TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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What will the biggest earthquake be on Nov 2, 2026?
🌟New
kalshi

What will the biggest earthquake be on Nov 2, 2026?

Nov 1, 2026, 4:00 PM EST - Nov 2, 2026, 6:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$7,538
Volume 24h:
$6,604N/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$4,481
159%

Magnitude of at least 6.8

 - Kalshi

Magnitude of at least 6.8 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 2, 2026

What will the biggest earthquake be on Nov 2, 2026?

2%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 2¢ buys you 5,000 shares | Odds: 2% Total Payout: $5,000 | Net Profit: $4,900 Multiplier: 50.00x | ROI: 4,900% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Magnitude of at least 6.8

Trade
2%
90%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$403
67%
N/A
$268
0d 0h 0m
Active
kalshi

Magnitude of at least 5.4

Trade
1%
96%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,883
2,237%
N/A
$929
0d 0h 0m
Active
kalshi

Magnitude of at least 5.8

Trade
1%
58%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$839
1,141%
N/A
$359
0d 0h 0m
Active
kalshi

Magnitude of at least 5.6

Trade
1%
69%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$753
863%
N/A
$499
0d 0h 0m
Active
kalshi

Magnitude of at least 6.0

Trade
1%
45%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$708
865%
N/A
$401
0d 0h 0m
Active
kalshi

Magnitude of at least 6.2

Trade
1%
25%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$506
300%
N/A
$353
0d 0h 0m
Active
kalshi

Magnitude of at least 6.4

Trade
1%
24%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$491
324%
N/A
$378
0d 0h 0m
Active
kalshi

Magnitude of at least 6.6

Trade
1%
15%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$481
794%
N/A
$289
0d 0h 0m
Active
kalshi

Magnitude of at least 7.0

Trade
1%
18%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$258
164%
N/A
$177
0d 0h 0m
Active
kalshi

Magnitude of at least 5.2

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,217
N/A
N/A
$829
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 10

Description

This event tracks whether a significant earthquake will occur on a specific date, determined by measurements from a trusted scientific source. It examines different severity thresholds to assess varying levels of geological activity during that period.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on whether the highest magnitude earthquake reported worldwide by the USGS on November 2, 2026, between midnight and 23:59:59 UTC, meets or exceeds the specified threshold. The magnitude used for resolution is the value displayed by USGS at expiration, with moment magnitude (Mw) taking precedence when available. If multiple earthquakes share the highest magnitude, all qualify as resolving outcomes. Resolution may be delayed if USGS ComCat data becomes unavailable at expiration. Thresholds range from 5.2 to 7.0 magnitude, with each market requiring a specific minimum magnitude to settle as 'Yes'.