TOTAL VOLUME:
$97.5b
24H VOL:
$264,423,826
24H TRANSACTIONS:
951,878,243
OPEN INTEREST:
$2,171,275,957
831,219
Markets across
15,133
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
973
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
45%
VS.
Kalshi:
55%
Where will it rain on Jul 15, 2026?
Closed: Jul 16, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks whether measurable precipitation occurs on July 15, 2026 across major U.S. cities. Each city has its own independent outcome based on official Weather Company precipitation data for that specific date.
Kalshi
Resolution is determined by official precipitation data from the Weather Company (weather.com/kalshi) for each city on July 15, 2026. Measurable precipitation is defined as total daily precipitation strictly greater than 0 inches. Trace amounts (T) and missing daily precipitation values are both counted as 0 inches and do not qualify as measurable precipitation. While other weather sources like AccuWeather or Google Weather may provide reference information, the Weather Company data linked in the official rules serves as the sole authoritative source for determining resolution. Each city's outcome resolves independently based on whether its designated weather station recorded precipitation exceeding zero inches on the specified date.
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