TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Where will it rain on Jul 31, 2026?
kalshi

Where will it rain on Jul 31, 2026?

Volume:
$159,266

New York City

 - Kalshi

New York City - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 2, 2026

Closed: Aug 1, 12:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

New York City

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$41,223
N/A
N/A
$29,089
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chicago

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,898
N/A
N/A
$3,841
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Minneapolis

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,629
N/A
N/A
$5,121
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Denver

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$30,123
N/A
N/A
$13,678
Settled
No
kalshi

Miami

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,366
N/A
N/A
$7,724
Settled
No
kalshi

Seattle

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,668
N/A
N/A
$6,922
Settled
No
kalshi

Phoenix

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,267
N/A
N/A
$4,269
Settled
No
kalshi

Boston

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,082
N/A
N/A
$2,897
Settled
No
kalshi

Los Angeles

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,419
N/A
N/A
$3,655
Settled
No
kalshi

Las Vegas

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,061
N/A
N/A
$2,512
Settled
No
kalshi

Dallas

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,016
N/A
N/A
$1,649
Settled
No
kalshi

Philadelphia

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,832
N/A
N/A
$2,229
Settled
No
kalshi

Austin

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,807
N/A
N/A
$2,558
Settled
No
kalshi

San Antonio

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,797
N/A
N/A
$2,498
Settled
No
kalshi

Washington DC

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,712
N/A
N/A
$2,291
Settled
No
kalshi

San Francisco

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,693
N/A
N/A
$2,627
Settled
No
kalshi

Oklahoma City

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,676
N/A
N/A
$1,384
Settled
No
kalshi

New Orleans

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,589
N/A
N/A
$1,358
Settled
No
kalshi

Atlanta

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,201
N/A
N/A
$1,854
Settled
No
kalshi

Houston

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,205
N/A
N/A
$666
Settled
No
Total markets: 20

Description

This set of markets assesses the likelihood of rainfall occurring in various major U.S. cities on a specific date in 2026. Each market focuses on a different location, allowing participants to evaluate regional weather conditions and make informed predictions about precipitation for that day.

Kalshi

Each market evaluates whether measurable rainfall will occur in a specified U.S. city on July 31, 2026. For a market to resolve as 'Yes,' the total precipitation recorded at the official weather station for that city must exceed zero inches. 'Trace' amounts and missing data are counted as zero inches and do not satisfy the 'Yes' condition. All markets use data from the Weather Company via the provided URL as the official and final source for determining precipitation levels. Participants should note that while other weather services may offer similar data, only the specified source will be used for resolution purposes. The consistent structure across all markets ensures uniform evaluation criteria, focusing solely on measurable rainfall thresholds for each location.