TOTAL VOLUME:

$142.3b

24H VOL:

$107,419,736

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,643,541,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,594,026,835

471,138

Markets across

35,775

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,926

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?
predict
polymarket

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?

Sep 25, 2026, 12:02 AM EST - Oct 31, 2026, 11:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$2,319,057
Volume 24h:
$208,081
42%
Liquidity:
$1,459,869
3%
Open interest:
$962,451N/A

↓ $90

 - Polymarket

↓ $90 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 1, 2026

Time left: 16d:23h:31m

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October?

72%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 73¢ buys you 137 shares | Odds: 72% Total Payout: $137 | Net Profit: $37 Multiplier: 1.37x | ROI: 37% APY not meaningful 16 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

↓ $90

Trade
72%
11%
Yes 73¢No 29¢
2¢
$24,393
$13,142
73%
N/A
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
predict

↑ $100

Trade
38%
12%
Yes 40.2¢No 64.9¢
5.1¢
$33,645
$1,491
0%
264%
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
polymarket

↑ $100

Trade
38%
13%
Yes 38¢No 63¢
1¢
$34,937
$328,065
8%
180%
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
37.5%
Yes 39.1¢No 64¢
Avg: 3.1¢Max: 5.1¢
predict

↓ $85

Trade
36%
6%
Yes 40¢No 67.5¢
7.5¢
$33,169
$1,279
184%
1,157%
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
polymarket

↓ $85

Trade
33%
6%
Yes 34¢No 69¢
3¢
$39,409
$215,168
5%
102%
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
32.5%
Yes 37¢No 68.3¢
Avg: 5.3¢Max: 7.5¢
polymarket

↑ $105

Trade
18%
7%
Yes 18¢No 83¢
1¢
$39,340
$149,649
12%
88%
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
predict

↑ $105

Trade
N/A
N/A
46.8¢
$29,595
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
17.5%
Yes 18¢No 83¢
Avg: 23.9¢Max: 46.8¢
predict

↓ $80

Trade
13%
Yes 15¢No 88.7¢
3.7¢
$38,314
$2,882
0%
73%
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
polymarket

↓ $80

Trade
13%
1%
Yes 13¢No 88¢
1¢
$43,370
$226,652
4%
110%
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
12.5%
Yes 14¢No 88.4¢
Avg: 2.4¢Max: 3.7¢
polymarket

↑ $110

Trade
10%
2%
Yes 10¢No 91¢
1¢
$40,213
$100,844
10%
61%
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
predict

↑ $110

Trade
N/A
N/A
55.3¢
$29,746
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
9.5%
Yes 10¢No 91¢
Avg: 28.2¢Max: 55.3¢
polymarket

↑ $115

Trade
5%
Yes 5.2¢No 95.9¢
1.1¢
$68,297
$114,144
31%
199%
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
predict

↑ $115

Trade
N/A
N/A
37¢
$29,758
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
4.7%
Yes 5.2¢No 95.9¢
Avg: 19.1¢Max: 37¢
predict

↓ $75

Trade
31%
Yes 58.4¢No 96.6¢
55¢
$32,456
$20
0%
N/A
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
polymarket

↓ $75

Trade
4%
1%
Yes 4.9¢No 96.4¢
1.3¢
$51,842
$74,406
9%
114%
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
4.3%
Yes 31.7¢No 96.5¢
Avg: 28.2¢Max: 55¢
polymarket

↑ $125

Trade
4%
Yes 7.2¢No 98.8¢
6¢
$14,216
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
polymarket

↑ $120

Trade
4%
Yes 4.1¢No 96.6¢
0.7¢
$50,130
$156,496
3%
76%
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
predict

↑ $120

Trade
N/A
N/A
38.4¢
$29,840
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
3.8%
Yes 4.1¢No 96.6¢
Avg: 19.6¢Max: 38.4¢
polymarket

↑ $130

Trade
1%
Yes 1.8¢No 98.9¢
0.7¢
$35,103
$153,002
2%
134%
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
predict

↑ $130

Trade
N/A
N/A
38.5¢
$29,882
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
1.5%
Yes 1.8¢No 98.9¢
Avg: 19.6¢Max: 38.5¢
predict

↓ $70

Trade
20%
Yes 38.8¢No 98.7¢
37.5¢
$31,132
$30
0%
0%
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
polymarket

↓ $70

Trade
1%
Yes 1.6¢No 99¢
0.6¢
$55,553
$50,115
2%
74%
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
1.3%
Yes 20.2¢No 98.9¢
Avg: 19.1¢Max: 37.5¢
polymarket

