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What will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 7, 2026?
kalshi

What will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 7, 2026?

Volume:
$1,975

Magnitude of at least 5.4

 - Kalshi

Magnitude of at least 5.4 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 9, 2026

Closed: Sep 7, 9:15 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Magnitude of at least 5.4

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$469
N/A
N/A
$420
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Magnitude of at least 5.6

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,039
N/A
N/A
$880
Settled
No
kalshi

Magnitude of at least 6.8

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$120
N/A
N/A
$115
Settled
No
kalshi

Magnitude of at least 6.0

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$108
N/A
N/A
$108
Settled
No
kalshi

Magnitude of at least 6.4

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$92
N/A
N/A
$77
Settled
No
kalshi

Magnitude of at least 6.6

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$72
N/A
N/A
$63
Settled
No
kalshi

Magnitude of at least 6.2

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$67
N/A
N/A
$66
Settled
No
kalshi

Magnitude of at least 5.8

View
0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
No
kalshi

Magnitude of at least 7.0

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
No
kalshi

Magnitude of at least 5.2

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 10

Description

This event tracks whether a significant earthquake will occur on a specific date, determined by measurements from a trusted geological authority. The focus is on the peak seismic activity recorded during a defined 24-hour period, with outcomes based on varying strength thresholds.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on whether the highest earthquake magnitude reported by the USGS anywhere in the world on September 7, 2026, between midnight and 23:59:59 UTC, meets or exceeds the specified threshold. The magnitude used for settlement is the value displayed by USGS at expiration, prioritizing moment magnitude (Mw) when available, and falling back to the primary magnitude type reported if necessary. If multiple earthquakes share the highest magnitude, all qualify as resolving triggers. Should the USGS ComCat database be unavailable at the expiration time, settlement may be delayed according to the contract’s contingency provisions. Thresholds range from 5.2 to 7.0, with each market corresponding to a distinct magnitude requirement.