TOTAL VOLUME:
$141.7b
24H VOL:
$113,958,174
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,626,885,236
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,577,361,990
453,985
Markets across
34,993
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,922
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
What are climate and weather prediction markets pricing in?
Climate & environment predictions. Compare market forecasts on climate events and environmental outcomes. Read more...
A rise isn't inherently "good".
| # | Event | Category | PH Consensus | Volume | Liquidity | Ends in | Platforms |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Phoenix is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi | Climate and Weather | 99%+52% | $803K | N/A | K | |
| 2 | 72° to 73° is very likely at 98% · 98¢ on Kalshi | Climate and Weather | 98%+48% | $216K | N/A | K | |
| 3 | 70° or below is very likely at 96% · 97¢ on Kalshi | Climate and Weather | 96%+71% | $189K | N/A | K | |
| 4 | 89° to 90° is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi | Climate and Weather | 99%+35% | $87K | N/A | K | |
| 5 | Springfield is very likely at 98% · 98¢ on Kalshi | Climate and Weather | 98% | $80K | N/A | K | |
| 6 | 66° to 67° is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi | Climate and Weather | 99%+75% | $70K | N/A | K | |
| 7 | 25°C is very likely at 100% · 100¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 100%+74% | $73K | $71K |  | |
| 8 | 74° to 75° is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi | Climate and Weather | 99%+59% | $55K | N/A | K | |
| 9 | 95° to 96° is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi | Climate and Weather | 99%+51% | $54K | N/A | K | |
| 10 | 80° to 81° is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi | Climate and Weather | 99%+46% | $49K | N/A | K | |
| 11 | 81° or below is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi | Climate and Weather | 99%+47% | $48K | N/A | K | |
| 12 | 77° to 78° is likely at 68% · 80¢ on Kalshi | Climate and Weather | 68%+70% | $36K | N/A | K | |
| 13 | 82° to 83° is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi | Climate and Weather | 99%+52% | $34K | N/A | K | |
| 14 | 70-71°F is very likely at 100% · 99.9¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 100%+70% | $44K | $85K | | |
| 15 | 86° to 87° is very likely at 97% · 98¢ on Kalshi | Climate and Weather | 97%+34% | $33K | N/A | K | |
| 16 | 28°C is very likely at 100% · 99.9¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 100%+93% | $38K | $148K | | |
| 17 | 91° to 92° is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi | Climate and Weather | 99%+73% | $29K | N/A | K | |
| 18 | 60° to 61° is likely at 83% · 70¢ on Kalshi | Climate and Weather | 83%+12% | $28K | N/A | K | |
| 19 | 78-79°F is very likely at 100% · 99.9¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 100%+61% | $32K | $76K | | |
| 20 | 95° to 96° is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi | Climate and Weather | 99%+69% | $30K | N/A | K | |
| 21 | No clear favourite — 27°C leads at 34% · 37¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 34%+6% | $42K | $37K | | |
| 22 | 74-75°F is very likely at 97% · 98¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 97%−8% | $35K | $128K | | |
| 23 | 19°C is very likely at 100% · 99.9¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 100%+70% | $32K | $79K | | |
| 24 | 26°C is very likely at 95% · 99¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 95%+30% | $23K | $41K | | |
| 25 | 88° to 89° is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi | Climate and Weather | 99%+42% | $23K | N/A | K | |
| 26 | 21°C is very likely at 100% · 100¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 100%+54% | $39K | $214K | | |
| 27 | No clear favourite — Magnitude of at least 7.0 leads at 9% · 17¢ on Kalshi | Climate and Weather | 9% | $21K | N/A | K | |
| 28 | 71° to 72° is very likely at 97% · 97¢ on Kalshi | Climate and Weather | 97%+60% | $21K | N/A | K | |
| 29 | 91° to 92° is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi | Climate and Weather | 99%+52% | $23K | N/A | K | |
| 30 | 88-89°F is very likely at 100% · 100¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 100%+28% | $29K | $148K | | |
| 31 | No clear favourite — 21°C leads at 48% · 49¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 48%+19% | $26K | $26K | | |
| 32 | Close call — 62-63°F at 51% · 59¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 51%+31% | $24K | $93K | | |
| 33 | No clear favourite — 33°C leads at 40% · 42¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 40%−3% | $21K | $36K | | |
| 34 | 20°C is very likely at 100% · 100¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 100%+60% | $28K | $154K | | |
| 35 | 72-73°F is very likely at 99% · 99.7¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 99%+44% | $29K | $107K | | |
| 36 | 17°C is likely at 65% · 69¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 65%+4% | $29K | $99K | | |
| 37 | No clear favourite — 19°C leads at 43% · 46¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 43%+2% | $21K | $18K | | |
| 38 | 92° or below is very likely at 97% · 98¢ on Kalshi | Climate and Weather | 97%+85% | $19K | N/A | K | |
| 39 | Close call — 19°C at 53% · 55¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 53%−11% | $31K | $108K | | |
| 40 | 11°C is very likely at 100% · 100¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 100%+45% | $30K | $135K | | |
| 41 | 86-87°F is very likely at 100% · 100¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 100%+44% | $25K | $96K | | |
| 42 | 94-95°F is very likely at 100% · 99.9¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 100%+72% | $28K | $98K | | |
| 43 | No clear favourite — 23°C leads at 34% · 36¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 34%+8% | $20K | $124K | | |
| 44 | No clear favourite — 35°C leads at 47% · 52¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 47%+14% | $18K | $52K | | |
| 45 | No clear favourite — 64-65°F leads at 48% · 68¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 48%+13% | $29K | $56K | | |
| 46 | 64° to 65° is very likely at 97% · 97¢ on Kalshi | Climate and Weather | 97%+50% | $16K | N/A | K | |
| 47 | Close call — 34°C at 54% · 56¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 54%+15% | $19K | $19K | | |
| 48 | 94-95°F is very likely at 99% · 99.6¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 99%+44% | $33K | $104K | | |
| 49 | 92-93°F is very likely at 100% · 99.9¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 100%+59% | $24K | $111K | | |
| 50 | Close call — 86-87°F at 54% · 55¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 54%+1% | $16K | $48K | | |
Events per page:501–50 of 519 | |||||||