TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Max Arctic sea ice extent this winter?
polymarket

Max Arctic sea ice extent this winter?

Volume:
$46,087

14.2-14.4m sq km

 - Polymarket

14.2-14.4m sq km - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 3, 2026

Closed: Mar 31, 8:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

14.2-14.4m sq km

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$19,158
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

14.4-14.6m sq km

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,598
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

15m+ sq km

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,446
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

14.6-14.8m sq km

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,720
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<14m sq km

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,566
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

14-14.2m sq km

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,416
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

14.8-15m sq km

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,183
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This market will resolve according to the maximum Arctic sea ice extent for all days between November 20, 2025 and April 1, 2026, as published by the National Snow and Ice Data Center. This market will remain open until data has been published for April 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately. Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for April 1, 2026 will not be considered. The resolution source for this market measures Arctic sea ice extent to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 14.255 million sq km). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the maximum value recorded for any day between November 20, 2025 and April 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.