TOTAL VOLUME:
$143b
24H VOL:
$111,424,783
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,676,623,266
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,630,632,565
494,234
Markets across
37,330
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,871
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
What are climate and weather prediction markets pricing in?
Climate & environment predictions. Compare market forecasts on climate events and environmental outcomes. Read more...
A rise isn't inherently "good".
| # | Event | Category | PH Consensus | Volume | Liquidity | Ends in | Platforms |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Philadelphia is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi | Climate and Weather | 99%+2% | $921K | N/A | K | |
| 2 | 95° or above is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi | Climate and Weather | 99%+17% | $234K | N/A | K | |
| 3 | 75° to 76° is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi | Climate and Weather | 99%+59% | $215K | N/A | K | |
| 4 | 79° to 80° is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi | Climate and Weather | 99%+61% | $115K | N/A | K | |
| 5 | 90° to 91° is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi | Climate and Weather | 99%+25% | $99K | N/A | K | |
| 6 | Miami is very likely at 98% · 98¢ on Kalshi | Climate and Weather | 98% | $91K | N/A | K | |
| 7 | 56-57°F is very likely at 100% · 100¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 100%+75% | $87K | $113K |  | |
| 8 | 59° or below is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi | Climate and Weather | 99%+33% | $67K | N/A | K | |
| 9 | 84-85°F is very likely at 90% · 95¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 90%+57% | $70K | $20K | | |
| 10 | 84° to 85° is likely at 84% · 85¢ on Kalshi | Climate and Weather | 84%+67% | $61K | N/A | K | |
| 11 | 58° to 59° is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi | Climate and Weather | 99%+62% | $65K | N/A | K | |
| 12 | 74° or below is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi | Climate and Weather | 99%+21% | $60K | N/A | K | |
| 13 | 74° to 75° is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi | Climate and Weather | 99%+75% | $53K | N/A | K | |
| 14 | 17°C is very likely at 100% · 100¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 100%+58% | $84K | $160K | | |
| 15 | 77° or below is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi | Climate and Weather | 99%+92% | $53K | N/A | K | |
| 16 | 21°C is very likely at 100% · 100¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 100%+50% | $69K | $263K | | |
| 17 | 74-75°F is very likely at 100% · 100¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 100%+74% | $55K | $103K | | |
| 18 | 20°C is very likely at 100% · 100¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 100%+72% | $60K | $108K | | |
| 19 | 83° to 84° is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi | Climate and Weather | 99%+59% | $47K | N/A | K | |
| 20 | 29°C is very likely at 100% · 100¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 100%+58% | $59K | $90K | | |
| 21 | 74-75°F is very likely at 98% · 99.4¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 98%+58% | $53K | $107K | | |
| 22 | 57° to 58° is very likely at 98% · 99¢ on Kalshi | Climate and Weather | 98%+62% | $45K | N/A | K | |
| 23 | 20°C is very likely at 100% · 100¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 100%+84% | $51K | $151K | | |
| 24 | 66-67°F is very likely at 100% · 99.9¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 100%+81% | $60K | $50K | | |
| 25 | 88° to 89° is likely at 65% · 72¢ on Kalshi | Climate and Weather | 65%−39% | $40K | N/A | K | |
| 26 | 68° to 69° is likely at 69% · 70¢ on Kalshi | Climate and Weather | 69%+31% | $35K | N/A | K | |
| 27 | 98-99°F is very likely at 97% · 98.7¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 97%+53% | $46K | $126K | | |
| 28 | 12°C is very likely at 100% · 100¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 100%+91% | $39K | $46K | | |
| 29 | 53° to 54° is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi | Climate and Weather | 99%+68% | $33K | N/A | K | |
| 30 | 19°C is very likely at 100% · 100¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 100%+61% | $34K | $157K | | |
| 31 | No clear favourite — Magnitude of at least 7.0 leads at 4% · 5¢ on Kalshi | Climate and Weather | 4% | $26K | N/A | K | |
| 32 | 90-91°F is very likely at 100% · 100¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 100%+45% | $41K | $130K | | |
| 33 | 75° to 76° is likely at 65% · 66¢ on Kalshi | Climate and Weather | 65%+33% | $28K | N/A | K | |
| 34 | 80° to 81° is very likely at 99% · 100¢ on Kalshi | Climate and Weather | 99% | $26K | N/A | K | |
| 35 | No clear favourite — 25°C leads at 42% · 43¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 42%+4% | $29K | $18K | | |
| 36 | 22°C is very likely at 100% · 100¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 100%+60% | $30K | $226K | | |
| 37 | 74-75°F is likely at 66% · 66¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 66%+26% | $30K | $76K | | |
| 38 | 12°C is slightly favoured at 58% · 60¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 58%+28% | $29K | $56K | | |
| 39 | 82-83°F is very likely at 100% · 99.9¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 100%+64% | $35K | $106K | | |
| 40 | No clear favourite — 16°C leads at 36% · 38¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 36%+17% | $23K | $99K | | |
| 41 | 78-79°F is very likely at 100% · 100¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 100%+58% | $39K | $86K | | |
| 42 | 27°C is very likely at 100% · 100¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 100%+43% | $32K | $131K | | |
| 43 | 58-59°F is very likely at 91% · 95¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 91%+52% | $27K | $63K | | |
| 44 | 82° to 83° is likely at 69% · 67¢ on Kalshi | Climate and Weather | 69%−9% | $20K | N/A | K | |
| 45 | No clear favourite — 12°C leads at 46% · 48¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 46%+1% | $21K | $81K | | |
| 46 | No clear favourite — 24°C leads at 49% · 50¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 49% | $26K | $81K | | |
| 47 | 27°C is very likely at 100% · 100¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 100%+58% | $33K | $47K | | |
| 48 | No clear favourite — 13°C leads at 36% · 36¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 36%+14% | $25K | $41K | | |
| 49 | 13°C is very likely at 100% · 100¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 100%+23% | $34K | $41K | | |
| 50 | 12°C is very likely at 100% · 100¢ on Polymarket | Climate and Weather | 100%+14% | $32K | $42K | | |
Events per page:501–50 of 523 | |||||||