TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 12:59 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether Keystone Resort will begin its winter season operations within specific timeframes. It focuses on the actual opening of the resort to the general public for skiing or snowboarding, using defined criteria for what constitutes an official opening.
The event determines whether Keystone Resort initiates its 26/27 winter season operations before specified dates ranging from October 25, 2026, to November 22, 2026. An opening is defined by the resort conducting Seasonal Opening Operations, which requires at least one passenger lift transporting members of the general public uphill for downhill skiing or snowboarding on resort-designated terrain. Season-passholder-only access qualifies if no additional purchase is required, while employee, contractor, media, private events, and separately purchased early-access days do not. The opening date is established based on Eastern Time, and projected or announced dates are not considered valid. Any number of lifts, terrain, or operating duration qualifies as long as general public access is provided. If the resort is decommissioned before any qualifying operations occur, all markets resolve to No. The resort’s identity remains unchanged by name, ownership, operator, or website modifications, and if terrain is split into separately operated areas, opening any portion counts toward resolution.
Currently, this market reflects trader expectations about when Keystone Resort will open for the 26/27 winter season. While analyst forecasts may vary, the odds here capture the aggregated view of participants betting on the exact timing. Comparisons to traditional polls or expert predictions can offer additional context, but the market price serves as a dynamic indicator influenced by new information and shifting conditions.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine the price through continuous bidding and offering, with the current top outcome reflecting the most likely opening date according to market participants. The probability percentages shown represent the collective assessment of all active traders on the platform, adjusting in real time as new data emerges about weather conditions, construction progress, or operational updates from the resort.
This market resolves around Jan 3, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will depend on official announcements or widely reported confirmation of the resort's actual opening date for the 26/27 winter season, ensuring an objective and transparent determination.
Key signals that could shift this market include official announcements from Keystone Resort about construction delays or accelerations, significant weather events impacting readiness, and updates from industry analysts or media outlets covering the resort’s preparations. Any public confirmation or credible rumor regarding the timeline will likely cause price adjustments as traders reassess the probabilities.