TOTAL VOLUME:

$142.4b

24H VOL:

$104,871,197

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,643,541,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,592,701,755

469,827

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35,657

events

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2,899

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5

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VS.

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What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of October 12 2026?
⌛Ending Soon
polymarket
limitless

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of October 12 2026?

Oct 9, 2026, 6:01 PM EST - Oct 16, 2026, 5:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$43,923
Volume 24h:
$21,500
216%
Liquidity:
$28,305
46%
Open interest:
$14,562N/A

↑ $4,200

 - Polymarket

↑ $4,200 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Oct 16, 2026

Time left: 01d:16h:01m

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 12 2026?

39%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 40¢ buys you 250 shares | Odds: 39% Total Payout: $250 | Net Profit: $150 Multiplier: 2.50x | ROI: 150% APY not meaningful
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

↑ $4,200

Trade
39%
21%
Yes 40¢No 62¢
2¢
$8,400
$2,352
216%
N/A
N/A
1d 16h 1m
active
polymarket

↓ $4,050

Trade
16%
4%
Yes 19¢No 87¢
6¢
$950
$3,991
185%
N/A
N/A
1d 16h 1m
active
limitless

↓ $4,050

Trade
N/A
N/A
8.5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 16h 1m
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
16%
Yes 19¢No 87¢
Avg: 7.3¢Max: 8.5¢
limitless

↑ $4,250

Trade
14%
18%
Yes 14.2¢No 85.8¢
9.5¢
N/A
$5
0%
N/A
N/A
1d 16h 1m
active
polymarket

↑ $4,250

Trade
14%
12%
Yes 16.9¢No 88.7¢
5.6¢
$930
$3,610
59%
N/A
N/A
1d 16h 1m
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
14.1%
Yes 15.6¢No 87.3¢
Avg: 7.6¢Max: 9.5¢
polymarket

↓ $4,000

Trade
6%
Yes 8.2¢No 95.6¢
3.8¢
$288
$5,661
98%
N/A
N/A
1d 16h 1m
active
limitless

↓ $4,000

Trade
N/A
N/A
96.8¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 16h 1m
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
6.3%
Yes 8.2¢No 95.6¢
Avg: 50.3¢Max: 96.8¢
polymarket

↓ $3,950

Trade
3%
Yes 4.9¢No 98.5¢
3.4¢
$251
$1,630
72%
N/A
N/A
1d 16h 1m
active
limitless

↓ $3,950

Trade
N/A
N/A
5.5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 16h 1m
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
3.2%
Yes 4.9¢No 98.5¢
Avg: 4.5¢Max: 5.5¢
polymarket

↑ $4,300

Trade
3%
7%
Yes 4.7¢No 98.6¢
3.3¢
$275
$1,394
60%
N/A
N/A
1d 16h 1m
active
limitless

↑ $4,300

Trade
N/A
N/A
99.7¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 16h 1m
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
3.1%
Yes 4.7¢No 98.6¢
Avg: 51.5¢Max: 99.7¢
polymarket

↓ $3,900

Trade
2%
Yes 2.6¢No 99¢
1.6¢
$14,076
$1,396
343%
N/A
N/A
1d 16h 1m
active
limitless

↓ $3,900

Trade
N/A
N/A
3.9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 16h 1m
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
1.8%
Yes 2.6¢No 99¢
Avg: 2.8¢Max: 3.9¢
polymarket

↓ $3,850

Trade
1%
Yes 1.9¢No 99¢
0.9¢
$1,180
$60
0%
N/A
N/A
1d 16h 1m
active
limitless

↓ $3,850

Trade
N/A
N/A
2.9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 16h 1m
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
1.5%
Yes 1.9¢No 99¢
Avg: 1.9¢Max: 2.9¢
polymarket

↓ $3,800

Trade
1%
Yes 2.2¢No 99.9¢
2.1¢
$84
$170
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 16h 1m
active
polymarket

↑ $4,350

Trade
1%
2%
Yes 2¢No 99.8¢
1.8¢
$96
$2,861
3%
N/A
N/A
1d 16h 1m
active
limitless

↑ $4,350

Trade
N/A
N/A
99.7¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 16h 1m
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
1.1%
Yes 2¢No 99.8¢
Avg: 50.7¢Max: 99.7¢
polymarket

