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What will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 6, 2026?
kalshi

What will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 6, 2026?

Volume:
$3,292

Magnitude of at least 5.6

 - Kalshi

Magnitude of at least 5.6 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 9, 2026

Closed: Sep 6, 6:29 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Magnitude of at least 5.6

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$279
N/A
N/A
$279
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Magnitude of at least 5.8

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$999
N/A
N/A
$696
Settled
No
kalshi

Magnitude of at least 7.0

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$644
N/A
N/A
$499
Settled
No
kalshi

Magnitude of at least 6.4

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$476
N/A
N/A
$154
Settled
No
kalshi

Magnitude of at least 6.2

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$347
N/A
N/A
$194
Settled
No
kalshi

Magnitude of at least 6.6

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$199
N/A
N/A
$42
Settled
No
kalshi

Magnitude of at least 6.8

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$186
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
No
kalshi

Magnitude of at least 6.0

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$163
N/A
N/A
$63
Settled
No
kalshi

Magnitude of at least 5.2

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Magnitude of at least 5.4

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 10

Description

This event tracks whether a significant earthquake will occur on a specific date. It measures the intensity of the strongest seismic activity recorded during that day using standardized scientific data. The outcome depends on whether any earthquake reaches certain magnitude thresholds.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on whether the highest magnitude earthquake reported by the United States Geological Survey (USGS) worldwide on September 6, 2026, between midnight and 23:59:59 UTC, meets or exceeds the specified threshold. The magnitude used for settlement is the USGS-reported value at expiration, with moment magnitude (Mw) taking precedence over other magnitude types when available. If multiple earthquakes share the highest magnitude, all such events count toward satisfaction of the condition. If the USGS ComCat database is unavailable at the expiration time, settlement may be delayed according to the contract contingencies. Each market corresponds to a different magnitude threshold, ranging from 5.2 to 7.0, with higher thresholds representing more stringent conditions for resolution to 'Yes'.