TOTAL VOLUME:

$142.3b

24H VOL:

$107,419,736

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,643,541,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,594,026,835

471,138

Markets across

35,775

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,926

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in October 2026?
predict
polymarket

What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in October 2026?

Sep 25, 2026, 12:01 AM EST - Oct 31, 2026, 11:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$159,545
Volume 24h:
$42,710
254%
Liquidity:
$473,668
23%
Open interest:
$50,723N/A

↑ $58

 - Polymarket

↑ $58 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 1, 2026

Time left: 16d:23h:35m

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $58 in October?

63%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 66¢ buys you 152 shares | Odds: 63% Total Payout: $152 | Net Profit: $52 Multiplier: 1.52x | ROI: 52% APY not meaningful Low liquidity 16 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

↑ $58

Trade
63%
Yes 66¢No 40¢
6¢
$587
$340
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
polymarket

↓ $54

Trade
63%
44%
Yes 64¢No 39¢
3¢
$1,764
$19,662
3%
87%
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
predict

↓ $54

Trade
35%
Yes 57.6¢No 87.6¢
45.2¢
$38,449
$3
0%
N/A
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
62.5%
Yes 60.8¢No 63.3¢
Avg: 24.1¢Max: 45.2¢
polymarket

↑ $60

Trade
37%
47%
Yes 39¢No 65¢
4¢
$945
$2,478
137%
N/A
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
polymarket

↓ $52

Trade
33%
23%
Yes 34¢No 69¢
3¢
$6,661
$12,963
30%
111%
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
predict

↓ $52

Trade
N/A
N/A
53.6¢
$30,014
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
32.5%
Yes 34¢No 69¢
Avg: 28.3¢Max: 53.6¢
polymarket

↑ $62

Trade
20%
34%
Yes 21¢No 82¢
3¢
$15,374
$5,002
10%
251%
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
polymarket

↓ $50

Trade
13%
8%
Yes 14.9¢No 89.3¢
4.2¢
$791
$11,850
84%
96%
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
predict

↓ $50

Trade
N/A
N/A
57.4¢
$29,897
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
12.8%
Yes 14.9¢No 89.3¢
Avg: 30.8¢Max: 57.4¢
predict

↑ $64

Trade
42%
7%
Yes 77.2¢No 93.6¢
70.8¢
$35,556
$101
903%
903%
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
polymarket

↑ $64

Trade
10%
18%
Yes 11.8¢No 91.4¢
3.2¢
$8,295
$6,512
7%
112%
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
10.2%
Yes 44.5¢No 92.5¢
Avg: 37¢Max: 70.8¢
polymarket

↓ $48

Trade
8%
5%
Yes 9¢No 92.6¢
1.6¢
$17,126
$5,334
3%
10%
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
predict

↑ $66

Trade
11%
33%
Yes 13.9¢No 92.1¢
6¢
$35,391
$62
0%
2,371%
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
polymarket

↑ $66

Trade
7%
10%
Yes 8¢No 94¢
2¢
$1,078
$9,871
2%
49%
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
7%
Yes 11¢No 93.1¢
Avg: 4¢Max: 6¢
predict

↑ $68

Trade
29%
Yes 56.7¢No 98.6¢
55.3¢
$35,212
$6
0%
0%
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
polymarket

↑ $68

Trade
5%
4%
Yes 6¢No 96¢
2¢
$15,780
$8,392
0.33%
7%
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
5%
Yes 31.4¢No 97.3¢
Avg: 28.7¢Max: 55.3¢
polymarket

↑ $70

Trade
4%
Yes 5.4¢No 97.9¢
3.3¢
$15,593
$7,516
7%
30%
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
predict

↑ $70

Trade
N/A
N/A
57.2¢
$29,705
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
3.8%
Yes 5.4¢No 97.9¢
Avg: 30.3¢Max: 57.2¢
polymarket

↓ $46

Trade
3%
Yes 5¢No 98.9¢
3.9¢
$282
$40
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
polymarket

↑ $74

Trade
2%
Yes 2.5¢No 99¢
1.5¢
$17,221
$2,188
5%
21%
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
predict

