TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Where will it rain on Jul 15, 2026?
kalshi

Where will it rain on Jul 15, 2026?

Volume:
$56,491

New York City

 - Kalshi

New York City - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 16, 2026

Closed: Jul 15, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

New York City

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,959
N/A
N/A
$4,894
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Houston

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,696
N/A
N/A
$3,868
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Austin

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,039
N/A
N/A
$2,265
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Oklahoma City

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,162
N/A
N/A
$1,854
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dallas

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,819
N/A
N/A
$2,241
Settled
Yes
kalshi

San Antonio

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,398
N/A
N/A
$1,321
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Phoenix

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,790
N/A
N/A
$2,884
Settled
No
kalshi

Atlanta

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,771
N/A
N/A
$1,488
Settled
No
kalshi

San Francisco

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,002
N/A
N/A
$3,788
Settled
No
kalshi

Seattle

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,620
N/A
N/A
$953
Settled
No
kalshi

Miami

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,615
N/A
N/A
$1,035
Settled
No
kalshi

Chicago

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,547
N/A
N/A
$2,257
Settled
No
kalshi

New Orleans

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,552
N/A
N/A
$583
Settled
No
kalshi

Washington DC

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,391
N/A
N/A
$389
Settled
No
kalshi

Minneapolis

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,174
N/A
N/A
$374
Settled
No
kalshi

Boston

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,080
N/A
N/A
$523
Settled
No
kalshi

Denver

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,004
N/A
N/A
$283
Settled
No
kalshi

Philadelphia

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$800
N/A
N/A
$202
Settled
No
kalshi

Las Vegas

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$690
N/A
N/A
$118
Settled
No
kalshi

Los Angeles

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$382
N/A
N/A
$332
Settled
No
Total markets: 20

Description

This event tracks whether measurable precipitation occurs on July 15, 2026 across major U.S. cities. Each city has its own independent outcome based on official Weather Company precipitation data for that specific date.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by official precipitation data from the Weather Company (weather.com/kalshi) for each city on July 15, 2026. Measurable precipitation is defined as total daily precipitation strictly greater than 0 inches. Trace amounts (T) and missing daily precipitation values are both counted as 0 inches and do not qualify as measurable precipitation. While other weather sources like AccuWeather or Google Weather may provide reference information, the Weather Company data linked in the official rules serves as the sole authoritative source for determining resolution. Each city's outcome resolves independently based on whether its designated weather station recorded precipitation exceeding zero inches on the specified date.