TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Where will it rain on Oct 4, 2026?
kalshi

Where will it rain on Oct 4, 2026?

Volume:
$976,341

Houston

 - Kalshi

Houston - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Houston

View
100%
29%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$118,154
N/A
N/A
$80,974
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Providence

View
100%
40%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$105,104
N/A
N/A
$37,360
Settled
Yes
kalshi

New York City

View
100%
31%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$62,659
N/A
N/A
$42,438
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Austin

View
100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$47,568
N/A
N/A
$19,504
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Washington DC

View
100%
29%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$45,254
N/A
N/A
$37,816
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dallas

View
100%
30%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$42,160
N/A
N/A
$27,565
Settled
Yes
kalshi

College Station

View
100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$37,531
N/A
N/A
$30,434
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Philadelphia

View
100%
31%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$30,354
N/A
N/A
$22,761
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Newark

View
100%
39%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$25,906
N/A
N/A
$11,554
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Atlanta

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$16,337
N/A
N/A
$11,347
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Trenton

View
100%
34%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$13,157
N/A
N/A
$9,009
Settled
Yes
kalshi

New Orleans

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,085
N/A
N/A
$7,210
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Boston

View
0%
37%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$110,566
N/A
N/A
$51,481
Settled
No
kalshi

Seattle

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$75,407
N/A
N/A
$46,299
Settled
No
kalshi

San Antonio

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$48,186
N/A
N/A
$26,645
Settled
No
kalshi

Miami

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$36,543
N/A
N/A
$17,019
Settled
No
kalshi

Albuquerque

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,269
N/A
N/A
$17,688
Settled
No
kalshi

Chicago

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,352
N/A
N/A
$15,166
Settled
No
kalshi

Phoenix

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,841
N/A
N/A
$9,833
Settled
No
kalshi

Columbus

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,599
N/A
N/A
$12,491
Settled
No
kalshi

San Francisco

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,475
N/A
N/A
$8,965
Settled
No
kalshi

Milwaukee

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,703
N/A
N/A
$4,861
Settled
No
kalshi

Oklahoma City

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,633
N/A
N/A
$8,541
Settled
No
kalshi

Denver

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,887
N/A
N/A
$8,374
Settled
No
kalshi

Lexington

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,307
N/A
N/A
$4,635
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 30

Description

This set of markets assesses whether measurable rainfall will occur in various U.S. cities on a specific date in 2026. Each market focuses on a different location, evaluating the likelihood of precipitation based on official weather data.

Kalshi

Each market evaluates whether measurable precipitation occurs in a specified U.S. city on October 4, 2026. For a market to resolve as 'Yes,' the total precipitation recorded at the official weather station for that city must exceed zero inches. 'Trace' amounts or missing data are counted as zero inches and therefore do not satisfy the condition. All markets use data provided by the Weather Company, accessed via weather.com/kalshi, as the definitive source for determining outcomes. The consistent application of these criteria across all markets ensures uniform evaluation of rainfall occurrence nationwide.