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Will the maximum temperature at Houston Hobby Airport be at least 103°F in Aug 2026?
kalshi

Will the maximum temperature at Houston Hobby Airport be at least 103°F in Aug 2026?

Volume:
$34,542

Yes

 - Kalshi

Yes - Kalshi

1W

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Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 8, 2026

Closed: Aug 31, 11:59 PM EST

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Outcome
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Chance %
Price
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Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Yes

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$34,542
N/A
N/A
$30,502
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Description

This event tracks whether the air temperature in Houston, Texas, will reach a certain threshold during August 2026, as measured at Houston Hobby Airport and confirmed by official weather authorities. It focuses on extreme heat conditions occurring over the specified month and location. The outcome depends solely on the official temperature recordings for that period.

Kalshi

If a daily maximum air temperature of at least 103°F occurs in Houston, Texas, at Houston Hobby Airport in August 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Houston heatwave market dashboard tracks the real-time odds of Houston Hobby Airport recording a maximum temperature of at least 103°F in August 2026. It displays the current top outcome probability, price history, and 24-hour volume of $2,578. This single-venue view updates continuously to reflect trader sentiment on Kalshi without aggregating data from any other source.

This market resolves around Sep 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, official meteorological records from Houston Hobby Airport for August 2026 will determine whether the maximum temperature reached at least 103°F. The result is binary — either the threshold is met or it isn’t — and is settled based on publicly available data without reference to internal platform mechanisms.

Several signals could shift this market before Sep 1, 2026. Early-season heatwaves, climate model updates, and government weather alerts for the Houston area often influence trader sentiment. Additionally, unexpected shifts in atmospheric patterns — such as the strength or timing of La Niña or El Niño effects — may cause rapid re-pricing. Any credible forecast indicating a high probability of extreme temperatures in August 2026 can dramatically adjust the top-outcome odds on Kalshi as traders react to new information.