TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 27, 2026?
kalshi

What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 27, 2026?

Volume:
$14,122

Magnitude of at least 5.8

 - Kalshi

Magnitude of at least 5.8 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 28, 2026

Closed: Oct 27, 7:14 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Magnitude of at least 5.8

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,244
N/A
N/A
$1,508
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Magnitude of at least 5.6

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,833
N/A
N/A
$1,299
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Magnitude of at least 5.2

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,312
N/A
N/A
$1,060
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Magnitude of at least 5.4

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,142
N/A
N/A
$1,042
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Magnitude of at least 6.0

View
0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,177
N/A
N/A
$1,177
Settled
No
kalshi

Magnitude of at least 6.8

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,434
N/A
N/A
$703
Settled
No
kalshi

Magnitude of at least 7.0

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,328
N/A
N/A
$1,114
Settled
No
kalshi

Magnitude of at least 6.2

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,130
N/A
N/A
$697
Settled
No
kalshi

Magnitude of at least 6.4

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,123
N/A
N/A
$912
Settled
No
kalshi

Magnitude of at least 6.6

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$397
N/A
N/A
$276
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This event tracks whether a significant earthquake will occur on a specific date, determined by measurements from a trusted geological survey. It examines the possibility of seismic activity reaching certain strength thresholds during a defined 24-hour period.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on whether the highest earthquake magnitude reported by the USGS anywhere in the world during October 27, 2026, between midnight and 23:59:59 UTC, meets or exceeds the specified threshold. The magnitude used for settlement is the value displayed by USGS at expiration, with moment magnitude (Mw) taking precedence when available. If multiple earthquakes share the highest magnitude, all qualify as resolving outcomes. If USGS data becomes unavailable at expiration, settlement may be delayed according to contract contingencies governing data access issues.