TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Where will it rain on Aug 16, 2026?
kalshi

Where will it rain on Aug 16, 2026?

Volume:
$381,742

New York City

 - Kalshi

New York City - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 17, 2026

Closed: Aug 17, 12:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

New York City

View
100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$64,143
N/A
N/A
$35,789
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chicago

100%
26%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$22,070
N/A
N/A
$17,444
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Philadelphia

100%
17%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,762
N/A
N/A
$4,085
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Washington DC

100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,051
N/A
N/A
$4,438
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Denver

0%
37%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$61,479
N/A
N/A
$25,987
Settled
No
kalshi

Oklahoma City

0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$53,584
N/A
N/A
$24,892
Settled
No
kalshi

Las Vegas

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$33,041
N/A
N/A
$22,033
Settled
No
kalshi

Boston

0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$27,773
N/A
N/A
$10,724
Settled
No
kalshi

New Orleans

0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,575
N/A
N/A
$7,730
Settled
No
kalshi

Atlanta

0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,751
N/A
N/A
$4,374
Settled
No
kalshi

Los Angeles

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,141
N/A
N/A
$10,312
Settled
No
kalshi

San Francisco

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,674
N/A
N/A
$7,443
Settled
No
kalshi

Dallas

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,015
N/A
N/A
$6,712
Settled
No
kalshi

Seattle

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,005
N/A
N/A
$5,914
Settled
No
kalshi

Minneapolis

0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,471
N/A
N/A
$3,574
Settled
No
kalshi

Miami

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,314
N/A
N/A
$4,399
Settled
No
kalshi

San Antonio

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,994
N/A
N/A
$3,602
Settled
No
kalshi

Houston

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,702
N/A
N/A
$3,328
Settled
No
kalshi

Austin

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,771
N/A
N/A
$2,246
Settled
No
kalshi

Phoenix

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,423
N/A
N/A
$2,205
Settled
No
Total markets: 20

Description

This set of markets assesses the likelihood of rainfall occurring in various major U.S. cities on a specific date in August 2026. Each market focuses on whether measurable precipitation will fall in a particular location, providing a localized view of potential weather conditions.

Kalshi

Each market evaluates whether measurable rainfall will occur in a specified U.S. city on August 16, 2026. For a market to resolve as 'Yes,' the total precipitation recorded at the official weather station for that city must exceed zero inches. 'Trace' amounts of rain and any missing data are counted as zero inches and therefore do not satisfy the condition for a 'Yes' outcome. The official data source for all markets is the Weather Company, with each market linking to a specific URL for verification. While other weather services may provide similar data, the Weather Company's reported values are the definitive measure for resolution. This consistent methodology ensures uniform evaluation across all locations, allowing participants to assess rainfall probabilities based on a single, authoritative source.