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Rain in Miami in Aug 2026?
kalshi

Rain in Miami in Aug 2026?

Volume:
$88,552

Above 5 inches

 - Kalshi

Above 5 inches - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 1, 2026

Closed: Aug 31, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 5 inches

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$32,265
N/A
N/A
$6,350
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4 inches

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,003
N/A
N/A
$3,205
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3 inches

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,077
N/A
N/A
$850
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1 inch

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$671
N/A
N/A
$666
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 2 inches

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$404
N/A
N/A
$403
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 6 inches

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,039
N/A
N/A
$4,605
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 7 inches

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,810
N/A
N/A
$5,737
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 8 inches

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,190
N/A
N/A
$5,781
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 9 inches

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,617
N/A
N/A
$3,211
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 10 inches

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,478
N/A
N/A
$1,390
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This event assesses whether Miami will experience significant rainfall during August 2026, focusing on cumulative precipitation levels. The outcome depends on official weather data from a specific monitoring station, reflecting climate conditions rather than short-term forecasts.

Kalshi

The event determines if total precipitation at the CLIMIA station in Miami exceeds specified thresholds during August 2026, with separate markets for 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, and 7 inches. Resolution relies exclusively on the National Weather Service's official Daily Climatological Report for Miami, accessible via the provided URL. Traders must use the latest published data, recognizing that preliminary reports may undergo revisions due to rounding or conversion processes. While third-party weather services may offer guidance, only NWS data serves as the binding authority for all markets, and careful attention is required when interpreting early or provisional figures.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Miami August rain market tracks real-time odds, price fluctuations, and 24-hour volume of $15,931. It shows how traders view the likelihood of rain in Miami during August, updating continuously as new information emerges. This view isolates activity on a single venue, reflecting Kalshi's specific user sentiment and betting patterns without blending data elsewhere.

This market resolves around Sep 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, official weather station data and authoritative meteorological summaries for Miami in August will determine whether the rain threshold is met, closing the market based on observable facts.

Key signals include seasonal forecasts from the National Hurricane Center, unexpected shifts in Atlantic Ocean temperatures, and early-season storm activity. Major weather events, El Niño developments, or significant forecast updates can rapidly alter trader sentiment. Any widely reported deviation from expected August precipitation levels is likely to shift this market's odds before it settles.