TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 4:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets assesses whether measurable rainfall will occur in various U.S. cities on a specific date, offering a localized view of weather conditions. Each market focuses on a different city, allowing participants to evaluate regional climate patterns and forecasts for that day.
Each market evaluates whether measurable precipitation—defined as strictly greater than 0 inches—will occur at a specified weather station on October 11, 2026. All markets follow the same core resolution rule but apply it to different geographic locations across the United States. The Weather Company provides the official data source, with precipitation values verified through their reported figures. Any recorded trace amounts or missing data points are treated as zero inches, meaning they do not satisfy the 'greater than 0 inches' threshold required for a 'Yes' outcome. Participants should note that while public weather services may offer similar forecasts, only the Weather Company's data determines the final market resolution.