↑ $4,450

Trade
1%
Yes 1.7¢No 99.9¢
1.6¢
$1,571
$384
63%
N/A
N/A
1d 16h 1m
active
limitless

↑ $4,450

Trade
N/A
N/A
99.7¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 16h 1m
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0.9%
Yes 1.7¢No 99.9¢
Avg: 50.6¢Max: 99.7¢
polymarket

↑ $4,500

Trade
1%
1%
Yes 1.1¢No 99.9¢
1¢
$92
$274
130%
N/A
N/A
1d 16h 1m
active
limitless

↑ $4,500

Trade
N/A
N/A
99.7¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 16h 1m
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0.6%
Yes 1.1¢No 99.9¢
Avg: 50.3¢Max: 99.7¢
polymarket

↑ $4,400

Trade
1%
1%
Yes 0.9¢No 99.8¢
0.7¢
$113
$5,332
2%
N/A
N/A
1d 16h 1m
active
limitless

↑ $4,400

Trade
N/A
N/A
99.6¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 16h 1m
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0.5%
Yes 0.9¢No 99.8¢
Avg: 50.1¢Max: 99.6¢
polymarket

↓ $4,150

View
100%
16%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,519
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 16h 1m
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 33

Description

This group of markets asks forecasters to predict whether the price of Gold (XAUUSD) will reach specific high or low levels during the week of October 12, 2026. Each market focuses on a single price point, and resolution depends on whether that price is hit in a 1-minute candle during the specified trading week.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Limitless utilize the same resolution criteria based on 1-minute candle data from Pyth, with a fallback to CME COMEX futures prices if Pyth data is unavailable.Primary resolution logic: Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on whether any 1-minute candle during the week of October 12, 2026, has a final High or Low price equal to or beyond the specified price.
  • Trading sessions are defined as 6:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET.
  • Prices are taken directly from Pyth without rounding.
  • If Pyth data is unavailable, CME COMEX futures (GC) data will be used.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • No Trading: If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the specified timeframe, the market will resolve to 'No'.
  • Pyth Outage: In the event of a Pyth data outage, the official daily high/low price published for the COMEX Gold Futures (GC) contract will be used.
Timing: Resolution will occur after the conclusion of the trading week of October 12, 2026, once 1-minute candle data from Pyth (or COMEX futures data if Pyth is unavailable) has been verified.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of October 12 2026?

Limitless

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of October 12 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Limitless, this market tracks predictions on whether the price of Gold (XAUUSD) will reach specific levels during the week of October 12, 2026. Currently, the aggregated view suggests strong consensus around higher price points. Total volume across both platforms is $43,923, with $14,620 traded in the last 24 hours. The dashboard provides a consolidated view of probabilities and trading activity for the Gold (XAUUSD) price market, allowing users to compare sentiment and volume across different prediction venues. This offers a comprehensive look at expectations for gold prices.

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often provide a unique perspective compared to traditional analyst forecasts. Analysts frequently rely on fundamental and technical analysis, while prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd, incorporating a wider range of information and potential unforeseen events. While analyst forecasts can be valuable, this market can offer a more dynamic and real-time assessment of probabilities. Discrepancies between prediction market prices and analyst forecasts can highlight areas of disagreement or differing expectations about future economic conditions and geopolitical factors influencing gold prices.

Prices on Polymarket and Limitless may differ due to variations in trader demographics, market-making activity, and the specific mechanisms each platform employs for price discovery. Polymarket and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, Polymarket may attract a different class of trader than Limitless, leading to differing risk appetites and opinions on the future price of gold. Additionally, the liquidity and volume on each platform can influence price formation, as can any platform-specific fees or limitations. These factors contribute to the observed price discrepancies in this market.

This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome determined by whether the Gold (XAUUSD) price reaches the levels defined within the market's possible outcomes during the specified week. The final price will be verified against credible public reporting from financial data providers. This ensures an objective and transparent resolution process for this market, providing clarity on the predictive accuracy of traders on both Polymarket and Limitless.

Several signals and events could significantly move this market before Oct 16, 2026. Major macroeconomic data releases, such as inflation reports, interest rate decisions by central banks, and GDP growth figures, are likely to impact gold prices. Geopolitical events, including conflicts, political instability, and trade disputes, often drive demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. Unexpected changes in global economic conditions, shifts in investor sentiment, and fluctuations in the US dollar’s strength could also influence trading activity in this market. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding price movements.