↑ $74

Trade
N/A
N/A
37.1¢
$29,677
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
1.8%
Yes 2.5¢No 99¢
Avg: 19.3¢Max: 37.1¢
predict

↑ $72

Trade
20%
Yes 38.3¢No 98.9¢
37.2¢
$35,430
$100
0%
N/A
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
polymarket

↑ $72

Trade
2%
Yes 2.2¢No 98.9¢
1.1¢
$21,388
$8,107
2%
70%
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
1.7%
Yes 20.3¢No 98.9¢
Avg: 19.2¢Max: 37.2¢
polymarket

↑ $76

Trade
1%
Yes 1.5¢No 99.5¢
1¢
$18,158
$4,251
1%
80%
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
predict

↑ $76

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
$29,971
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
1%
Yes 1.5¢No 99.5¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
Total markets: 25 of 39

Description

This group of markets asks forecasters to predict whether Silver (XAGUSD) will reach specific high or low price levels during the month of October 2026. The markets are based on 1-minute candle data from the Pyth network, with a fallback to CME COMEX futures data if Pyth is unavailable.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict utilize identical resolution logic and source data, relying on Pyth's XAGUSD 1-minute candle data with a CME COMEX futures fallback.Primary resolution logic: Pyth — specifically, the Silver (XAGUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAG%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. CME COMEX futures (SI) serve as a fallback.

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on any 1-minute candle during October 2026.
  • The High or Low price of the candle must equal or exceed the target price.
  • Trading sessions are defined as 6:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday.
  • Prices are sourced directly from Pyth without rounding.
  • If Pyth data is unavailable, CME COMEX futures data will be used.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • No Trading: If Silver (XAGUSD) does not trade at all during October 2026, all markets will resolve to 'No'.
  • Pyth Outage: If Pyth data is unavailable, the official daily high/low price published for the CME COMEX Silver Futures (SI) contract will be used.
  • Contract Changes: In the event of a contract specification change or feed change on Pyth, resolution will be based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
Timing: Resolution will occur after the conclusion of all trading sessions in October 2026, once the 1-minute candle data is verified from Pyth or the CME COMEX futures contract.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in October 2026?

Predict

What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in October 2026?

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Predict, this dashboard tracks predictions on the Silver price in 2026, aggregating opinions from a diverse set of traders. Currently, the combined volume across both platforms is $159,545, with $26,045 traded in the last 24 hours. The consensus view is complex, as Polymarket currently favors Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $58 in October? at 63.0%, while Predict leans toward Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 in October? at 41.8%. This reflects differing perspectives on macroeconomic factors and potential supply/demand shifts impacting the Silver market.

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' effect, potentially outperforming individual analyst forecasts. Traditional analyst predictions can be influenced by biases or limited information, whereas this market aggregates the views of numerous participants with varying expertise. While specific comparisons require examining current analyst reports, the collective forecasting ability demonstrated in prediction markets has been shown to be remarkably accurate across a range of events. The current volume of $159,545 suggests significant interest in this particular forecast.

Prices for this market may diverge between Polymarket and Predict due to variations in trader demographics, liquidity, and market-specific rules. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with potentially varying risk appetites and information sets, leading to differing probabilities assigned to potential outcomes. Additionally, the volume traded on each platform – currently $159,545 overall – can influence price discovery, with lower volume potentially leading to greater price volatility. These factors contribute to the observed spread of 21.2 between the two venues.

This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome determined by the average Silver (XAGUSD) price during the month of October 2026. The final price will be verified against credible public reporting from established financial data providers. This ensures a transparent and objective assessment of whether the predicted price range was achieved, providing clarity on the outcome of this market.

Numerous signals and events could significantly impact this market before Nov 1, 2026. Major economic data releases, such as inflation reports or interest rate decisions by central banks, often influence precious metal prices. Geopolitical events, including trade wars or political instability, can also drive demand for silver as a safe-haven asset. Furthermore, industrial demand for silver, particularly in the technology and renewable energy sectors, could shift expectations. Unexpected supply disruptions in silver mining could also cause a price movement, influencing trading activity in this market.