↓ $65

Trade
1%
Yes 1.2¢No 99.1¢
0.3¢
$76,980
$101,044
0.1%
49%
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
predict

↓ $65

Trade
N/A
N/A
38.5¢
$29,749
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
1.1%
Yes 1.2¢No 99.1¢
Avg: 19.4¢Max: 38.5¢
polymarket

↑ $140

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 99.3¢
0.3¢
$47,403
$59,965
11%
199%
N/A
2w 2d 23h
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0.9%
Yes 1¢No 99.3¢
Avg: 0.3¢Max: 0.3¢
Total markets: 25 of 48

Intro

This market tracks whether WTI Crude Oil will reach $90 during the month of October 2026. Currently, the consensus probability that WTI Crude Oil will hit $90 in October is 62.0%. This aggregate reflects predictions from Predict and Polymarket, and will resolve based on data from Pyth — specifically, the ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures Active Month “High” and “Low” prices. Keep an eye on the October 2026 contract trading activity, as the market resolves based on price movements throughout that month, with final resolution occurring around November 1, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms use the same resolution source (Pyth) and identical logic for determining whether a given price level is hit, ensuring consistent market behavior.Primary resolution logic: Pyth — specifically, the ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures Active Month "High" and "Low" prices available at https://app.pyth.com/explore?search=CLL, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on 1-minute candles for the Active Month of ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures.
  • A market resolves to "Yes" if any 1-minute candle's High or Low price equals or exceeds the specified price during an October 2026 trading session.
  • Trading sessions adhere to ICE Futures Europe hours (https://www.ice.com/products/213/WTI-Crude-Futures).
  • If Pyth data is unavailable, ICE Futures Europe's official daily high/low price will be used.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Active Month Rollover: The Active Month contract changes during October 2026. The resolution logic accounts for this, specifying that the Active Month is the nearest listed contract, except during its final three trading sessions.
  • Trading Session Definition: Trading sessions are defined by ICE Futures Europe hours, which may vary due to holidays. Resolution considers only prices achieved during these defined sessions.
  • No Trading: If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during October 2026, all markets will resolve to 'No'.
Timing: Resolution will occur after the completion of all trading sessions in October 2026, once sufficient data from Pyth (or ICE Futures Europe as a fallback) is available to determine whether the specified price levels were reached.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?

Predict

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Predict, this dashboard aggregates forecasts on whether the price of WTI crude oil will reach specific levels in October 2026. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms indicates a significant probability of the price exceeding certain thresholds. Total volume for the WTI crude oil market is $2,319,047, with $128,359 traded in the last 24 hours. This reflects considerable interest in predicting future oil prices. The dashboard provides a comprehensive overview of the collective wisdom of traders regarding the WTI crude oil market, combining data from multiple sources to offer a holistic perspective.

Prediction market odds often reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' effect, potentially incorporating more diverse information than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts provide specific price targets based on models, this market aggregates the beliefs of many traders, who may consider a wider range of factors – geopolitical events, supply chain disruptions, and global economic conditions. Discrepancies can arise if markets anticipate factors not yet fully priced into analyst models, or if traders have access to unique, non-public information. Examining the difference between the implied probability in this market and consensus analyst expectations can offer valuable insights.

Prices on Polymarket and Predict can diverge due to differing user bases, trading activity, and market sentiment. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a unique set of participants with varying risk appetites and predictive models, leading to potentially different valuations. Furthermore, the liquidity and volume on each platform can influence price discovery. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October? at 72.0%, while Predict leans toward Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October? at 37.7%. These differences highlight the dynamic nature of prediction markets and the impact of platform-specific factors.

This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the average price of WTI crude oil during October 2026 is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price will be sourced from established financial data providers and will represent a consensus view of the market's performance during that period. Traders will be able to view the verified outcome on both Polymarket and Predict following the resolution date, allowing for a transparent and auditable process for determining the results of this market.

Numerous factors could significantly impact this market. Geopolitical instability in major oil-producing regions, such as the Middle East, could disrupt supply and drive prices higher. Conversely, a global economic slowdown or recession could reduce demand, potentially leading to lower prices. Major shifts in OPEC+ production policy, technological advancements in energy production (like increased shale oil output), and unexpected weather events impacting oil infrastructure are also key catalysts. Monitoring these signals and their potential impact on the supply and demand balance for WTI crude oil is crucial for understanding movements in this market.