TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Where will it rain on Aug 14, 2026?
kalshi

Where will it rain on Aug 14, 2026?

Volume:
$664,901

San Francisco

 - Kalshi

San Francisco - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 15, 2026

Closed: Aug 15, 3:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

San Francisco

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$86,802
N/A
N/A
$69,819
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Houston

100%
82%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$78,447
N/A
N/A
$52,334
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Las Vegas

100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$61,388
N/A
N/A
$30,700
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Atlanta

100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$51,152
N/A
N/A
$32,308
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Denver

100%
30%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$34,655
N/A
N/A
$15,579
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chicago

0%
79%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$87,693
N/A
N/A
$26,501
Settled
No
kalshi

Washington DC

0%
60%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$35,269
N/A
N/A
$10,448
Settled
No
kalshi

San Antonio

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$30,464
N/A
N/A
$10,003
Settled
No
kalshi

Minneapolis

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$29,062
N/A
N/A
$12,146
Settled
No
kalshi

New York City

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$26,448
N/A
N/A
$14,511
Settled
No
kalshi

Seattle

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$25,891
N/A
N/A
$13,317
Settled
No
kalshi

Phoenix

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,849
N/A
N/A
$11,614
Settled
No
kalshi

Miami

0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,541
N/A
N/A
$8,219
Settled
No
kalshi

Boston

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,643
N/A
N/A
$5,397
Settled
No
kalshi

Philadelphia

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,090
N/A
N/A
$8,155
Settled
No
kalshi

Los Angeles

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,795
N/A
N/A
$10,034
Settled
No
kalshi

Austin

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,324
N/A
N/A
$6,345
Settled
No
kalshi

Oklahoma City

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,384
N/A
N/A
$7,731
Settled
No
kalshi

New Orleans

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,676
N/A
N/A
$2,730
Settled
No
kalshi

Dallas

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,328
N/A
N/A
$1,873
Settled
No
Total markets: 20

Description

This set of markets assesses the likelihood of rainfall occurring in various major U.S. cities on a specific date in August 2026. Each market focuses on a different location, allowing participants to evaluate regional weather forecasts and conditions for that day.

Kalshi

Each market evaluates whether measurable rainfall will occur at a specified weather station in a particular U.S. city on August 14, 2026. For a market to resolve as 'Yes,' the total precipitation recorded at the designated station must exceed zero inches. 'Trace' amounts of rain and any missing data are counted as zero inches and therefore do not satisfy the condition for a 'Yes' outcome. All markets use data from the Weather Company, accessible via the provided URL, as the official and final source for determining precipitation levels. This consistent methodology ensures uniform evaluation across all locations, allowing participants to assess the probability of rain based on authoritative weather reporting.