TOTAL VOLUME:

$143.1b

24H VOL:

$114,515,047

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,676,623,266

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,636,853,979

494,282

Markets across

37,363

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,865

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 16, 2026?
🌟New⌛Ending Soon
kalshi

What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 16, 2026?

Oct 15, 2026, 4:00 PM EST - Oct 16, 2026, 7:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$25,980
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$18,226
0.76%

Magnitude of at least 7.0

 - Kalshi

Magnitude of at least 7.0 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Oct 16, 2026

Time left: 00h:54m:27s

What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 16, 2026?

5%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 5¢ buys you 2,000 shares | Odds: 5% Total Payout: $2,000 | Net Profit: $1,900 Multiplier: 20.00x | ROI: 1,900% | APY: N/A
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Magnitude of at least 7.0

Trade
5%
Yes 5¢No 96¢
1¢
N/A
$6,246
0%
N/A
$3,193
54m
active
kalshi

Magnitude of at least 6.6

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,429
N/A
N/A
$2,130
54m
Yes
kalshi

Magnitude of at least 6.8

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,685
N/A
N/A
$1,210
54m
Yes
kalshi

Magnitude of at least 5.2

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,406
N/A
N/A
$2,260
54m
Yes
kalshi

Magnitude of at least 6.4

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,094
N/A
N/A
$1,523
54m
Yes
kalshi

Magnitude of at least 6.2

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,968
N/A
N/A
$1,553
54m
Yes
kalshi

Magnitude of at least 6.0

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,913
N/A
N/A
$1,547
54m
Yes
kalshi

Magnitude of at least 5.4

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,895
N/A
N/A
$1,665
54m
Yes
kalshi

Magnitude of at least 5.8

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,724
N/A
N/A
$1,540
54m
Yes
kalshi

Magnitude of at least 5.6

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,619
N/A
N/A
$1,606
54m
Yes
Total markets: 10

Description

This event tracks whether a significant earthquake will occur on a specific date, measured by the magnitude reported by a leading geological survey. It focuses on the peak seismic activity recorded during a defined 24-hour period, with outcomes determined by thresholds of increasing severity.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on whether the highest earthquake magnitude reported by the USGS anywhere in the world during October 16, 2026, between midnight and 23:59:59 UTC, meets or exceeds a specific threshold. The magnitude used for resolution is the value displayed by USGS at expiration, with moment magnitude (Mw) taking precedence when available. If multiple earthquakes share the highest magnitude, all qualify as meeting the threshold. If USGS data is unavailable at expiration, settlement may be delayed according to the contract’s contingency provisions. Each market corresponds to a different magnitude threshold, ranging from 5.2 to 7.0, with higher thresholds representing more severe earthquake requirements.