45%

VS.

Kalshi:

55%

BETA

Science and Technology

What are climate and weather prediction markets pricing in?

Live climate and weather prediction market odds aggregated from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more. Track storms, temperatures, seasonal forecasts, climate records, and environmental policy events in real time. Read more...

View World Cup Odds

#

Event

% Chance

Price

Liquidity

Volume

24h

7d

Ends in

Trade

star

order

title

percentageChance

price

liquidity

volume

volume24pers

volume7pers

endDate

trade

1

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Climate and Weather

p

opinion

$95,378

$3,119,856

0.13%

2%

5mo 2w 4d

2

Highest temperature in LA on Jul 15, 2026?

Climate and Weather

k

N/A

$752,239

2,973%

N/A

16h 11m

3

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Climate and Weather

p

22%

22¢

78¢

$3,926

$334,340

0%

0.16%

5mo 2w 4d

4

Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?

Climate and Weather

k

7%

7¢

93¢

N/A

$288,097

0.19%

5%

5mo 2w 5d

5

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Climate and Weather

p

22%

3%

25¢

75¢

$1,790

$226,072

0.01%

0.09%

5mo 2w 4d

6

June 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

Climate and Weather

p

k

$0

$209,870

7%

61%

7

Which states will experience exceptional drought? (6/4 - 7/30)

Climate and Weather

k

N/A

$205,122

2%

256%

3w 1d 16h

8

Highest temperature in London on July 15?

Climate and Weather

p

$176,516

$175,740

177%

N/A

0d 0h 0m

9

Highest temperature in NYC on Jul 15, 2026?

Climate and Weather

k

N/A

$174,701

1,035%

N/A

16h 11m

10

Rain in Seattle in Jul 2026?

Climate and Weather

k

N/A

$174,294

3%

106%

2w 3d 6h

11

Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

Climate and Weather

k

26%

1%

25.9¢

74.1¢

N/A

$169,548

0.41%

10%

5mo 2w 5d

12

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 15?

Climate and Weather

p

$133,564

$161,158

343%

N/A

0d 0h 0m

13

Highest temperature in NYC on July 15?

Climate and Weather

p

$124,748

$157,741

319%

N/A

0d 0h 0m

14

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Climate and Weather

p

89%

1%

90¢

10¢

$2,368

$145,991

0.37%

2%

5mo 4w

15

Highest temperature in Miami on Jul 15, 2026?

Climate and Weather

k

N/A

$143,521

1,538%

N/A

16h 11m

16

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Climate and Weather

p

13%

14¢

86¢

$2,066

$137,796

0.03%

0.12%

5mo 2w 4d

17

Highest temperature in Munich on July 15?

Climate and Weather

p

$268,870

$136,269

388%

N/A

0d 0h 0m

18

What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?

Climate and Weather

k

N/A

$125,156

0.34%

6%

4mo 2w 4d

19

What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Eastern Pacific this year?

Climate and Weather

k

N/A

$123,525

13%

51%

4mo 2w 4d

20

Highest temperature in Milan on July 15?

Climate and Weather

p

$74,350

$121,883

302%

N/A

0d 0h 0m

21

Highest temperature in Paris on July 15?

Climate and Weather

p

$98,803

$119,589

228%

N/A

0d 0h 0m

22

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Climate and Weather

p

6%

6.7¢

93.3¢

$8,224

$118,661

0.12%

2%

8mo 2w 4d

23

Highest temperature in Dallas on July 15?

Climate and Weather

p

$148,986

$103,748

232%

N/A

0d 0h 0m

24

Highest temperature in Chicago on July 15?

Climate and Weather

p

$95,599

$97,312

283%

N/A

0d 0h 0m

25

Highest temperature in Toronto on July 15?

Climate and Weather

p

$40,128

$84,664

923%

N/A

0d 0h 0m

26

Rain in Los Angeles in Jul 2026?

Climate and Weather

k

N/A

$84,022

3%

24%

2w 3d 6h

27

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?

Climate and Weather

p

$25,662

$78,218

0.04%

4%

5mo 4w

28

Highest temperature in Chicago on Jul 15, 2026?

Climate and Weather

k

N/A

$77,780

562%

N/A

16h 11m

29

Highest temperature in Houston on July 15?

Climate and Weather

p

$57,276

$77,125

469%

N/A

0d 0h 0m

30

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on July 15?

Climate and Weather

p

$90,714

$72,232

200%

N/A

0d 0h 0m

31

Highest temperature in Amsterdam on July 15?

Climate and Weather

p

$110,831

$72,030

154%

N/A

0d 0h 0m

32

Highest temperature in Wellington on July 16?

Climate and Weather

p

$121,455

$70,751

265%

N/A

14h 11m

33

Highest temperature in Cape Town on July 15?

Climate and Weather

p

$133,134

$66,417

303%

N/A

0d 0h 0m

34

Highest temperature in Madrid on July 15?

Climate and Weather

p

$152,203

$65,183

192%

N/A

0d 0h 0m

35

Rain in Houston in Jul 2026?

Climate and Weather

k

N/A

$61,667

13%

223%

2w 3d 6h

36

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

Climate and Weather

p

$11,506

$61,393

0.1%

2%

2mo 2w 3d

37

Highest temperature in Moscow on July 15?

Climate and Weather

p

$42,086

$59,744

168%

N/A

0d 0h 0m

38

US meets its climate goals?

Climate and Weather

k

N/A

$57,957

0.02%

0.8%

4y 5mo 2w

39

Highest temperature in Helsinki on July 15?

Climate and Weather

p

$44,995

$55,440

212%

N/A

0d 0h 0m

40

2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

Climate and Weather

p

$30,026

$55,005

86%

2,813%

2w 1d 2h

41

Highest temperature in London on July 16?

Climate and Weather

p

$51,416

$53,942

310%

N/A

14h 11m

42

How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?

Climate and Weather

k

N/A

$51,872

0.41%

9%

4mo 2w 5d

43

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 16?

Climate and Weather

p

$46,572

$51,003

1,372%

N/A

14h 11m

44

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 15?

Climate and Weather

p

$83,672

$50,407

233%

N/A

0d 0h 0m

45

Highest temperature in Miami on July 15?

Climate and Weather

p

$167,525

$49,464

101%

N/A

0d 0h 0m

46

Lowest temperature in Minneapolis on Jul 15, 2026?

Climate and Weather

k

N/A

$49,411

4,890%

N/A

21h 11m

47

Highest temperature in Atlanta on July 15?

Climate and Weather

p

$173,464

$46,629

406%

N/A

0d 0h 0m

48

Highest temperature in Dallas on Jul 15, 2026?

Climate and Weather

k

N/A

$46,474

494%

N/A

21h 11m

49

Rain in Miami in Jul 2026?

Climate and Weather

k

N/A

$44,562

9%

165%

2w 3d 6h

50

Rain in Chicago in Jul 2026?

Climate and Weather

k

N/A

$44,279

3%

19%

2w 3d 6h

Climate and Weather prediction markets

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

How many Tornadoes in the US in July?

Lowest temperature in NYC on April 15?

Jun 2026 temperature increase?

Precipitation in NYC in July?

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