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Precipitation in Hong Kong in August?
polymarket

Precipitation in Hong Kong in August?

Volume:
$19,917

<425mm

 - Polymarket

<425mm - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 1, 2026

Closed: Sep 1, 12:40 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

<425mm

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
9.9¢
N/A
$6,986
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

700mm+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,020
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

450-475mm

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,197
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

425-450mm

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,533
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

475-500mm

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,245
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

650-700mm

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,097
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

600-650mm

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,054
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

500-525mm

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$976
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

525-550mm

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$946
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

550-600mm

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$864
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between August 1 and August 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in August 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range. If the relevant data is not available by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between August 1 and August 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in August 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range. If the relevant data is not available by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Hong Kong August precipitation market tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $1,806. It shows how traders on Polymarket are pricing the likelihood of different precipitation levels occurring in Hong Kong during August. The interface updates continuously to reflect the latest betting activity and market sentiment, giving users a clear view of where the market stands at any moment.

This market resolves around Sep 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. August’s total precipitation will be measured against the defined ranges, and the market will settle based on official meteorological data. Traders should watch for final tallies from recognized weather services as the month ends, which will determine which outcome — and thus which positions — are paid out.

Several signals could shift this market before it settles. Early-season storms, tropical cyclones, or monsoon developments may increase expectations for heavy rain, pushing odds toward higher-precipitation outcomes. Conversely, prolonged dry spells or forecasting updates suggesting weaker systems could pull probabilities in the other direction. Additionally, any major weather pattern shifts — such as an El Niño or La Niña influence — would likely cause rapid re-pricing as traders adjust to new risk assessments.